Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 26 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Nashville Predators at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop29 Dec · 7:00 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings49 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty points apart last season

Nashville finished last season 23rd in the league on 86 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 50

Across 49 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 27-17-5.

All-time record27-17-5Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played49This is number 50
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
29 Mar 2026NSH 2 – TBL 3——TBL
28 Oct 2025TBL 5 – NSH 2——TBL
29 Nov 2024TBL 3 – NSH 2 OT——TBL
28 Oct 2024NSH 2 – TBL 3 OT——TBL
7 Dec 2023TBL 1 – NSH 5——NSH
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateNashvilleTampa Bay
28 Oct 20254-5-2 · 10 pts26th4-4-2 · 10 pts23rd
29 Mar 202634-31-9 · 77 pts21st46-21-6 · 98 pts3rd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 28 Oct 2025, Nashville were 26th in the league and Tampa Bay 23rd. By 29 Mar 2026 it was 21st and 3rd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Nashville 113 to 102

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Nashville Predators

102 att · 51 on goal · 4 G · 7.8%
Crease11 att · 1 G
Slot31 att · 1 G
Wing38 att · 2 G
Point19 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

113 att · 60 on goal · 8 G · 13.3%
Crease10 att · 3 G
Slot43 att · 4 G
Wing38 att · 1 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

NashvilleTampa Bay
2.50xG for per game4.04
3.14xG against per game2.64
44.3%xG share60.5%
−0.5FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
+0.4GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 3 games for Nashville, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Nashville

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2737.5%
Power play · 2025-2623.1% · 11th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2775.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.7% · 5th
Faceoffs · 2026-2747.6% · 80/168
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
91Steven Stamkos33141.33
21Nils Hoglander33031.00
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
59Roman Josi31231.00
76Brady Skjei30110.33
47Jack Ahcan20110.50
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 28 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 28 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Nashville crease

NSH · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 26 Dec

Juuse Saros.9073 GP · 1-1-1 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 26 Dec

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Nashville in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

29 Mar 20265 · NSH 2–3 TBL
28 Oct 20257 · TBL 5–2 NSH
29 Nov 20245 · TBL 3–2 NSH
28 Oct 20245 · NSH 2–3 TBL
7 Dec 20236 · TBL 1–5 NSH

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Nashville2.333.003.013.28
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

4 on the injury lists

Nashville · injuries

Justus AnnunenUndisclosedIRReturn13 Oct

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
6 Oct · NSH

Recalled G Matt Murray from Milwaukee (AHL). Placed G Justus Annunen on injured reserve.

4 Oct · NSH

Recalled LW Yegor Pinchuk from Milwaukee (AHL). Assigned G Matt Murray to Milwaukee.

3 Oct · NSH

Recalled G Matthew Murray from Milwaukee (AHL).

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#10Wyatt CullenRound 1 · Usa U-18LW
#31Thomas BleylRound 1 · MonctonD
#70Dmitri BorichevRound 3 · Loko-76 YaroslavlG
#106Jakub FlorisRound 4 · Lukko Jr.D
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final