Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks: game preview
Tampa BayLightning2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 50-26-6 · 106 pts · 5that
San JoseSharks2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 39-35-8 · 86 pts · 24thTwenty points apart last season
Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. San Jose finished 24th on 86.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 56
Across 55 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 32-21-2.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 3 Jan 2026, Tampa Bay were 4th in the league and San Jose 24th. By 20 Jan 2026 it was 2nd and 22nd.
Tampa Bay out-attempted San Jose 125 to 90
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Tampa Bay Lightning
San Jose Sharks
Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for San Jose. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Tampa Bay, 10 for San Jose.
2025-26: 82 games for Tampa Bay, 82 for San Jose.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Tampa Bay
Small sampleSan Jose
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Tampa Bay crease
TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Mar
No appearances against San Jose in the last meetings.
San Jose crease
SJS · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Mar
No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.4 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
San Jose3.004.003.063.56Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
9 on the injury lists
Tampa Bay · injuries
San Jose · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
Placed C Patrick Giles on waivers.
Placed G Ilya Samsonov on waivers.
Placed RW Ethan Cardwell, D Libor Hajek and LW Tye Felhaber on waivers.
Tampa Bay · 2026 draft
See all: Tampa Bay · 2026 draft →San Jose · 2026 draft
See all: San Jose · 2026 draft →
Updated after every final