Tampa Bay Lightning · #38 · Left wing

Brandon Hagel

Age 28 · Shoots left · 6′2″ · 185 lb · Born Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, CAN

Drafted 2016, #159 overall by Buffalo

Next game · Thu 8 Octvs Minnesota · 7:00 PM ET2 P in the last 2 vs MIN

90+ points 44%Art Ross Trophy 0.5%Markets →

Game preview →

Games32026-27 Small sample

Goals1T-1st on TBL

Assists2T-2nd on TBL

Points3T-2nd on TBL

P / GP1.00T-52nd in the NHL

Shots175.9% shooting

TOI / GP21:592nd on TBL

2025-262025-26: 71 games, 36-38-74, 1.04 points per game Season detail →

Brandon Hagel has 3 points in 3 games of 2026-27, after 74 points in 71 games last season.

This season

2026-27 regular season · 3 games Small sample

2026-27 · The season

3 points in 3 games for the 12th-placed Tampa Bay

Where he ranks among NHL forwards with 2+ games, then his scoring rate through the season in ten-game blocks.

Percentile among NHL forwards

Ice time21:5999th

Shots / GP5.6799th

Takeaways398th

Points / GP1.0084th

Penalty differential+180th

Assists / 601.8272nd

Goals / 600.9157th

Shooting %5.9%50th

Blocked shots141st

PP points036th

Hits119th

Bars show the percentile against 383 forwards with 2+ games in 2026-27; the thin line marks the league median.

Points per game · rolling blocks

Dashed line: season average (1.0). Dark blocks sit at or above it.

Where he ranks

See all: Where he ranks →

Points3T-2nd on TBL

Points per game1.00T-52nd in NHL

Goals1T-67th in NHL

Assists2T-2nd on TBL

Shooting %5.9%Below avg (11.6%)

Ice time21:592nd on TBL

Stats hub

Ice time and special teams

A top-line forward who runs the first power play

Even-strength, power-play and shorthanded minutes, and how much of Tampa Bay's power play went through him.

Ice time by strength

Even strength13:44

Power play6:19

Shorthanded1:56

Total21:59

23.0 shifts a game, averaging 57 seconds each.

Special teams

PP goals0T-1st on TBL

PP assists0T-1st on TBL

PP points0T-1st on TBL · T-142nd NHL

SH goals0

PP points / 600.00T-1st on TBL

Scoring detail

Most of the goals come at even strength

How the 1 goal and 2 assists were scored: when, at what strength, in what game state, and per 60 minutes.

Goal detail

Game-winning goals0T-3rd on TBL

Overtime goals0T-1st on TBL

First goal of the game0

Empty-net goals1

Even-strength goals1

Power-play goals0

Goals by period

1st0

2nd0

3rd1

Overtime0

Goals by game state

Tied0

Leading1

Trailing0

0 of 1 goal broke a tie; 0 came with Tampa Bay trailing.

Assists

Primary2 · 100%

Secondary0 · 0%

Primary assists are the stronger playmaking signal.

Rates per 60

Points / 602.73

Goals / 600.91

Shots / 6015.5

ES points / 604.373 ES points

PP points / 600.000 PP points

Shot locations

Most attempts from the slot, goals from the slot

Every attempt, attacking right, from the games with a stored shot map.

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

By zone

Crease2 att · 0 G

Slot12 att · 1 G

Wing11 att · 0 G

Point4 att · 0 G

Neutral zone1 att · 0 G

30 attempts across the 3 games with a stored shot map. Small sample

Expected goals

See all: Expected goals →

Expected goals (ixG)2.83rd

Goals1

Goals vs expected−1.8

Unblocked attempts23

xG per attempt.121

ixG per 602.53

2026-27 · 3 games. Rank among all skaters by ixG. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every unblocked attempt he took, weighed by its chance of scoring from that spot, shot type and strength. Above zero is finishing better than the chances.

xG leaders

2026-27 · Skating and shot power

20+ mph bursts in the 71st percentile of forwards: 6

How fast he skated, how far, how hard he shot and where on the ice his shifts were spent, against the average NHL forward.

Tracking percentile among NHL forwards

Defensive-zone time35.4%85th

Offensive-zone time45.5%79th

20+ mph bursts671st

Distance skated, mi9.067th

Hardest shot, mph80.8165th

Top speed, mph21.4458th

Average shot, mph55.852nd

90+ mph shots048th

22+ mph bursts041st

Distance / 60, mi8.210th

Bars show the percentile against 383 forwards with 2+ games in 2026-27; the thin line marks the median. Higher is better on every row: less defensive-zone time ranks higher.

Top speed, mph21.44Forward average 21.23

Hardest shot, mph80.81Forward average 74.7

Distance skated9.0 mi3.23 mi in his longest game

Offensive-zone starts57.6%15.2% defensive · 27.3% neutral

Where his shifts were spent

45.5%All situations35.4%

41.6%Even strength35.7%

60.5%Power play25.9%

24.5%Shorthanded63.6%

OffensiveNeutralDefensive

Share of his time on ice in each zone.

