Make the playoffs
Every team's price to make the playoffs, next to our season model's chance, projected points and the range the model expects.
11 teams on the bubble in the Eastern Conference
Our model gives Boston 30%, Buffalo 63%, Columbus 42%, Detroit 40%, Florida 60%, Montréal 38%, New Jersey 42%, NY Islanders 30%, NY Rangers 55%, Pittsburgh 68%, Washington 46%. Eight of sixteen make it: three from each division and two wild cards.
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "Our model" plays out the rest of the season 4,000 times from each team's shot quality (expected goals) this season and last; Market vs model has the method. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
6 teams on the bubble in the Western Conference
Our model gives Anaheim 63%, Dallas 65%, Los Angeles 48%, Nashville 31%, St. Louis 31%, Winnipeg 51%. Eight of sixteen make it: three from each division and two wild cards.
Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:12 AM ET. "Our model" plays out the rest of the season 4,000 times from each team's shot quality (expected goals) this season and last; Market vs model has the method. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure
Responsible play. 18+/21+ depending on your state or province and platform. Trading event contracts involves risk of loss and is not appropriate for everyone. Pucks & Stats compares prices and earns affiliate commissions from the venues listed; it is not a broker or exchange. Market prices are not available in every location. Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. Affiliate disclosure · Responsible gaming
NHL playoff odds explained
Each team’s price to make the playoffs, next to our season model’s chance, its projected points and the range it expects. A price of 70¢ is a 70% chance in the market’s view; where the market and the model disagree by a lot, one of them is missing something.
How does the season model work?
It plays out the rest of the schedule thousands of times from each team’s strength and its remaining opponents, then counts how often each team finishes in a playoff spot. Early in the season it leans on last season; it shifts toward this season’s results as games are played. Methodology.
What does it take to get in?
Eight teams per conference qualify: the top three in each division and two wild cards. The wild card standings show the race as it stands.