Game day · NHL 2026-27

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks: game preview

Puck drop7 Oct · 10:00 PM ET
VenueHonda Center
All-time meetings151 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Edmonton favoured at 53.8%

Edmonton finished last season 14th in the league on 93 points. Anaheim finished 18th on 92, and the 2025-26 season series went ANA 5-4-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Anaheim at 46.2% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 52.9%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 52.9% ANAMarket: 46.2% ANA

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.561 vs .567) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Anaheim 6.7 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-head

Meeting number 152

Across 151 completed games, Anaheim lead the head-to-head 76-61-14.

All-time record76-61-14Anaheim's record in the series
Meetings played151This is number 152
2025-26 seriesANA 5-4-0
Last 54-1Anaheim
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
30 Apr 2026EDM 2 – ANA 527–31EDM 0/0 · ANA 1/2ANA
28 Apr 2026ANA 1 – EDM 430–20ANA 1/2 · EDM 1/4EDM
26 Apr 2026EDM 3 – ANA 4 OT27–38EDM 2/2 · ANA 2/4ANA
24 Apr 2026EDM 4 – ANA 725–39EDM 1/2 · ANA 1/3ANA
22 Apr 2026ANA 6 – EDM 428–37ANA 2/3 · EDM 0/4ANA
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateEdmontonAnaheim
22 Apr 202641-30-11 · 93 pts14th43-33-6 · 92 pts18th
24 Apr 202641-30-11 · 93 pts14th43-33-6 · 92 pts18th
26 Apr 202641-30-11 · 93 pts14th43-33-6 · 92 pts18th
28 Apr 202641-30-11 · 93 pts14th43-33-6 · 92 pts18th
30 Apr 202641-30-11 · 93 pts14th43-33-6 · 92 pts18th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 22 Apr 2026, Edmonton were 14th in the league and Anaheim 18th. By 30 Apr 2026 it was 14th and 18th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Anaheim out-attempted Edmonton 319 to 255

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Edmonton Oilers

255 att · 136 on goal · 17 G · 12.5%
Crease22 att · 3 G
Slot80 att · 4 G
Wing101 att · 10 G
Point44 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 0 G

Anaheim Ducks

319 att · 166 on goal · 23 G · 13.9%
Crease16 att · 1 G
Slot106 att · 13 G
Wing132 att · 4 G
Point52 att · 3 G
Neutral zone13 att · 2 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Edmonton and Anaheim are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

EdmontonAnaheim
3.31xG for per game2.19
2.10xG against per game3.49
61.2%xG share38.6%
+7.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+2.6
−7.7GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.0

This season: 3 games for Edmonton, 2 for Anaheim. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Edmonton

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2630.6% · 1st
Power play · last 5 meetings4/12 · 33.3%
Penalty kill · 2026-2757.1%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.8% · 20th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.7% · 91/176
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

Anaheim

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2750.0%
Power play · 2025-2618.6% · 23rd
Power play · last 5 meetings7/14 · 50.0%
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.4% · 27th
Faceoffs · 2026-2743.9% · 50/114
Drawn · 2026-276 (3.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings14 (2.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (3.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings7

Skaters

Leon Draisaitl has 8 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
97Connor McDavid32793.00
29Leon Draisaitl33251.67
91Leo Carlsson21452.50
61Cutter Gauthier22242.00
64Mikael Granlund21121.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
2Evan Bouchard34482.67
6Ryan Shea31231.00
14Mattias Ekholm30000.00
67Tristan Luneau20110.50
47Noah Warren20110.50
Defencemen stats

Leon Draisaitl vs Anaheim · game by game

See all: Leon Draisaitl vs Anaheim · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
30 Apr 2026away011124:01
28 Apr 2026home202423:22
26 Apr 2026away011221:45
24 Apr 2026away022120:52
22 Apr 2026home112324:56
Last 5 meetings8 P3 G, 5 A · 11 SOG
Next best8 PJackson LaCombe, ANA
2026-27 season5 P3 GP · 3 G
Blank vs ANA0 of 5A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Lukas Dostal has started most of these meetings

Lukas Dostal played 5 of the last 5 meetings with Edmonton, with a .872 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Expected starter#27 Devon Levi
  • Started 2 of 3 this season

2026-27: 2 GP · .810 SV% · GSAx −4

Also possible: Jarry 43%

Injured: Andersen (injured reserve)

Expected starter#1 Lukas Dostal
  • Started 2 of 2 this season
  • 56 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .918 SV% · GSAx +2

Also possible: Husso 13%

Edmonton crease

EDM · 2026-27 Expected: Levi · 57%

Devon Levi.8102 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −3.6
Tristan Jarry.7391 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −4.1
#vs ANAAppsSAGASV%
35Tristan Jarry1384.895