Fastest moments

21.44@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 00:18
21.15vsPHI5 Oct · 1st 13:22
20.83@NYR1 Oct · 3rd 11:49
20.58@NYR1 Oct · 3rd 03:51
20.15vsPHI5 Oct · 2nd 01:50
20.01vsWSH3 Oct · 1st 07:20
19.99vsPHI5 Oct · 2nd 09:29
19.97@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 10:26

His fastest bursts in mph.

22+ mph0 · avg 0.3

20-22 mph6 · avg 4.6

18-20 mph20 · avg 20

Bursts per speed band, against the forward average.

Hardest shots

80.81@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 02:40
78.06vsPHI5 Oct · 3rd 04:10
76.18@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 16:51
75.93@NYR1 Oct · 1st 08:39
74.74vsPHI5 Oct · 1st 10:48
74.36vsPHI5 Oct · 1st 18:55
72.95@NYR1 Oct · 3rd 16:56
71.49vsPHI5 Oct · 3rd 00:28

Shot speed in mph, every attempt type.

100+ mph0 · avg 0.0

90-99 mph0 · avg 0.0

80-89 mph1 · avg 0.6

70-79 mph7 · avg 1.6

Shot attempts per speed band.

Distance, last 10 games

2.77vsPHI5 Oct · 20:11 TOI
3.03vsWSH3 Oct · 22:07 TOI
3.23@NYR1 Oct · 23:40 TOI

Miles per game with his time on ice. Season average 3.01 a game. Small sample: these numbers move a lot in the first weeks of a season.

Physical play, discipline and faceoffs

Possession events, penalties drawn against penalties taken, and faceoffs.

Possession and physical

Takeaways31st on TBL

Giveaways4

TK / GV ratio0.75

Hits1T-15th on TBL

Blocked shots1T-11th on TBL

Discipline

Penalty minutes2

Minors1

Majors0

Penalties drawn2

Net penalties+1drawn minus taken

Faceoffs

Taken31.0 a game

Won1

Win %33.3%

Offensive zone1 of 2

A part-time centre on the draw.

Game log

Against Minnesota, a point in one of two

Full game log →

DateOpponentResultGAPSOG+/-TOI

24 Mar 2026vs

MINW 6-31122+118:49

3 Mar 2026@

MINL 1-50002−220:50

Prediction markets

44% for the 90+ points

Season ladders and award futures he is priced for, as the venues' average midpoint.

MarketImpliedFrom stats

Kalshi Open →

Polymarket Open →

ProphetX Open →

90+ points2026-27 regular season44%—58¢Not listedNot listed

Art Ross TrophyPoints leader0.5%—1¢Not listedNot listed

Rocket Richard TrophyGoals leader1.0%—2¢Not listedNot listed

Selke TrophyBest defensive forward1.5%—Not listed2¢Not listed

Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

2025-26 · The season

74 points in 71 games on a team that finished 5th

Where he ranks among NHL forwards with 40+ games, then his scoring rate through the season in ten-game blocks.

Percentile among NHL forwards

Takeaways3596th

Goals / 601.5495th

Points / GP1.0494th

Shots / GP3.0194th

Ice time19:4691st

Assists / 601.6386th

Penalty differential+885th

Shooting %16.8%85th

PP points1270th

Blocked shots3862nd

Hits4228th

Bars show the percentile against 411 forwards with 40+ games in 2025-26; the thin line marks the league median.

Points per game · rolling blocks

Dashed line: season average (1.0). Dark blocks sit at or above it.

Where he ranks

See all: Where he ranks →

Points743rd on TBL

Points per game1.0430th in NHL

Goals36T-21st in NHL

Assists384th on TBL

Shooting %16.8%Above avg (11.1%)

Ice time19:465th on TBL

Stats hub

Ice time and special teams

A top-six forward who runs the first power play

Even-strength, power-play and shorthanded minutes, and how much of Tampa Bay's power play went through him.

Ice time by strength

Even strength15:20

Power play2:11

Shorthanded2:14

Total19:46

23.1 shifts a game, averaging 51 seconds each.

Special teams

PP goals5T-6th on TBL

PP assists75th on TBL

PP points126th on TBL · T-150th NHL

SH goals1

PP points / 604.637th on TBL

Power-play involvement

Goals on the PP51Tampa Bay total

Involved in12goals or assists

Share23.5%of every TBL PPG

PP TOI share45.0%of TBL PP time

Team power-play goals from the season team report; involvement is his power-play points.

Scoring detail

Clutch numbers to match the totals

How the 36 goals and 38 assists were scored: when, at what strength, in what game state, and per 60 minutes.

Goal detail

Game-winning goals6T-2nd on TBL

Overtime goals0T-5th on TBL

First goal of the game7

Empty-net goals7

Even-strength goals30

Power-play goals5

Shorthanded goals1

Goals by period

1st11

2nd7

3rd18

Overtime0

Goals by game state

Tied12

Leading17

Trailing7

12 of 36 goals broke a tie; 7 came with Tampa Bay trailing.

