Markets
What Kalshi, Polymarket and ProphetX price for tonight’s games and the 2026-27 season, set against what the numbers say. Each row shows the cheapest venue after fees.
Winnipeg+8
Colorado13%
San Jose+2.0
Florida−1.5The biggest gap: Winnipeg, 8 points above the stats
Fair price from the sportsbook consensus with the margin removed, next to a stats estimate from last season's points percentages with home ice, and the price to buy Yes on the home team at each venue. Details opens the away side, the total and why the two numbers differ.
- Away side: Pittsburgh best at 42¢ on ProphetX.
- Total: 6.5 goals.
- Pittsburgh: 41-25-16 last season (98 pts), 2-1-0 so far, 3 players out.
- Washington: 43-30-9 last season (95 pts), 1-1-0 so far, 2 players out.
- The fair price prices in this season (lineups, goalies, injuries); the stats column only knows last season's table.
- Away side: Colorado best at 64¢ on ProphetX.
- Total: 6.5 goals.
- Colorado: 55-16-11 last season (121 pts), 2-0-0 so far, 4 players out.
- Winnipeg: 35-35-12 last season (82 pts), 2-0-1 so far, 4 players out.
- The fair price prices in this season (lineups, goalies, injuries); the stats column only knows last season's table.
- Away side: Edmonton best at 55¢ on ProphetX.
- Total: 6.5 goals.
- Edmonton: 41-30-11 last season (93 pts), 2-0-1 so far, 9 players out.
- Anaheim: 43-33-6 last season (92 pts), 2-0-0 so far, 3 players out.
- The fair price prices in this season (lineups, goalies, injuries); the stats column only knows last season's table.
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. "Stats" converts each team's 2025-26 points percentage into a head-to-head chance with home ice. Games without a fair price get one after the game-day snapshot. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Colorado and Florida lead a wide-open Cup market
No team is above 13%. The top five together account for 48% of the market.
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetXSnapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "Our model" plays out the rest of the season 4,000 times from each team's shot quality (expected goals) this season and last; Market vs model has the method. "30 days" is the change in implied chance over the stored price history. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Connor McDavid leads the Hart Trophy market at 23%
What the venues price for the individual trophies, next to what each player has done so far.
Most valuable player. Top 10 of 27 priced names. All Hart Trophy prices →
Best goaltender. Top 10 of 38 priced names. All Vezina Trophy prices →
Best defenceman. Top 10 of 31 priced names. All Norris Trophy prices →
Rookie of the year. Top 10 of 18 priced names. All Calder Trophy prices →
Best defensive forward. Top 10 of 26 priced names. All Selke Trophy prices →
Players' MVP vote. Top 10 of 37 priced names. All Ted Lindsay Award prices →
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "This season" is each player's line so far; an early-season price is mostly reputation. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
The market likes San Jose more than our model does, Pittsburgh less
Market price to make the playoffs minus our model's chance. Bars right of centre: the market is more optimistic than the model.
San Jose+31
Toronto+31
Montréal+30
Washington+27
Vancouver+16
Dallas+13
Philadelphia+12
New Jersey+11
Minnesota+9
Boston+8
St. Louis+7
Calgary+7
Seattle+4
Chicago+4
Los Angeles+3
Nashville−1
NY Islanders−2Colorado−4
Buffalo−5
Edmonton−5
NY Rangers−6
Columbus−7
Anaheim−9Florida−9
Ottawa−9
Carolina−10
Vegas−10
Utah−14
Tampa Bay−15
Detroit−27Winnipeg−29
Pittsburgh−36Hover or focus a team to see the market price, the table-implied chance and last season’s points.
Reading the gap
See all: Reading the gap →A large gap is not a tip. It usually means the market is pricing in something our model cannot see: a returning star, a new goalie, a coaching change. San Jose's +31 is the largest: 86 points last season, 2-1-0 after 3 games this season.
Market vs modelWho moved
Rising
San JoseLatest: 4 Oct: Placed Patrick Giles on waivers5.0%+2.0 ptsVegasLatest: 30 Sep: Signed William Karlsson to a two-year contract7.5%+2.0 ptsColoradoLatest: 27 Sep: Placed Keaton Middleton, Wyatt Aamodt, RW/Fabian Lysell, Vinnie…13%+1.5 ptsEdmontonLatest: 1 Oct: Placed Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on injured reserve8.5%+1.0 ptsAnaheimLatest: 1 Oct: Signed Tristan Luneau to a six-year contract extension3.0%+1.0 ptsFalling
FloridaLatest: 3 Oct: Placed Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve11%−1.5 ptsTorontoLatest: 5 Oct: Placed Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve2.0%−1.0 ptsBuffaloLatest: 2 Oct: Loaned Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL)2.5%−1.0 ptsWashingtonLatest: 27 Sep: Placed Clay Stevenson, Louie Belpedio, Mike Brodzinski and…5.0%−0.5 ptsWinnipegLatest: 10 Aug: Signed Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract0.5%0.0 ptsChange in percentage points of implied chance over the last 29 days, averaged across the venues priced at the start of the window. "Latest" is the team's most recent transaction or injury line, for context.
The three venues we compare
A price of 51¢ pays $1 if the outcome happens, so it implies a 51% chance. Venues differ in fees, which markets they list and where they are available, which is why "Best" can change from row to row.
KalshiPartnerA US exchange regulated by the CFTC as a designated contract market. Lists every NHL game and most futures.
- Regulation
- CFTC exchange (DCM)
- NHL markets
- Games, totals, futures
- Fee model
- Per contract, on trade
- Availability
- Most US states
PolymarketPartnerPolymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated exchange with its own order books and full identity checks. Lists NHL games with player props, and the Cup, conference, division and award futures.
- Regulation
- CFTC exchange (DCM)
- NHL markets
- Games, props, futures, awards
- Fee model
- Taker fee on trades
- Availability
- US, varies by state
ProphetXPartnerA peer-to-peer sports exchange, regulated by the CFTC as an exchange and clearing house since June 2026. Its NHL listings are game lines: moneyline, spread and total, posted on game day.
- Regulation
- CFTC exchange + clearing (DCM, DCO)
- NHL markets
- Game lines
- Fee model
- Fees vary by market
- Availability
- 49 states and DC, not Nevada
Venue facts as of October 2026.
What does 51¢ mean?
A contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. Paying 51¢ implies the market sees a 51% chance.
Why compare venues?
Fees and liquidity differ, so the same outcome can cost a few cents more or less depending on where you look.
Is this advice?
No. We show prices next to the numbers. Markets carry risk of loss and are not available everywhere.
Responsible play. 18+/21+ depending on your state or province and platform. Trading event contracts involves risk of loss and is not appropriate for everyone. Pucks & Stats compares prices and earns affiliate commissions from the venues listed; it is not a broker or exchange. Market prices are not available in every location. Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Affiliate disclosure · Responsible gaming