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‹TUE OCT 6›
9 games, finals
TUEOCT 6
FINAL/OT
NSH4
TOR5
FINAL
CAR6
MTL4
FINAL
OTT3
DET5
FINAL
UTA5
NJD3
FINAL/OT
MIN2
BUF3
FINAL
NYI2
NYR5
FINAL
STL2
CHI4
FINAL
VGK6
SEA2
FINAL
FLA2
LAK1
RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Tuesday 6 October · United Center · Meeting No. 408
FINAL
By period
123T
St. Louis1012
Chicago0224
Pre-game favouriteSTL 54.9%Lost
First starS. Knight.929 SV%
Game stats
28Shots21
3.0Expected goals3.2
1/2Power play1/2
28Hits18
8Blocks13
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Smith scores the winner as Chicago beat St. Louis 4-2

St. Louis out-shot Chicago 28-21 in a game with 1 lead change. The pre-game price had STL at 54.9%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 6 Oct

1st period: M. McTavish (STL). 2nd period: S. Rinzel (CHI), A. Frondell (CHI). 3rd period: C. Smith (CHI), C. McMichael (STL), F. Nazar (CHI).

Frank Nazar led Chicago with 1 goal and 1 assist. Spencer Knight stopped 26 of 28 shots. On expected goals it was Chicago 3.2, St. Louis 3.0. On the power play Chicago went 1 for 2 and St. Louis 1 for 2.

Shots21-28Chicago first
Power play1/2Chicago
Lead changes1
DecidedRegulationWinner at 18:51

How it turned

1st period
15:38Mason McTavish (goal 2)Assists: C. McMichaelEV1-0
2nd period
05:40Sam Rinzel (goal 1)Assists: F. Nazar, N. LardisPP1-1
07:40Anton Frondell (goal 1)Assists: A. Levshunov, T. TeravainenEV1-2
3rd period
18:51Cole Smith (goal 1)UnassistedSH · GWG1-3
19:22Connor McMichael (goal 1)Assists: P. Broberg, P. BuchnevichPP2-3
19:56Frank Nazar (goal 1)Assists: T. Bertuzzi, A. FrondellEV2-4

Where the goals came from

St. Louis attacking leftChicago attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

St. Louis 3.05 xGChicago 3.18 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game54.9% STLMissed
Last season's table55% STLMissed
Total goals6Over 5.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

St. Louis host San Jose on Thursday 8 October. Chicago visit NY Islanders on Thursday 8 October.

St. Louis BluesChicago Blackhawks
Full game data

Box score

Chicago

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
91Frank Nazar1123+152.9%19:35
16Anton Frondell1121+260.0%18:37
6Sam Rinzel10120—17:45
22Cole Smith1011+1—14:38
55Artyom Levshunov0111+1—18:00
59Tyler Bertuzzi0110+2—17:49
76Nick Lardis0110−1—9:39
86Teuvo Teravainen0110+10.0%9:31
72Alex Vlasic0001+1—21:48
24Bowen Byram0002+1—21:22
88Patrick Kane00020—20:55
80Roman Kantserov0002040.0%20:36
28Ian Cole00010—19:38
44Wyatt Kaiser0002+1—17:57
20Ryan Greene0001+137.5%14:00
12Jordan Greenway00010—12:42
11Oliver Moore0000−157.1%12:16
8Ryan Donato0001−10.0%9:27

St. Louis

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
77Connor McMichael1125−225.0%17:53
83Mason McTavish1012−161.5%17:20
6Philip Broberg0111−2—22:26
89Pavel Buchnevich0112−1—17:43
17Cam Fowler0002−1—23:04
18Robert Thomas0003−258.3%20:30
55Colton Parayko00020—20:10
21Jimmy Snuggerud0003−1—18:58
36Adam Jiricek0002−1—18:12
25Brandon Carlo0001+1—17:58
81Dylan Holloway0001−1—16:03
29Jonatan Berggren00010—15:49
63Jake Neighbours0000−1—15:15
4Theo Lindstein00010—14:49
22Pius Suter0000057.1%13:18
15Dalibor Dvorsky0001041.7%10:51
65Dillon Dube000000.0%10:12
49Ross Johnston00010—7:15
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Chicago to winMoneyline43¢43¢43¢100¢
St. Louis to winMoneyline57¢58¢57¢0¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 6 Oct, 2:14 PM ET
The thesisSt. Louis favoured at 54.9%
The thesis

St. Louis favoured at 54.9%

St. Louis finished last season 22nd in the league on 86 points. Chicago finished 31st on 72, and the 2025-26 season series went STL 2-2-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Chicago at 45.1% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 45%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 45% CHIMarket: 45.1% CHI

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.439 vs .524) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Chicago 0.1 points higher than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 408
Head-to-head

Meeting number 408

Across 407 completed games, Chicago lead the head-to-head 212-162-33.

All-time record212-162-33Chicago's record in the series
Meetings played407This is number 408
2025-26 seriesSTL 2-2-0
Last 53-2St. Louis

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
11 Apr 2026STL 5 – CHI 328–34STL 1/1 · CHI 0/2STL
7 Jan 2026STL 3 – CHI 730–35STL 0/5 · CHI 3/4CHI
12 Dec 2025CHI 2 – STL 329–26CHI 0/0 · STL 0/1STL
15 Oct 2025CHI 8 – STL 329–26CHI 1/3 · STL 0/2CHI
22 Mar 2025CHI 1 – STL 427–25CHI 0/0 · STL 0/2STL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSt. LouisChicago
15 Oct 20252-2-0 · 4 pts19th2-2-1 · 5 pts13th
12 Dec 202512-14-7 · 31 pts26th13-12-6 · 32 pts24th
7 Jan 202617-19-8 · 42 pts29th18-18-7 · 43 pts27th
11 Apr 202634-33-12 · 80 pts25th28-38-14 · 70 pts31st

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 15 Oct 2025, St. Louis were 19th in the league and Chicago 13th. By 11 Apr 2026 it was 25th and 31st.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

St. Louis

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2617.6% · 26th
Power play · last 5 meetings1/11 · 9.1%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.7% · 25th
Faceoffs · 2026-2741.1% · 51/124
Drawn · 2026-276 (3.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings11 (2.20/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-278 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings1

Chicago

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2616.9% · 29th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/9 · 44.4%
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2683.6% · 2nd
Faceoffs · 2026-2739.9% · 69/173
Drawn · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings9 (1.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4
Goaltending and injuriesArvid Soderblom has been the difference
Goaltending

Arvid Soderblom has been the difference

Arvid Soderblom faced 79 shots across 3 appearances against St. Louis and conceded 12, a .848 save percentage against a season figure of .813. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
St. Louis
Expected starter#30 Joel Hofer
  • Started 1 of 2 this season
  • 43 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 1 GP · 1.000 SV% · GSAx +3

Also possible: Binnington 15%

Chicago
Expected starter#30 Spencer Knight
  • Started 2 of 3 this season
  • 55 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .875 SV% · GSAx −1

Also possible: Soderblom 39%

Joel Hofer

See all: Joel Hofer →

STL · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 85%

SV% · 2026-271.0001 GP · 0.00 GAA · 2025-26 .910
vs Chicago.8844 app · 112 SA · 13 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+3.21 start
vs CHIVenueSAGASV%
11 Apr 2026away343.912
12 Dec 2025home292.931
15 Oct 2025home227.682
22 Mar 2025home271.963

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Jordan Binnington .833 (1 GP)

Full game log

Arvid Soderblom

See all: Arvid Soderblom →

CHI · 0-1-0 in 2026-27 Chance to start · 39%

SV% · 2026-27.8131 GP · 6.00 GAA · 2025-26 .880
vs St. Louis.8483 app · 79 SA · 12 GA
GSAx · 2026-27−2.31 start
vs STLVenueSAGASV%
11 Apr 2026home285.821
15 Oct 2025away263.885
22 Mar 2025away254.840

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Spencer Knight .875 (2 GP)

Full game log
Team news

6 on the injury lists

St. Louis · injuries

Alexey ToropchenkoUpper BodyIRReturn14 Nov
Felix TrudeauUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Logan MaillouxHandIRReturn25 Nov
Tyler TuckerKneeIRReturn12 Nov

Chicago · injuries

Andrew MangiapaneLower BodyOutReturn25 Oct
Connor BedardShoulderIRReturn7 Nov

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
5 Oct · STL

Placed LW Alexey Toropchenko on injured reserve.

