Game preview · NHL 2026-27

Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins: game preview

Puck drop10 Oct · 7:00 PM ET
VenuePPG Paints Arena
All-time meetings48 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fourteen points apart last season

Dallas finished last season 3rd in the league on 112 points. Pittsburgh finished 10th on 98, and the 2025-26 season series went DAL 2-0-0.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 49

Across 48 completed games, Dallas lead the head-to-head 26-19-3.

All-time record26-19-3Dallas's record in the series
Meetings played48This is number 49
2025-26 seriesDAL 2-0-0
Last 54-1Dallas
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
28 Mar 2026DAL 6 – PIT 326–12DAL 2/5 · PIT 1/4DAL
7 Dec 2025PIT 2 – DAL 3 SO29–23PIT 0/2 · DAL 0/1DAL
5 Apr 2025PIT 5 – DAL 340–24PIT 1/3 · DAL 1/2PIT
11 Nov 2024DAL 7 – PIT 140–21DAL 2/4 · PIT 0/1DAL
22 Mar 2024PIT 2 – DAL 422–23PIT 0/2 · DAL 1/2DAL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateDallasPittsburgh
7 Dec 202520-5-5 · 45 pts2nd14-7-6 · 34 pts9th
28 Mar 202644-18-11 · 99 pts2nd36-21-16 · 88 pts10th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 7 Dec 2025, Dallas were 2nd in the league and Pittsburgh 9th. By 28 Mar 2026 it was 2nd and 10th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Pittsburgh out-attempted Dallas 293 to 274

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Dallas Stars

274 att · 136 on goal · 22 G · 16.2%
Crease14 att · 2 G
Slot130 att · 10 G
Wing90 att · 6 G
Point28 att · 2 G
Neutral zone12 att · 2 G

Pittsburgh Penguins

293 att · 124 on goal · 13 G · 10.5%
Crease23 att · 4 G
Slot107 att · 7 G
Wing106 att · 1 G
Point52 att · 0 G
Neutral zone5 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Dallas have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

DallasPittsburgh
3.08xG for per game3.58
2.44xG against per game2.47
55.8%xG share59.2%
−3.2FinishingGoals minus expected goals+4.3
+1.3GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−0.6

This season: 3 games for Dallas, 3 for Pittsburgh. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Dallas

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2628.6% · 2nd
Power play · last 5 meetings6/14 · 42.9%
Penalty kill · 2026-2777.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.3% · 13th
Faceoffs · 2026-2755.1% · 86/156
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings14 (2.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings6

Pittsburgh

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.1% · 7th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/12 · 16.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 6th
Faceoffs · 2026-2745.5% · 87/191
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2

Skaters

Jamie Benn has 6 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
14Jamie Benn31120.67
96Mikko Rantanen31120.67
21Jason Robertson31120.67
71Evgeni Malkin32241.33
18Tommy Novak32241.33
81Ben Kindel22131.50
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
57Tyler Myers30000.00
23Esa Lindell30000.00
72Declan Carlile32241.33
65Erik Karlsson30441.33
49Samuel Girard31231.00
Defencemen stats

Jamie Benn vs Pittsburgh · game by game

See all: Jamie Benn vs Pittsburgh · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
28 Mar 2026away022112:08
7 Dec 2025home101417:02
11 Nov 2024away011213:47
22 Mar 2024home202313:43
Last 5 meetings6 P3 G, 3 A · 10 SOG
Next best5 PMiro Heiskanen, DAL
2026-27 season2 P3 GP · 1 G
Blank vs PIT0 of 4A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Jake Oettinger has started most of these meetings

Jake Oettinger played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh, with a .905 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 8 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 9 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

DAL · 1-1-0 in 2026-27 Starter not named

SV% · 2026-27.9432 GP · 1.01 GAA · 2025-26 .899
vs Pittsburgh.9054 app · 84 SA · 8 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+2.02 starts · most on the roster
vs PITVenueSAGASV%
28 Mar 2026away123.750
7 Dec 2025home292.931
11 Nov 2024away211.952
22 Mar 2024home222.909

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Casey DeSmith .923 (1 GP)

Full game log

Pittsburgh crease

PIT · 2026-27 Starter not named

Arturs Silovs.8862 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −0.5
Sergei Murashov.9121 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.5

No appearances against Dallas in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.4 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

28 Mar 20269 · DAL 6–3 PIT
7 Dec 20255 · PIT 2–3 DAL
5 Apr 20258 · PIT 5–3 DAL
11 Nov 20248 · DAL 7–1 PIT
22 Mar 20246 · PIT 2–4 DAL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Dallas2.002.003.402.76
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.4Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

7 on the injury lists

Dallas · injuries

Cameron HughesUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Harrison ScottUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Luke KrysUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Matt DucheneLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct

Pittsburgh · injuries

Bryan RustUpper BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Justin BrazeauLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ryan GravesKneeIRReturn24 Oct
5 Oct · DAL

Assigned D Cameron Bertucci to Texas (AHL).

1 Oct · DAL

Placed F Matt Duchene on long-term injured reserve retroactive to Sept. 29. Recalled Fs Arttu Hyry and Colin Blackwell from Texas (AHL).

30 Sep · DAL

Signed G Casey DeSmith to a two-year contract.

3 Oct · PIT

Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.

1 Oct · PIT

Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).

30 Sep · PIT

Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.

Injury report
#59Jakub VanecekRound 2 · Tri-cityD
#155Ryan BrownRound 5 · LondonLW
#187Anton Emil Wilde LarsenRound 6 · FrederikshavnG
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#22Liam RuckRound 1 · Medicine HatRW
#39Markus RuckRound 2 · Medicine HatC
#54Tomas GalvasRound 2 · LiberecD
#86Pierce MbuyiRound 3 · Owen SoundLW
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Updated after every final