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RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Tuesday 6 October · Madison Square Garden · Meeting No. 347
FINAL
By period
123T
NY Islanders0202
NY Rangers1225
Pre-game favouriteNYR 57.3%Won
First starO. Bjorkstrand2 G · 0 A
Game stats
19Shots24
2.4Expected goals4.8
1/4Power play1/3
18Hits27
14Blocks14
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Bjorkstrand scores the winner as NY Rangers beat NY Islanders 5-2

NY Rangers out-shot NY Islanders 24-19. The pre-game price had NYR at 57.3%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 6 Oct

1st period: O. Bjorkstrand (NYR). 2nd period: A. Lafrenière (NYR), B. Horvat (NYI), C. Ritchie (NYI), O. Bjorkstrand (NYR). 3rd period: A. Lafrenière (NYR), A. Lafrenière (NYR).

Alexis Lafrenière led NY Rangers with 3 goals and 1 assist. Igor Shesterkin stopped 17 of 19 shots. On expected goals it was NY Rangers 4.8, NY Islanders 2.4. On the power play NY Rangers went 1 for 3 and NY Islanders 1 for 4.

Shots24-19NY Rangers first
Power play1/3NY Rangers
Lead changes0
DecidedRegulationWinner at 17:07

How it turned

1st period
06:40Oliver Bjorkstrand (goal 1)Assists: A. Lafrenière, S. DurziEV0-1
2nd period
00:25Alexis Lafrenière (goal 1)Assists: M. Zibanejad, V. GavrikovEV0-2
02:56Bo Horvat (goal 2)Assists: M. Maccelli, B. SchennPP1-2
04:52Calum Ritchie (goal 1)Assists: B. SchennEV2-2
17:07Oliver Bjorkstrand (goal 2)Assists: G. Perreault, W. CuyllePP · GWG2-3
3rd period
18:22Alexis Lafrenière (goal 2)Assists: J. Miller, M. ZibanejadEV2-4
18:54Alexis Lafrenière (goal 3)Assists: A. Fox, V. GavrikovEV2-5

Where the goals came from

NY Islanders attacking leftNY Rangers attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

NY Islanders 2.36 xGNY Rangers 4.80 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
0123452nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The market got this one

Market, pre-game57.3% NYRCalled it
Last season's table55% NYIMissed
Total goals7Over 5.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

NY Islanders host Chicago on Thursday 8 October. NY Rangers visit Washington on Friday 9 October.

New York IslandersNew York Rangers
Full game data

Box score

NY Rangers

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
13Alexis Lafrenière3143+4—18:54
28Oliver Bjorkstrand2023+1—8:58
44Vladislav Gavrikov0223+3—24:10
93Mika Zibanejad0223+352.9%20:05
23Adam Fox0110+3—23:49
50Will Cuylle0114−160.0%17:44
5Sean Durzi0110−1—17:34
10J.T. Miller0113+147.1%16:29
94Gabe Perreault0111+1—13:45
26Marcus Pettersson0001−1—17:47
4Braden Schneider0002+1—17:39
16Pavel Dorofeyev0000−1—16:25
12Alberts Smits0000+1—15:27
24Tye Kartye00010—15:11
42Noah Laba0000053.9%14:47
17Eeli Tolvanen00000—13:57
53Cole Beaudoin0000+154.6%9:57
49Jaroslav Chmelar00000—8:28

NY Islanders

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
10Brayden Schenn0222062.5%16:16
14Bo Horvat1012−260.0%17:49
64Calum Ritchie1012033.3%14:27
63Matias Maccelli0111−1—14:32
48Matthew Schaefer0002−2—25:03
3Adam Pelech0000−1—20:56
8Logan Stanley00010—19:21
77Tony DeAngelo0001−1—18:12
51Emil Heineman00000—16:40
21Kyle Palmieri0002−20.0%16:37
6Ryan Pulock0001−1—16:32
92Simon Holmstrom0001−2—15:11
38Victor Eklund0002+1—15:01
44Jean-Gabriel Pageau0000−238.9%14:50
11Anthony Duclair0000−2—14:32
53Casey Cizikas0000054.6%13:26
28Alexander Romanov0001−1—13:20
81Ondrej Palat0001−1100.0%11:57
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
NY Rangers to winMoneyline59¢59¢60¢100¢
NY Islanders to winMoneyline42¢42¢40¢0¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 6 Oct, 2:14 PM ET
The thesisThe market backs NY Rangers, last season's table backs NY Islanders
The thesis

The market backs NY Rangers, last season's table backs NY Islanders

NY Islanders finished last season 19th in the league on 91 points. NY Rangers finished 30th on 77, and the 2025-26 season series went NYI 4-0-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 7 US books price NY Rangers at 57.3% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 45%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 45% NYRMarket: 57.3% NYR

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.470 vs .555) with home-ice advantage. The market rates NY Rangers 12.2 points higher than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 347
Head-to-head

Meeting number 347

Across 346 completed games, NY Islanders lead the head-to-head 174-151-21.

All-time record174-151-21NY Islanders's record in the series
Meetings played346This is number 347
2025-26 seriesNYI 4-0-0
Last 54-1NY Islanders

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
29 Jan 2026NYI 2 – NYR 121–21NYI 0/3 · NYR 1/3NYI
28 Jan 2026NYR 2 – NYI 516–36NYR 1/3 · NYI 2/3NYI
27 Dec 2025NYR 0 – NYI 227–26NYR 0/3 · NYI 0/5NYI
8 Nov 2025NYI 5 – NYR 026–33NYI 1/2 · NYR 0/2NYI
10 Apr 2025NYR 9 – NYI 232–46NYR 1/1 · NYI 1/2NYR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateNY IslandersNY Rangers
8 Nov 20257-6-2 · 16 pts20th7-7-2 · 16 pts22nd
27 Dec 202521-13-4 · 46 pts6th19-17-4 · 42 pts17th
28 Jan 202628-19-5 · 61 pts13th22-25-6 · 50 pts28th
29 Jan 202628-19-5 · 61 pts13th22-25-6 · 50 pts28th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 8 Nov 2025, NY Islanders were 20th in the league and NY Rangers 22nd. By 29 Jan 2026 it was 13th and 28th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

NY Islanders

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2714.3%
Power play · 2025-2616.5% · 30th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/15 · 26.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.8% · 10th
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.5% · 48/99
Drawn · 2026-277 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

NY Rangers

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2718.2%
Power play · 2025-2624.7% · 5th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/12 · 25.0%
Penalty kill · 2026-2791.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.9% · 15th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.9% · 118/223
Drawn · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2712 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3
Goaltending and injuriesIlya Sorokin has started most of these meetings
Goaltending

Ilya Sorokin has started most of these meetings

Ilya Sorokin played 2 of the last 5 meetings with NY Rangers, with a .981 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
NY Islanders
Expected starter#30 Ilya Sorokin
  • Started 2 of 2 this season
  • 54 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .968 SV% · GSAx +4

Also possible: Varlamov 6%

NY Rangers
Expected starter#31 Igor Shesterkin
  • Started 3 of 4 this season
  • 51 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 3 GP · .934 SV% · GSAx +4

Also possible: Garand 31%

Injured: Korpisalo (injured reserve)

Ilya Sorokin

See all: Ilya Sorokin →

NYI · 1-1-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 94%

SV% · 2026-27.9682 GP · 1.02 GAA · 2025-26 .906
vs NY Rangers.9812 app · 54 SA · 1 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+4.02 starts · most on the roster
vs NYRVenueSAGASV%
29 Jan 2026away211.952
8 Nov 2025away3301.000
Full game log

Igor Shesterkin

See all: Igor Shesterkin →

NYR · 2-1-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 69%

SV% · 2026-27.9343 GP · 1.67 GAA · 2025-26 .912
vs NY Islanders.9273 app · 96 SA · 7 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+4.33 starts · most on the roster
vs NYIVenueSAGASV%
27 Dec 2025away251.960
8 Nov 2025home254.840
10 Apr 2025away462.957

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Dylan Garand 1.000 (1 GP)

Full game log
Team news

5 on the injury lists

NY Islanders · injuries

Mathew BarzalKneeIRReturn10 Oct

NY Rangers · injuries

Adam SykoraLower BodyIRReturn25 Jan
Aidan ThompsonUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Joe VelenoLower BodyOutReturn9 Oct
Joonas KorpisaloLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
27 Sep · NYI

Agreed to terms with LD Logan Stanley on a 1-Year contract worth $1.5M. Placed G Vitek Vanecek on waivers with the intention of sending to Hamilton (AHL)

26 Sep · NYI

Waived Fs Tanner Fritz, Matt Luff and Nathan Chaffee. Waived Fs Dylan Foudy and Hudson Kuefler for the purpose of sending to Hamilton (AHL).

