‹MON JAN 11›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Friday 8 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs: game preview

Puck drop11 Jan · 7:30 PM ET
VenueScotiabank Arena
All-time meetings41 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Four points apart last season

Winnipeg finished last season 26th in the league on 82 points. Toronto finished 28th on 78.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 42

Across 41 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 23-14-4.

All-time record23-14-4Toronto's record in the series
Meetings played41This is number 42
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Toronto
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
17 Jan 2026TOR 4 – WPG 3 OT——TOR
1 Jan 2026WPG 5 – TOR 6——TOR
23 Dec 2024WPG 5 – TOR 2——WPG
28 Oct 2024TOR 6 – WPG 4——TOR
27 Jan 2024TOR 4 – WPG 2——TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateWinnipegToronto
1 Jan 202615-20-4 · 34 pts32nd19-15-6 · 44 pts17th
17 Jan 202619-22-6 · 44 pts31st24-16-8 · 56 pts12th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 1 Jan 2026, Winnipeg were 32nd in the league and Toronto 17th. By 17 Jan 2026 it was 31st and 12th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Winnipeg out-attempted Toronto 133 to 115

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Winnipeg Jets

133 att · 70 on goal · 8 G · 11.4%
Crease18 att · 0 G
Slot51 att · 6 G
Wing42 att · 1 G
Point21 att · 1 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G

Toronto Maple Leafs

115 att · 67 on goal · 10 G · 14.9%
Crease15 att · 1 G
Slot43 att · 6 G
Wing40 att · 3 G
Point13 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Winnipeg have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

WinnipegToronto
3.37xG for per game3.40
3.37xG against per game3.21
50.0%xG share51.4%
−1.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals−2.6
+2.1GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+1.9

This season: 3 games for Winnipeg, 4 for Toronto. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Winnipeg

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2750.0%
Power play · 2025-2618.5% · 24th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.6% · 21st
Faceoffs · 2026-2744.6% · 79/177
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
81Kyle Connor33251.67
91Cole Perfetti32351.67
17Adam Lowry31231.00
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Josh Morrissey30331.00
2Dylan DeMelo31120.67
38Mario Ferraro31010.33
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 9 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 9 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Winnipeg crease

WPG · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Jan

Stuart Skinner.9092 GP · 1-0-1 · GSAx +1.1
Clay Stevenson.9381 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Jan

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against Winnipeg in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

17 Jan 20267 · TOR 4–3 WPG
1 Jan 202611 · WPG 5–6 TOR
23 Dec 20247 · WPG 5–2 TOR
28 Oct 202410 · TOR 6–4 WPG
27 Jan 20246 · TOR 4–2 WPG

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Winnipeg3.002.672.823.17
Toronto2.752.753.093.65

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Winnipeg · injuries

Connor HellebuyckSuspensionIRReturn17 Oct
Elias SalomonssonShoulderIRReturn15 Oct
Garrett BrownLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Walker DuehrLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct
10 Aug 2026 · WPG

Signed F Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract.

15 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Cole Perfetti to a five-year contract.

13 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Viggo Björck to a three-year contract.

5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

Injury report
#8Viggo BjorckRound 1 · DjurgardenC
#71Samuel HrenakRound 3 · FargoG
#116Zach WootenRound 4 · Green BayLW
#135Alexandre TailleferRound 5 · QuebecD
Full draft
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft

Updated after every final