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‹TUE OCT 6›
9 games, finals
TUEOCT 6
FINAL/OT
NSH4
TOR5
FINAL
CAR6
MTL4
FINAL
OTT3
DET5
FINAL
UTA5
NJD3
FINAL/OT
MIN2
BUF3
FINAL
NYI2
NYR5
FINAL
STL2
CHI4
FINAL
VGK6
SEA2
FINAL
FLA2
LAK1
RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Tuesday 6 October · Crypto.com Arena · Meeting No. 51
FINAL
By period
123T
Florida0112
Los Angeles1001
Pre-game favouriteFLA 52.5%Won
First starM. Tkachuk1 G · 0 A
Game stats
28Shots20
3.0Expected goals1.9
0/5Power play0/4
33Hits13
14Blocks17
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Tkachuk scores the winner as Florida beat Los Angeles 2-1

Florida out-shot Los Angeles 28-20 in a game with 1 lead change. The pre-game price had FLA at 52.5%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 6 Oct

1st period: A. Laferriere (LAK). 2nd period: S. Jones (FLA). 3rd period: M. Tkachuk (FLA).

Seth Jones led Florida with 1 goal. Jacob Markstrom stopped 19 of 20 shots. On expected goals it was Florida 3.0, Los Angeles 1.9. On the power play Florida went 0 for 5 and Los Angeles 0 for 4.

Shots28-20Florida first
Power play0/5Florida
Lead changes1
DecidedRegulationWinner at 11:20

How it turned

1st period
19:00Alex Laferriere (goal 1)Assists: E. HaulaEV0-1
2nd period
03:49Seth Jones (goal 1)Assists: L. EllerEV1-1
3rd period
11:20Matthew Tkachuk (goal 2)Assists: S. BennettEV · GWG2-1

Where the goals came from

Florida attacking leftLos Angeles attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Florida 2.96 xGLos Angeles 1.89 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.532nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The market got this one

Market, pre-game52.5% FLACalled it
Last season's table57.2% LAKMissed
Total goals3Under 5.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Florida host Minnesota on Saturday 10 October. Los Angeles visit Vegas on Saturday 10 October.

Florida PanthersLos Angeles Kings
Full game data

Box score

Florida

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
3Seth Jones10120—25:33
19Matthew Tkachuk1012+1—21:25
9Sam Bennett0111+126.7%19:29
20Lars Eller0110+141.7%12:56
42Gustav Forsling0002+2—21:22
13Sam Reinhart0003−177.8%21:01
15Anton Lundell0003038.5%18:40
7Dmitry Kulikov0001+1—18:23
23Carter Verhaeghe0002+2100.0%18:10
77Niko Mikkola0001−1—18:10
8Brady Tkachuk0002−150.0%17:12
27Eetu Luostarinen00020100.0%15:43
26Uvis Balinskis00010—14:13
6Radko Gudas00010—12:08
95Sandis Vilmanis00010—11:49
63Brad Marchand0002−1—9:36
21Garnet Hathaway0000+1—7:52
14Bokondji Imama00010—6:18

Los Angeles

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
14Alex Laferriere10130100.0%17:10
56Erik Haula0113+156.5%16:08
9Adrian Kempe0003−1—21:42
55Quinton Byfield0000−155.6%21:10
10Artemi Panarin0004−2—20:25
92Brandt Clarke0000−2—19:15
36Mats Zuccarello00000—17:16
8Drew Doughty00000—16:46
12Trevor Moore00020—16:12
5Cody Ceci0000+1—16:11
44Mikey Anderson00000—16:05
64Erik Gustafsson0000−1—14:59
2Brian Dumoulin00010—14:29
6Joel Edmundson00020—13:18
21Scott Laughton0002−177.8%13:18
40Joel Armia00000—12:29
90Corey Perry0000+1—11:42
15Alex Turcotte0000016.7%11:29
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Los Angeles to winMoneyline48¢48¢48¢0¢
Florida to winMoneyline53¢53¢52¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 6 Oct, 2:14 PM ET
The thesisThe market backs Florida, last season's table backs Los Angeles
The thesis

The market backs Florida, last season's table backs Los Angeles

Florida finished last season 25th in the league on 84 points. Los Angeles finished 20th on 90, and the 2025-26 season series went FLA 2-0-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Los Angeles at 47.5% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 57.2%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 57.2% LAKMarket: 47.5% LAK

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.549 vs .512) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Los Angeles 9.7 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 51
Head-to-head

Meeting number 51

Across 50 completed games, Los Angeles lead the head-to-head 31-18-1.