Assists

Primary26 · 68%

Secondary12 · 32%

Primary assists are the stronger playmaking signal.

Rates per 60

Points / 603.16

Goals / 601.54

Shots / 609.2

ES points / 603.4262 ES points

PP points / 604.6312 PP points

Shot locations

Most attempts from the slot, goals from the slot

Every attempt, attacking right, from the games with a stored shot map.

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

By zone

Crease44 att · 4 G

Slot235 att · 25 G

Wing166 att · 8 G

Point34 att · 0 G

Neutral zone2 att · 0 G

481 attempts across the 73 games with a stored shot map.

Expected goals

See all: Expected goals →

Expected goals (ixG)2.83rd

Goals1

Goals vs expected−1.8

Unblocked attempts23

xG per attempt.121

ixG per 602.53

2026-27 · 3 games. Rank among all skaters by ixG. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every unblocked attempt he took, weighed by its chance of scoring from that spot, shot type and strength. Above zero is finishing better than the chances.

xG leaders

2025-26 · Skating and shot power

Top speed in the 86th percentile of forwards: 23.22 mph

How fast he skated, how far, how hard he shot and where on the ice his shifts were spent, against the average NHL forward.

Tracking percentile among NHL forwards

22+ mph bursts1288th

Top speed, mph23.2286th

20+ mph bursts16683rd

Average shot, mph55.474th

Distance skated, mi207.768th

Defensive-zone time39.1%58th

Offensive-zone time42.9%56th

Hardest shot, mph87.5853rd

90+ mph shots038th

Distance / 60, mi8.885th

Bars show the percentile against 370 forwards with 40+ games in 2025-26; the thin line marks the median. Higher is better on every row: less defensive-zone time ranks higher.

Top speed, mph23.22Forward average 22.51

Hardest shot, mph87.58Forward average 87.1

Distance skated207.7 mi4.05 mi in his longest game

Offensive-zone starts39.2%32.6% defensive · 28.2% neutral

Where his shifts were spent

42.9%All situations39.1%

OffensiveNeutralDefensive

Share of his time on ice in each zone.

Fastest moments

22+ mph12 · avg 5.7

20-22 mph154 · avg 102

18-20 mph483 · avg 448

Bursts per speed band, against the forward average.

Hardest shots

100+ mph0 · avg 0.0

90-99 mph0 · avg 1.0

80-89 mph20 · avg 15

70-79 mph92 · avg 42

Shot attempts per speed band.

Physical play, discipline and faceoffs

Draws more penalties than he takes

Possession events, penalties drawn against penalties taken, and faceoffs.

Possession and physical

Takeaways351st on TBL

Giveaways75

TK / GV ratio0.47

Hits4218th on TBL

Blocked shots38T-12th on TBL

Discipline

Penalty minutes58

Minors23

Majors2

Penalties drawn33

Net penalties+8drawn minus taken

Faceoffs

Taken630.9 a game

Won26

Win %41.3%

Offensive zone6 of 20

A winger: fewer than one draw a game.

Consistency

A point in every other game (41 of 71)

How often he scores, how long the streaks run.

How often he scores

Games with a point4158% of games

Multi-point games2434%

Goals in30 games42%

Pointless games3042%

Streaks

Longest point streak6 games31 Dec – 12 Jan

Longest goal streak5 games

Longest pointless run5 games

Final ten11 in 10point in 7

Game log

Against Minnesota, a point in one of two

Full game log →

DateOpponentResultGAPSOG+/-TOI

24 Mar 2026vs

MINW 6-31122+118:49

3 Mar 2026@

MINL 1-50002−220:50

Splits · 2025-26

Better on the road

Home and road

SplitGPPP/GP

Home35320.91

Road36421.17

By opponent

SplitGPPP/GP

vs Minnesota221.00

vs Atlantic19130.68

vs Western Conf.30391.30

By month

SplitGPPP/GP

October1180.73

November13191.46

December1070.70

January13151.15

February661.00

March16181.13

April210.50

Prediction markets

44% for the 90+ points

Season ladders and award futures he is priced for, as the venues' average midpoint.

MarketImpliedFrom stats

Kalshi Open →

Polymarket Open →

ProphetX Open →

90+ points2026-27 regular season44%—58¢Not listedNot listed

Art Ross TrophyPoints leader0.5%—1¢Not listedNot listed

Rocket Richard TrophyGoals leader1.0%—2¢Not listedNot listed

Selke TrophyBest defensive forward1.5%—Not listed2¢Not listed

Contract

$6.5M a season through 2031-32

In 2025-26 he scored 11.4 points per $1M of cap hit, 111th of 370 forwards with 40 or more games and a current contract.

Cap hit$6.5M6.3% of the $104M ceiling

Term8 yearsYear 3 of 8

Expires2031-32UFA at 33

Cap value$52MCap hit × 8 years

Cap space, every team Best-value contracts

Cap hit is the average annual charge against the salary cap, not a yearly salary; cap value is cap hit times the years of the deal, not a reported total. As of 2 Oct 2026.