24 Jul 2026 · NYI

Signed F Alex Jefferies to a one-year contract.

5 Oct · NYR

Placed D Matthew Robertson on waivers.

1 Oct · NYR

Placed G Joonas Korpisalo on injured reserve. Recalled G Dylan Garand from Hartford (AHL).

27 Sep · NYR

Placed G Dylan Garand and D Taylor Raddysh on waivers.

Injury report

NY Islanders · 2026 draft

See all: NY Islanders · 2026 draft →
#13Malte GustafssonRound 1 · Hv71D
#109Lincoln KuehneRound 4 · Arizona StateD
#141Vladimir DraveckyRound 5 · BrantfordD
#173Artyom MatyukRound 6 · Nizhny Novgorod Jr.C
Full draft

NY Rangers · 2026 draft

See all: NY Rangers · 2026 draft →
#5Alberts SmitsRound 1 · MunchenD
#64Benjamin MacBeathRound 2 · CalgaryD
#67Danai ShaiikovRound 3 · GatineauG
#77Charlie MorrisonRound 3 · QuebecD
Full draft

Tuesday 6 October · the full slate

See all: Tuesday 6 October · the full slate →
7:00 PM ETNSHatTOR7:00 PM ETCARatMTL7:00 PM ETOTTatDET7:00 PM ETUTAatNJD7:00 PM ETMINatBUF7:30 PM ETNYIatNYRThis game8:00 PM ETSTLatCHI9:40 PM ETVGKatSEA10:00 PM ETFLAatLAK
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsNY Islanders out-attempted NY Rangers 303 to 284
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

NY Islanders out-attempted NY Rangers 303 to 284

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

New York Islanders

303 att · 155 on goal · 16 G · 10.3%
Crease27 att · 2 G
Slot106 att · 7 G
Wing110 att · 6 G
Point49 att · 0 G
Neutral zone11 att · 1 G

New York Rangers

284 att · 129 on goal · 12 G · 9.3%
Crease20 att · 2 G
Slot108 att · 6 G
Wing106 att · 4 G
Point42 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Simon Holmstrom has 6 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
92Simon Holmstrom52464
44Jean-Gabriel Pageau52358
93Mika Zibanejad531416
14Bo Horvat522416
10J.T. Miller40445
10Artemi Panarin321313
Jonathan Drouin41234
Juuso Parssinen21232
23Adam Fox20334
72Anders Lee52028
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
10Brayden Schenn2121.00
53Casey Cizikas2121.00
14Bo Horvat2121.00
92Simon Holmstrom2121.00
38Victor Eklund2121.00
23Adam Fox4041.00
17Eeli Tolvanen4330.75
94Gabe Perreault4230.75
93Mika Zibanejad4130.75
44Vladislav Gavrikov4120.50
Skater stats

Simon Holmstrom vs NY Rangers · game by game

See all: Simon Holmstrom vs NY Rangers · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
29 Jan 2026away000018:31
28 Jan 2026home123215:53
27 Dec 2025home101118:44
8 Nov 2025away011116:26
10 Apr 2025home011014:28
Last 5 meetings6 P2 G, 4 A · 4 SOG
Next best5 PJean-Gabriel Pageau, NYI
2026-27 season2 P2 GP · 1 G
Blank vs NYR1 of 5
Full game log
Totals

A total in line with recent meetings

The board sits at 5.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 5.6 goals and went over 5.5 2 times.

line 5.5
0123456789101112
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg5.6Goals per game
Over 5.52 of 5
Books at the line7Posting 5.5
Lowest2 goals
Prediction markets

NY Rangers favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 7 books
NY Islanders43¢44¢42.7%
NY Rangers59¢59¢57.3%
Canada · 1 book
NY Islanders46¢46¢42.4%
NY Rangers62¢62¢57.6%

Snapshot 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 5.57 books
Puck line NYI +1.54 books
Puck line NYR -1.54 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 6 Oct, 12:57 PM ET Delayed · 1 hr. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET