NHL goals, luck and expected points
Expected points (xPTS) come from expected goals: each team's share of shot quality, for and against, turned into points at the league's average of 1.115 a game. GD PTS is the same sum on actual goals. Luck is points minus xPTS: finishing, goaltending, overtime and one-goal games.
Atlantic
EasternLast 4: 2-0-2 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-1-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-1-0 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-1-0 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 2-2-0 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 2-2-0 · streak L2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-1-1 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-2-0 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Metropolitan
EasternLast 5: 4-1-0 · streak W4
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 2-1-1 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-1-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 2: 1-1-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 2: 1-1-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-2-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-2-0 · streak L2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 0-2-2 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Central
WesternLast 4: 3-1-0 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-0-1 · streak OT1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-0-1 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 2: 2-0-0 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-1-1 · streak OT1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-2-0 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 1-2-0 · streak L2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 1-3-0 · streak W1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Pacific
WesternLast 4: 3-1-0 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-0-1 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 2: 2-0-0 · streak W2
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 2-1-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 2-2-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 4: 2-2-0 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 0-2-1 · streak L1
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Last 3: 0-3-0 · streak L3
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. Venue-average implied chance. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Ordered by points, then points %, regulation wins, regulation and overtime wins, wins, goal differential and goals for. Pace is points per game over the full 84-game season. Click a team for its page.
Goals, luck and expected points
Goal differential is a better guide to a team’s strength than its record: over a season, about six goals of differential are worth one win. This report sets each team’s points against the points its goals for and against would usually earn. A team well above its expected points has been winning the close games, and that rarely lasts.
Updated after every final · through 6 Oct, 52 games