Early look The full preview opens on Wednesday 3 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators: game preview

Puck drop6 Mar · 3:00 PM ET
VenueCanadian Tire Centre
All-time meetings10 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty points apart last season

Seattle finished last season 27th in the league on 79 points. Ottawa finished 9th on 99.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 11

Across 10 completed games, Ottawa lead the head-to-head 7-3-0.

All-time record7-3-0Ottawa's record in the series
Meetings played10This is number 11
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Ottawa
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
7 Mar 2026OTT 7 – SEA 4——OTT
16 Oct 2025SEA 3 – OTT 4 SO——OTT
17 Dec 2024OTT 3 – SEA 0——OTT
2 Nov 2024SEA 0 – OTT 3——OTT
4 Jan 2024OTT 1 – SEA 4——SEA
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSeattleOttawa
16 Oct 20252-0-2 · 6 pts10th2-3-0 · 4 pts24th
7 Mar 202623-19-9 · 55 pts23rd24-21-7 · 55 pts25th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 16 Oct 2025, Seattle were 10th in the league and Ottawa 24th. By 7 Mar 2026 it was 23rd and 25th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Ottawa out-attempted Seattle 142 to 110

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Seattle Kraken

110 att · 54 on goal · 7 G · 13.0%
Crease7 att · 1 G
Slot43 att · 4 G
Wing47 att · 2 G
Point11 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G

Ottawa Senators

142 att · 60 on goal · 10 G · 16.7%
Crease9 att · 1 G
Slot52 att · 4 G
Wing63 att · 5 G
Point16 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

SeattleOttawa
2.60xG for per game2.95
3.14xG against per game3.41
45.3%xG share46.4%
+4.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+1.1
+1.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.2

This season: 4 games for Seattle, 3 for Ottawa. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Seattle

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 20th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2772.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2672.2% · 31st
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.6% · 121/244
Drawn · 2026-2712 (3.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
19Jared McCann41451.25
7Jordan Eberle42241.00
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
29Vince Dunn41341.00
62Brandon Montour40220.50
41Ryker Evans40220.50
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 4 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 4 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Seattle crease

SEA · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Mar

Joey Daccord.9113 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0
Philipp Grubauer.9062 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +1.1

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Mar

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Seattle in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

7 Mar 202611 · OTT 7–4 SEA
16 Oct 20257 · SEA 3–4 OTT
17 Dec 20243 · OTT 3–0 SEA
2 Nov 20243 · SEA 0–3 OTT
4 Jan 20245 · OTT 1–4 SEA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Seattle3.752.752.763.21
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Seattle · injuries

Jacob MelansonUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jake O'BrienLower BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Ryan LindgrenUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn9 Oct

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct
3 Oct · SEA

Activated RW/C Mackie Samoskevich from injured reserve. Placed RW Jacob Melanson on injured reserve.

27 Sep · SEA

Placed C Jake O'Brien and RW Mackie Samoskevich on injured reserve.

21 Sep · SEA

Placed F Jon-Randall Avon, F John Hayden, F Logan Morrison and G Victor Ostman on waivers.

6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

Injury report
#7Chase ReidRound 1 · Sault Ste. MarieD
#38Casey MutrynRound 2 · Usa U-18RW
#99Viktor FedorovRound 4 · Torpedo-gorky NnC
#131Finn KearnsRound 5 · St. Andrews CollegeD
Full draft
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final