All-time record31-18-1Los Angeles's record in the series
Meetings played50This is number 51
2025-26 seriesFLA 2-0-0
Last 54-1Florida

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
17 Dec 2025LAK 2 – FLA 329–29LAK 1/3 · FLA 1/4FLA
6 Nov 2025FLA 5 – LAK 224–26FLA 0/2 · LAK 1/4FLA
29 Jan 2025LAK 0 – FLA 329–39LAK 0/2 · FLA 1/4FLA
22 Jan 2025FLA 1 – LAK 228–28FLA 1/2 · LAK 0/2LAK
11 Jan 2024LAK 2 – FLA 3 OT33–41LAK 1/3 · FLA 1/3FLA
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateFloridaLos Angeles
6 Nov 20257-6-1 · 15 pts20th6-5-4 · 16 pts18th
17 Dec 202518-13-2 · 38 pts14th14-10-9 · 37 pts18th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 6 Nov 2025, Florida were 20th in the league and Los Angeles 18th. By 17 Dec 2025 it was 14th and 18th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Florida

Small sample
Power play · 2026-275.9%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 19th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/15 · 26.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-2771.4%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.0% · 9th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.8% · 88/170
Drawn · 2026-2717 (5.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2714 (4.67/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

Los Angeles

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2728.6%
Power play · 2025-2617.0% · 28th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/14 · 21.4%
Penalty kill · 2026-2728.6%
Penalty kill · 2025-2674.6% · 30th
Faceoffs · 2026-2758.2% · 71/122
Drawn · 2026-277 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings14 (2.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (3.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3
Goaltending and injuriesWho has stopped this matchup
Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Florida
Expected starter#25 Jacob Markstrom
  • Started 2 of 3 this season

2026-27: 2 GP · .914 SV% · GSAx +2

Also possible: Schmid 40%

Los Angeles
Expected starter#35 Darcy Kuemper
  • Started 1 of 2 this season
  • 50 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 1 GP · .724 SV% · GSAx −5

Also possible: Forsberg 24%

Florida crease

FLA · 2026-27 Expected: Markstrom · 60%

Jacob Markstrom.9172 GP · 1-0-1 · GSAx +2.2
Akira Schmid.8751 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −1.1

No appearances against Los Angeles in the last meetings.

Los Angeles crease

LAK · 2026-27 Expected: Kuemper · 76%

Darcy Kuemper.7241 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −5.2
Anton Forsberg.8001 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −3.5

Two goalies used against Florida

#vs FLAAppsSAGASV%
31Anton Forsberg2538.849
35Darcy Kuemper2663.955
Team news

7 on the injury lists

Florida · injuries

Aaron EkbladPersonalDay-to-dayReturn6 Oct
Aleksander BarkovKneeIRReturn27 Oct
Jonah GadjovichUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
MacKenzie EntwistleUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct

Los Angeles · injuries

Jakub DvorakUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Jan JenikUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Kevin FialaLower LegIRReturn17 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve. Called up D Alexander Petrovic from Charlotte (AHL).

3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve.

27 Sep · FLA

Placed RW/C Cole Schwindt, RD Alexander Petrovic, LD Donovan Sebrango, LW Kai Schwindt, LW Cole Reinhardt, RW Sam Lafferty and C/LW John Beecher on waivers. Agreed to terms with RW Nathan Bastian on a 1-year, two-way contract.

27 Sep · LAK

Placed D Otto Salin on the injured non-roster list. Loaned G Erik Portillo to Ontario (AHL).

