Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 26 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators: game preview

Puck drop29 Dec · 7:00 PM ET
VenueCanadian Tire Centre
All-time meetings49 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Thirteen points apart last season

Dallas finished last season 3rd in the league on 112 points. Ottawa finished 9th on 99.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 50

Across 49 completed games, Dallas lead the head-to-head 27-16-6.

All-time record27-16-6Dallas's record in the series
Meetings played49This is number 50
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Dallas
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
30 Nov 2025OTT 1 – DAL 6——DAL
11 Nov 2025DAL 3 – OTT 2 OT——DAL
12 Jan 2025DAL 2 – OTT 3——OTT
2 Jan 2025OTT 2 – DAL 4——DAL
22 Feb 2024DAL 1 – OTT 4——OTT
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateDallasOttawa
11 Nov 202510-4-3 · 23 pts4th8-5-4 · 20 pts10th
30 Nov 202517-5-4 · 38 pts2nd12-9-4 · 28 pts17th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 11 Nov 2025, Dallas were 4th in the league and Ottawa 10th. By 30 Nov 2025 it was 2nd and 17th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Ottawa out-attempted Dallas 97 to 93

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Dallas Stars

93 att · 59 on goal · 9 G · 15.3%
Crease6 att · 2 G
Slot43 att · 6 G
Wing28 att · 1 G
Point13 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Ottawa Senators

97 att · 45 on goal · 3 G · 6.7%
Crease10 att · 1 G
Slot33 att · 0 G
Wing36 att · 2 G
Point16 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

DallasOttawa
3.08xG for per game2.95
2.44xG against per game3.41
55.8%xG share46.4%
−3.2FinishingGoals minus expected goals+1.1
+1.3GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.2

This season: 3 games for Dallas, 3 for Ottawa. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Dallas

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2628.6% · 2nd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2777.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.3% · 13th
Faceoffs · 2026-2755.1% · 86/156
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
14Jamie Benn31120.67
96Mikko Rantanen31120.67
21Jason Robertson31120.67
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
57Tyler Myers30000.00
23Esa Lindell30000.00
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 27 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 27 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Dallas crease

DAL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 26 Dec

Jake Oettinger.9432 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx +2.0
Casey DeSmith.9231 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 26 Dec

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Dallas in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

30 Nov 20257 · OTT 1–6 DAL
11 Nov 20255 · DAL 3–2 OTT
12 Jan 20255 · DAL 2–3 OTT
2 Jan 20256 · OTT 2–4 DAL
22 Feb 20245 · DAL 1–4 OTT

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Dallas2.002.003.402.76
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

10 on the injury lists

Dallas · injuries

Cameron HughesUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Harrison ScottUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Luke KrysUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Matt DucheneLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct
5 Oct · DAL

Assigned D Cameron Bertucci to Texas (AHL).

1 Oct · DAL

Placed F Matt Duchene on long-term injured reserve retroactive to Sept. 29. Recalled Fs Arttu Hyry and Colin Blackwell from Texas (AHL).

30 Sep · DAL

Signed G Casey DeSmith to a two-year contract.

6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

Injury report
#59Jakub VanecekRound 2 · Tri-cityD
#155Ryan BrownRound 5 · LondonLW
#187Anton Emil Wilde LarsenRound 6 · FrederikshavnG
#197Jasper KuhtaRound 7 · OttawaC
Full draft
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final