ANA · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 87%

SV% · 2026-27.9182 GP · 2.42 GAA · 2025-26 .888
vs Edmonton.8725 app · 125 SA · 16 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+2.02 starts · most on the roster
vs EDMVenueSAGASV%
30 Apr 2026home272.926
28 Apr 2026away93.667
26 Apr 2026home273.889
24 Apr 2026home254.840
22 Apr 2026away374.892
Full game log

Totals

A total set below what the numbers suggest

The board sits at 6.5. Both teams' scoring rates point to 7.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 8.0 goals and went over 4 times.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

30 Apr 20267 · EDM 2–5 ANA
28 Apr 20265 · ANA 1–4 EDM
26 Apr 20267 · EDM 3–4 ANA
24 Apr 202611 · EDM 4–7 ANA
22 Apr 202610 · ANA 6–4 EDM

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner; the red mark is tonight's line of 6.5.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Edmonton5.674.673.443.28
Anaheim3.502.503.333.51

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest7.0Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.0Goals per game
Line · over 6.54 of 5Meetings over the line
Books at the line8Posting 6.5

Prediction markets

Edmonton favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 8 books
Edmonton56¢56¢53.8%
Anaheim47¢48¢46.2%
Canada · 1 book
Edmonton57¢57¢53.3%
Anaheim50¢50¢46.7%

Snapshot 6 Oct, 4:11 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 6.58 books
Puck line ANA +1.55 books
Puck line EDM -1.55 books
Partner prices · trade this game

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure


Player markets

Connor McDavid is the likeliest to score a point, at 79%

What the venues price for individual players in this game, next to a rate from each player's scoring this season and last.

PlayerImplied · venue avgFrom statsKalshiOpen →PolymarketOpen →ProphetXOpen →
Connor McDavidEdmonton79%82%82¢Best82¢Not listed
Leon DraisaitlEdmonton71%78%Best73¢80¢Not listed
Evan BouchardEdmonton67%70%68¢Best68¢Not listed
Cutter GauthierAnaheim64%61%66¢Best65¢Not listed
Leo CarlssonAnaheim59%63%Best61¢62¢Not listed
Vasily PodkolzinEdmonton56%39%59¢Best58¢Not listed
Beckett SenneckeAnaheim55%52%57¢Best57¢Not listed
Jackson LaCombeAnaheim54%51%57¢Best56¢Not listed
Mikael GranlundAnaheim53%51%55¢Best55¢Not listed
Kasperi KapanenEdmonton46%35%48¢Best48¢Not listed
Alex KillornAnaheim40%33%43¢Best42¢Not listed
A.J. GreerAnaheim35%34%Not listed40¢Not listed

Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "From stats" is a Poisson rate from his points, goals or assists per game over this season and last combined; it knows nothing about tonight's lineup. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure


Team news

12 on the injury lists

Edmonton · injuries

Alec RegulaUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Atro LeppanenUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct
Frederik AndersenKneeIRReturn30 Dec
James StefanUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Jason DickinsonFootIRReturn7 Oct
Matt SavoieLower BodyIRReturn24 Nov
Mattias JanmarkUndisclosedIRReturn15 Oct
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsLower BodyIRReturn13 Oct
Zach HymanUndisclosedOutReturn17 Oct

Anaheim · injuries

Drew HellesonLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Ian MooreLower BodyIRReturn16 Oct
Troy TerryHipIRReturn21 Nov
1 Oct · EDM

Placed F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on injured reserve. Placed D Alec Regula on long-term injured reserve. Recalled F Josh Samanski under emergency conditions.

27 Sep · EDM

Placed G Matt Tomkins on waivers for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield (AHL).

25 Sep · EDM

Loaned D Tomas Cibulka, Fs Connor Clattenburg, Quinn Hutson, Viljami Marjala, William Nicholl and Aku Raty and G Connor Ungar to Bakersfield (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield Ds Josh Brown and Riley Stillman and F Eduards Tralmaks.

1 Oct · ANA

Signed D Tristan Luneau to a six-year contract extension.

30 Sep · ANA

Reassigned C Roger McQueen and C Cruz Lucius to San Diego (AHL). Recalled D Noah Warren, D Ian Mitchell and D Tristan Luneau from San Diego. Placed D Drew Helleson on injured reserve. Moved RW Troy Terry from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

27 Sep · ANA

Placed G Laurent Brossoit and D Travis Mitchell on waivers.

Injury report
#58Rudolfs BerzkalnsRound 2 · MuskegonC
#84Malcom GastrinRound 3 · Modo Jr.LW
#133Andrew RobinsonRound 5 · WindsorD
#180Caden HarveyRound 6 · WindsorC
Full draft
#15Nikita KlepovRound 1 · SaginawRW
#28Marcus NordmarkRound 1 · Djurgarden Jr.LW
#45Jayden KurtzRound 2 · RogersD
#50Mathis PrestonRound 2 · VancouverRW
Full draft

Updated after every final · Snapshot 6 Oct, 4:11 PM ET