24 Sep · LAK

Waived for the purpose of assignment to Abbotsford (AHL) Fs Martin Chromia, Cole Guttman, Lane Pederson and Francesco Pinelli and D Joe Hicketts. Loaned Fs Aatu Jamsen and Koehn Ziemmer, Ds Angus Booth, Kirill Kirsanov and Jared Woolley to Ontario. Placed F Jan Jenik and D Jakub Dvorak on injured reserve.

15 Jul 2026 · LAK

Signed F Elton Hermansson to a three-year, entry-level contract.

Injury report

Florida · 2026 draft

See all: Florida · 2026 draft →
#40Simas IgnataviciusRound 2 · GeneveRW
#48Ryder CaliRound 2 · North BayC
#98Jonas KempsRound 4 · ChicagoD
#168Vilho VanhataloRound 6 · Tappara Jr.RW
Full draft

Los Angeles · 2026 draft

See all: Los Angeles · 2026 draft →
#19Elton HermanssonRound 1 · ModoRW
#46Liam LefebvreRound 2 · ChicoutimiC
#49Adam GoljerRound 2 · TrencinD
#80Blake ZielinskiRound 3 · Des MoinesC
Full draft

Tuesday 6 October · the full slate

See all: Tuesday 6 October · the full slate →
7:00 PM ETNSHatTOR7:00 PM ETCARatMTL7:00 PM ETOTTatDET7:00 PM ETUTAatNJD7:00 PM ETMINatBUF7:30 PM ETNYIatNYR8:00 PM ETSTLatCHI9:40 PM ETVGKatSEA10:00 PM ETFLAatLAKThis game
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsFlorida out-attempted Los Angeles 314 to 297
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Florida out-attempted Los Angeles 314 to 297

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Florida Panthers

314 att · 161 on goal · 15 G · 9.3%
Crease23 att · 4 G
Slot116 att · 10 G
Wing117 att · 0 G
Point42 att · 0 G
Neutral zone16 att · 1 G

Los Angeles Kings

297 att · 145 on goal · 8 G · 5.5%
Crease23 att · 0 G
Slot97 att · 6 G
Wing97 att · 1 G
Point68 att · 1 G
Neutral zone12 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Sam Bennett has 4 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
9Sam Bennett540421
19Matthew Tkachuk322413
13Sam Reinhart522411
63Brad Marchand22246
15Anton Lundell52139
9Adrian Kempe512315
23Carter Verhaeghe512314
22Kevin Fiala512310
27Eetu Luostarinen50334
5Aaron Ekblad40334
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
27Eetu Luostarinen3220.67
23Carter Verhaeghe3120.67
19Matthew Tkachuk3120.67
20Lars Eller3020.67
9Sam Bennett3020.67
10Artemi Panarin2231.50
56Erik Haula2121.00
9Adrian Kempe2121.00
55Quinton Byfield2121.00
14Alex Laferriere2021.00
Skater stats

Sam Bennett vs Los Angeles · game by game

See all: Sam Bennett vs Los Angeles · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
17 Dec 2025home101420:30
6 Nov 2025away101216:19
29 Jan 2025home101816:20
22 Jan 2025away000417:41
11 Jan 2024home101318:40
Last 5 meetings4 P4 G, 0 A · 21 SOG
Next best4 PMatthew Tkachuk, FLA
2026-27 season2 P3 GP · 0 G
Blank vs LAK1 of 5
Full game log
Totals

A total set above what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 5.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 4.6 goals and went over 5.5 1 time.

line 5.5
0123456789
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg4.6Goals per game
Over 5.51 of 5
Books at the line8Posting 5.5
Lowest3 goals
Prediction markets

Two markets, one coin flip

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 8 books
Florida54¢55¢52.5%
Los Angeles49¢50¢47.5%
Canada · 1 book
Florida56¢56¢52.3%
Los Angeles51¢51¢47.7%

Snapshot 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 5.58 books
Puck line FLA -1.55 books
Puck line LAK +1.55 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 6 Oct, 12:57 PM ET Delayed · 1 hr. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET