Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets: game preview
ColoradoAvalanche2026-27: 2-0-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 55-16-11 · 121 pts · 1stat
WinnipegJets2026-27: 2-0-1 · 5 pts · 2025-26: 35-35-12 · 82 pts · 26thColorado favoured at 62.1%
Colorado finished last season 1st in the league on 121 points. Winnipeg finished 26th on 82, and the 2025-26 season series went COL 2-2-0.
With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Winnipeg at 37.9% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 29.7%.
Where the market disagrees with the table
Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.500 vs .738) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Winnipeg 8.2 points higher than last season's table does.
MethodMeeting number 58
Across 57 completed games, Winnipeg lead the head-to-head 29-19-9.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 19 Dec 2025, Colorado were 1st in the league and Winnipeg 27th. By 28 Mar 2026 it was 1st and 25th.
Colorado out-attempted Winnipeg 329 to 226
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Colorado Avalanche
Winnipeg Jets
Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 2 games for Colorado, 3 for Winnipeg. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Colorado, 10 for Winnipeg.
2025-26: 82 games for Colorado, 82 for Winnipeg.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Colorado
Small sampleWinnipeg
Small sampleMark Scheifele has 6 points in the last 5 meetings
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.
Mark Scheifele vs Colorado · game by game
See all: Mark Scheifele vs Colorado · game by game →Connor Hellebuyck has been the difference
Connor Hellebuyck faced 140 shots across 5 appearances against Colorado and conceded 11, a .921 save percentage against a season figure of .895. Starters are confirmed on game day.
- Started 2 of 2 this season
- 38 of the team's last 82 starts
2026-27: 2 GP · .912 SV% · GSAx +0
Also possible: Wedgewood 22%
Injured: Miner (injured reserve)
- Started 2 of 3 this season
2026-27: 2 GP · .909 SV% · GSAx +1
Also possible: Stevenson 27%
Injured: Hellebuyck (injured reserve)
Mackenzie Blackwood
See all: Mackenzie Blackwood →COL · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 78%
Connor Hellebuyck
See all: Connor Hellebuyck →WPG · 23-23-11 in 2025-26 IRReturn 17 Oct
Also on the roster, 2026-27: Stuart Skinner .909 (2 GP) · Clay Stevenson .938 (1 GP)
Full game logA total in line with the numbers
The board sits at 6.5. Both teams' scoring rates point to 6.2. The last 5 meetings averaged 5.0 goals and went over 0 times.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner; the red mark is tonight's line of 6.5.
Scoring rates
Colorado7.002.503.682.48
Winnipeg3.002.672.823.17Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
Colorado favoured on both sides of the border
US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.
Moneyline by market
Colorado64¢65¢62.1%Winnipeg38¢39¢37.9%Colorado66¢66¢61.7%Winnipeg41¢41¢38.3%Snapshot 6 Oct, 4:11 PM ET
Lines on the board
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX · BestSportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Nathan MacKinnon is the likeliest to score a point, at 75%
What the venues price for individual players in this game, next to a rate from each player's scoring this season and last.
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "From stats" is a Poisson rate from his points, goals or assists per game over this season and last combined; it knows nothing about tonight's lineup. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
8 on the injury lists
Colorado · injuries
Winnipeg · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.
Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.
Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).
Signed F Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract.
Signed F Cole Perfetti to a five-year contract.
Signed F Viggo Björck to a three-year contract.
Colorado · 2026 draft
See all: Colorado · 2026 draft →Winnipeg · 2026 draft
See all: Winnipeg · 2026 draft →Wednesday 7 October · the full slate
See all: Wednesday 7 October · the full slate →
Updated after every final · Snapshot 6 Oct, 4:11 PM ET