Award markets · 2026-27

Hart Trophy market 2026-27

Most valuable player: every name the venues price to win it, with each player's line so far and the price to buy Yes at each venue.

Prices 11:12 AM ET
27 names priced

Connor McDavid leads at 23%

Implied chance is the venues' average midpoint; each cell is the price to buy Yes there. An early-season price is mostly reputation.

PlayerImplied · venue avgThis seasonKalshiOpen →PolymarketOpen →ProphetXOpen →
Connor McDavidEdmonton23%9 P in 330¢Best21¢Not listed
Macklin CelebriniSan Jose23%5 P in 234¢Best23¢Not listed
Nathan MacKinnonColorado15%5 P in 220¢Best15¢Not listed
Quinn HughesMinnesota12%4 P in 319¢Not listedNot listed
Auston MatthewsToronto8.5%5 P in 4Best10¢12¢Not listed
Jack HughesNew Jersey7.5%2 P in 324¢Best8¢Not listed
Kirill KaprizovMinnesota7.0%3 P in 312¢Best5¢Not listed
Nikita KucherovTampa Bay5.5%4 P in 326¢Best6¢Not listed
David PastrnakBoston5.5%2 P in 4Not listed6¢Not listed
Leon DraisaitlEdmonton2.5%5 P in 3Not listed3¢Not listed
Cale MakarColorado2.5%3 P in 2Best1.9¢3¢Not listed
Igor ShesterkinNY Rangers1.5%.926 SV% in 41.9¢Not listedNot listed
Nick SuzukiMontréal1.4%6 P in 32.7¢Not listedNot listed
Connor BedardChicago1.1%No games yet2¢Not listedNot listed
Mitch MarnerVegas1.0%2 P in 42¢Not listedNot listed
Pavel DorofeyevNY Rangers1.0%2 P in 52¢Not listedNot listed
Sidney CrosbyPittsburgh1.0%2 P in 31.9¢Not listedNot listed
Kyle ConnorWinnipeg1.0%5 P in 31.9¢Not listedNot listed
Matthew TkachukFlorida0.6%3 P in 41¢Not listedNot listed
Andrei VasilevskiyTampa Bay0.5%.900 SV% in 31¢Not listedNot listed
William NylanderToronto0.5%6 P in 41¢Not listedNot listed
Connor HellebuyckWinnipeg0.5%No games yet0.9¢Not listedNot listed
Mikko RantanenDallas0.5%2 P in 30.9¢Not listedNot listed
Brady TkachukFlorida0.5%0 P in 40.9¢Not listedNot listed
Cole CaufieldMontréal0.4%2 P in 30.8¢Not listedNot listed
Artemi PanarinLos Angeles0.3%3 P in 30.6¢Not listedNot listed
Alex OvechkinWashington0.2%1 P in 20.4¢Not listedNot listed

Snapshot 7 Oct, 11:12 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure


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Guide

What is the Hart Trophy?

The Hart Trophy goes to the player judged most valuable to his team. The vote is by the Professional Hockey Writers’ Association, cast at the end of the regular season. It is handed out after the season, so a price here is the market’s view of a race that runs until the last regular-season game.

A price of 25¢ means about a one-in-four chance in the market’s view. Award markets are thin early in the season, and one hot month can move a price a long way.