27 Sep · STL

Placed G Georgii Romanov and D Calle Rosen on waivers. Claimed RD Justin Barron off waivers.

19 Sep · STL

Placed D Marc Andre Gaudet was placed on waivers.

3 Oct · CHI

Assigned D Charles Alexis Legault to Chicago (AHL).

24 Sep · CHI

Agreed to terms with F Oliver Moore on a five-year contract extension. Loaned Fs Jiri felcman, Martin Misiak and Marek Vanacker and D Dylan Anhorn to Rockford (AHL). Assigned F Brett Seney to Rockford.

21 Sep · CHI

Placed D Derrick Pouliot on waivers.

Injury report

St. Louis · 2026 draft

See all: St. Louis · 2026 draft →
#11Tynan LawrenceRound 1 · Boston UniversityC
#16Maddox DagenaisRound 1 · QuebecC
#75Luke SchairerRound 3 · Usa U-18D
#107Landon NyczRound 4 · UmassD
Full draft

Chicago · 2026 draft

See all: Chicago · 2026 draft →
#34Xavier VilleneuveRound 2 · Blainville-boisbriandD
#35Ryan RoobroeckRound 2 · NiagaraLW
#66Samu AlalauriRound 3 · Pelicans Jr.D
#194Alexander IvanovRound 7 · Bars KazanD
Full draft

Tuesday 6 October · the full slate

See all: Tuesday 6 October · the full slate →
7:00 PM ETNSHatTOR7:00 PM ETCARatMTL7:00 PM ETOTTatDET7:00 PM ETUTAatNJD7:00 PM ETMINatBUF7:30 PM ETNYIatNYR8:00 PM ETSTLatCHIThis game9:40 PM ETVGKatSEA10:00 PM ETFLAatLAK
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsChicago out-attempted St. Louis 274 to 272
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Chicago out-attempted St. Louis 274 to 272

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

St. Louis Blues

272 att · 135 on goal · 18 G · 13.3%
Crease32 att · 5 G
Slot107 att · 10 G
Wing81 att · 2 G
Point48 att · 1 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G

Chicago Blackhawks

274 att · 154 on goal · 21 G · 13.6%
Crease26 att · 5 G
Slot87 att · 9 G
Wing114 att · 7 G
Point37 att · 0 G
Neutral zone10 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Connor Bedard has 6 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
98Connor Bedard406612
95Ilya Mikheyev541511
75Tyler Tucker52358
13Alexey Toropchenko32247
63Jake Neighbours51344
20Ryan Greene42139
95Andre Burakovsky42137
Lukas Reichel22136
Nathan Walker32135
59Tyler Bertuzzi512317
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
15Dalibor Dvorsky2221.00
22Pius Suter2121.00
21Jimmy Snuggerud2121.00
83Mason McTavish2110.50
55Colton Parayko2010.50
72Alex Vlasic3020.67
16Anton Frondell3020.67
88Patrick Kane3110.33
59Tyler Bertuzzi3110.33
8Ryan Donato3110.33
Skater stats

Connor Bedard vs St. Louis · game by game

See all: Connor Bedard vs St. Louis · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
11 Apr 2026home011623:01
12 Dec 2025away022220:46
15 Oct 2025away033118:57
22 Mar 2025away000317:16
Last 5 meetings6 P0 G, 6 A · 12 SOG
Next best5 PIlya Mikheyev, CHI
2025-26 season75 P69 GP · 30 G
Blank vs STL1 of 4
Full game log
Totals

A total set below what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 5.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 7.8 goals and went over 5.5 3 times.

line 5.5
0123456789101112
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg7.8Goals per game
Over 5.53 of 5
Books at the line8Posting 5.5
Lowest5 goals
Prediction markets

St. Louis favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 8 books
St. Louis56¢57¢54.9%
Chicago46¢47¢45.1%
Canada · 1 book
St. Louis59¢59¢54.9%
Chicago48¢48¢45.1%

Snapshot 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 5.58 books
Puck line CHI +1.55 books
Puck line STL -1.55 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 6 Oct, 12:57 PM ET Delayed · 1 hr. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET