‹MON JAN 11›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Friday 8 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers: game preview

Puck drop11 Jan · 8:30 PM ET
VenueRogers Place
All-time meetings51 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Thirteen points apart last season

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Edmonton finished 14th on 93.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 52

Across 51 completed games, Edmonton lead the head-to-head 27-22-2.

All-time record27-22-2Edmonton's record in the series
Meetings played51This is number 52
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
21 Mar 2026TBL 5 – EDM 2——TBL
20 Nov 2025EDM 1 – TBL 2 OT——TBL
25 Feb 2025EDM 1 – TBL 4——TBL
10 Dec 2024TBL 1 – EDM 2——EDM
14 Dec 2023TBL 7 – EDM 4——TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayEdmonton
20 Nov 202511-7-2 · 24 pts14th9-9-5 · 23 pts25th
21 Mar 202643-21-4 · 90 pts6th34-28-9 · 77 pts18th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 20 Nov 2025, Tampa Bay were 14th in the league and Edmonton 25th. By 21 Mar 2026 it was 6th and 18th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Edmonton 118 to 111

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

118 att · 63 on goal · 7 G · 11.1%
Crease7 att · 1 G
Slot50 att · 5 G
Wing43 att · 0 G
Point13 att · 0 G
Neutral zone5 att · 1 G

Edmonton Oilers

111 att · 53 on goal · 3 G · 5.7%
Crease6 att · 0 G
Slot44 att · 2 G
Wing46 att · 1 G
Point12 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Edmonton have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayEdmonton
4.04xG for per game3.31
2.64xG against per game2.10
60.5%xG share61.2%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+7.1
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−7.7

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for Edmonton. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Edmonton

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2630.6% · 1st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2757.1%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.8% · 20th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.7% · 91/176
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
97Connor McDavid32793.00
29Leon Draisaitl33251.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
2Evan Bouchard34482.67
6Ryan Shea31231.00
14Mattias Ekholm30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 9 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 9 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Jan

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Edmonton in the last meetings.

Edmonton crease

EDM · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Jan

Devon Levi.8102 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −3.6
Tristan Jarry.7391 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −4.1

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

21 Mar 20267 · TBL 5–2 EDM
20 Nov 20253 · EDM 1–2 TBL
25 Feb 20255 · EDM 1–4 TBL
10 Dec 20243 · TBL 1–2 EDM
14 Dec 202311 · TBL 7–4 EDM

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Edmonton5.674.673.443.28

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.7Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

12 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Edmonton · injuries

Alec RegulaUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Atro LeppanenUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct
Frederik AndersenKneeIRReturn30 Dec
James StefanUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Jason DickinsonFootIRReturn7 Oct
Matt SavoieLower BodyIRReturn24 Nov
Mattias JanmarkUndisclosedIRReturn15 Oct
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsLower BodyIRReturn13 Oct
Zach HymanUndisclosedOutReturn17 Oct
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

1 Oct · EDM

Placed F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on injured reserve. Placed D Alec Regula on long-term injured reserve. Recalled F Josh Samanski under emergency conditions.

27 Sep · EDM

Placed G Matt Tomkins on waivers for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield (AHL).

25 Sep · EDM

Loaned D Tomas Cibulka, Fs Connor Clattenburg, Quinn Hutson, Viljami Marjala, William Nicholl and Aku Raty and G Connor Ungar to Bakersfield (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield Ds Josh Brown and Riley Stillman and F Eduards Tralmaks.

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#58Rudolfs BerzkalnsRound 2 · MuskegonC
#84Malcom GastrinRound 3 · Modo Jr.LW
#133Andrew RobinsonRound 5 · WindsorD
#180Caden HarveyRound 6 · WindsorC
Full draft

Updated after every final