Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 10 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth: game preview

Puck drop13 Oct · 9:00 PM ET
VenueDelta Center
All-time meetings4 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fourteen points apart last season

Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Utah finished 15th on 92.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 5

Across 4 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 3-1-0.

All-time record3-1-0Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played4This is number 5
2025-26 series—
Last 43-1Toronto
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
13 Jan 2026TOR 1 – UTA 620–41TOR 0/3 · UTA 0/2UTA
5 Nov 2025UTA 3 – TOR 524–19UTA 0/3 · TOR 0/1TOR
10 Mar 2025TOR 4 – UTA 3 SO26–33TOR 2/5 · UTA 1/5TOR
24 Nov 2024UTA 2 – TOR 326–35UTA 1/2 · TOR 1/6TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTorontoUtah
5 Nov 20258-5-1 · 17 pts11th9-5-0 · 18 pts6th
13 Jan 202623-16-7 · 53 pts13th23-20-4 · 50 pts19th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 5 Nov 2025, Toronto were 11th in the league and Utah 6th. By 13 Jan 2026 it was 13th and 19th.


Where the shots come from · last 4 meetings

Utah out-attempted Toronto 270 to 215

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Toronto Maple Leafs

215 att · 100 on goal · 12 G · 12.0%
Crease9 att · 0 G
Slot93 att · 7 G
Wing68 att · 3 G
Point29 att · 1 G
Neutral zone16 att · 1 G

Utah Mammoth

270 att · 124 on goal · 14 G · 11.3%
Crease19 att · 4 G
Slot82 att · 6 G
Wing119 att · 3 G
Point46 att · 1 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Utah have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

TorontoUtah
3.40xG for per game3.62
3.21xG against per game2.71
51.4%xG share57.2%
−2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+2.5
+1.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.8

This season: 4 games for Toronto, 4 for Utah. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 4 meetings3/15 · 20.0%
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.75/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Utah

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2761.5%
Power play · 2025-2620.0% · 18th
Power play · last 4 meetings2/12 · 16.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-2792.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2678.1% · 19th
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.0% · 124/234
Drawn · 2026-2713 (3.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2

Skaters

Dylan Guenther has 6 points in the last 4 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
8Nick Schmaltz45271.75
11Dylan Guenther43361.50
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
20Andrew Peeke41120.50
Defencemen stats

Dylan Guenther vs Toronto · game by game

See all: Dylan Guenther vs Toronto · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
13 Jan 2026home213817:17
5 Nov 2025away101318:22
10 Mar 2025home011719:17
24 Nov 2024away011216:02
Last 4 meetings6 P3 G, 3 A · 20 SOG
Next best5 PWilliam Nylander, TOR
2026-27 season6 P4 GP · 3 G
Blank vs TOR0 of 4A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Karel Vejmelka has started most of these meetings

Karel Vejmelka played 3 of the last 4 meetings with Toronto, with a .914 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 10 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 10 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 10 Oct

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6
#vs UTAAppsSAGASV%
41Anthony Stolarz1243.875

UTA · 2-1-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 10 Oct

SV% · 2026-27.9133 GP · 2.02 GAA · 2025-26 .897
vs Toronto.9143 app · 81 SA · 7 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+1.73 starts · most on the roster
vs TORVenueSAGASV%
13 Jan 2026home201.950
10 Mar 2025home263.885
24 Nov 2024away353.914

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Sebastian Cossa .947 (1 GP)

Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.3 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 4 meetings

13 Jan 20267 · TOR 1–6 UTA
5 Nov 20258 · UTA 3–5 TOR
10 Mar 20257 · TOR 4–3 UTA
24 Nov 20245 · UTA 2–3 TOR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
Utah4.252.003.272.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.3Goals in this game
Last 4 meetings6.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

7 on the injury lists

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct

Utah · injuries

Maveric LamoureuxShoulderIRReturn12 Feb
Mikhail SergachevUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

27 Sep · UTA

Placed LW Ben McCartney on waivers.

25 Sep · UTA

Assigned Fs Yegor Borikov, Caleb Desnoyers, Tij Iginla, Gabe Smith and G Michael Hrabal to Tucson (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Fs Brandon Tanev and Joshua Roy and D Zac Jones.

23 Jul 2026 · UTA

Signed D Max Psenicka to a three-year contract.

Injury report
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft
#17Ethan BelchetzRound 1 · WindsorLW
#96Adam ValentiniRound 3 · MichiganC
#115Carl AxelssonRound 4 · MuskegonG
#130Theodor KnightsRound 5 · Modo Jr.D
Full draft

Updated after every final