RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Friday 2 October · Canada Life Centre · Meeting No. 32
FINAL/OTWinner at 03:21 of overtime
By period
123OTT
Boston20114
Winnipeg12003
Pre-game favouriteWPG 52.6%Lost
First starK. Connor1 G · 1 A
Game stats
30Shots33
2.9Expected goals3.9
0/2Power play1/3
26Hits17
13Blocks20
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Peterka ends it in overtime as Boston beat Winnipeg 4-3

Winnipeg out-shot Boston 33-30 in a game with 3 lead changes. The pre-game price had WPG at 52.6%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 2 Oct

1st period: D. DeMelo (WPG), H. Lindholm (BOS), J. Hagens (BOS). 2nd period: K. Connor (WPG), M. Ferraro (WPG). 3rd period: E. Lindholm (BOS). Overtime: J. Peterka (BOS).

Nikita Zadorov led Boston with 2 assists. Jeremy Swayman stopped 30 of 33 shots. On expected goals it was Boston 2.9, Winnipeg 3.9. The chances favoured the side that lost. On the power play Boston went 0 for 2 and Winnipeg 1 for 3.

Shots30-33Boston first
Power play0/2Boston
Lead changes3
DecidedOvertimeWinner at 03:21

How it turned

1st period
04:52Dylan DeMelo (goal 1)Assists: M. Barron, A. LowryEV0-1
09:23Hampus Lindholm (goal 1)Assists: M. Geekie, W. BorgenEV1-1
15:20James Hagens (goal 1)Assists: N. Zadorov, M. KastelicEV2-1
2nd period
01:50Kyle Connor (goal 1)Assists: G. Vilardi, C. PerfettiPP2-2
19:52Mario Ferraro (goal 1)Assists: A. Lowry, K. ConnorEV2-3
3rd period
18:22Elias Lindholm (goal 1)Assists: D. Pastrnak, M. LohreiEV3-3
Overtime
03:21JJ Peterka (goal 2)Assists: D. Pastrnak, N. ZadorovOT · GWG4-3

Where the goals came from

Boston attacking leftWinnipeg attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Boston 2.94 xGWinnipeg 3.95 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rdOT1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game52.6% WPGMissed
Last season's table57.5% BOSCalled it
Total goals7Over 5.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Boston host Utah on Thursday 8 October. Winnipeg host Colorado on Wednesday 7 October.


Full game data

Box score

Boston

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
88David Pastrnak02240100.0%22:04
91Nikita Zadorov02200—20:54
27Hampus Lindholm1012+1—21:42
10JJ Peterka1015+1—20:05
28Elias Lindholm1015053.3%15:53
44James Hagens1011+10.0%14:14
6Mason Lohrei0110+1—21:53
17Will Borgen0110+1—19:32
39Morgan Geekie0110+20.0%18:53
47Mark Kastelic011100.0%9:17
18Pavel Zacha0003+250.0%19:33
75Connor Clifton0002−1—18:35
93Fraser Minten0001+160.0%16:50
45Jonathan Aspirot00030—16:05
92Marat Khusnutdinov00000100.0%15:55
11Casey Mittelstadt0002+10.0%14:01
52Sean Kuraly0001055.6%11:02
84Tanner Jeannot0000−1—10:15

Winnipeg

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
81Kyle Connor11290—20:56
17Adam Lowry0222050.0%16:07
2Dylan DeMelo10110—22:53
38Mario Ferraro10130—17:58
13Gabriel Vilardi0111−2100.0%19:25
91Cole Perfetti0114−10.0%17:06
36Morgan Barron0112+10.0%15:53
44Josh Morrissey0004−2—25:22
4Neal Pionk0002−1—24:37
54Dylan Samberg00010—22:46
55Mark Scheifele0000−158.3%22:29
61Viggo Björck0002022.2%15:42
62Nino Niederreiter00000—12:17
9Alex Iafallo00000—12:12
93Brad Lambert000000.0%11:47
7Vladislav Namestnikov0001−155.6%11:45
27Isak Rosen0001−1—10:50
77Tyrel Bauer00000—5:58

Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Winnipeg to winMoneyline53¢53¢52¢0¢
Boston to winMoneyline48¢48¢48¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.


Before the game · as published 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET
The thesisEighteen points apart, priced as a coin flip
The thesis

Eighteen points apart, priced as a coin flip

Boston finished last season 8th in the league on 100 points. Winnipeg finished 26th on 82, and the 2025-26 season series went BOS 2-0-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 9 US books price Winnipeg at 52.6% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 42.5%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 42.5% WPGMarket: 52.6% WPG

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.500 vs .610) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Winnipeg 10.0 points higher than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 32
Head-to-head

Meeting number 32

Across 31 completed games, Boston lead the head-to-head 19-9-3.

All-time record19-9-3Boston's record in the series
Meetings played31This is number 32
2025-26 seriesBOS 2-0-0
Last 53-2Boston
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
19 Mar 2026WPG 1 – BOS 624–27WPG 1/3 · BOS 0/1BOS
11 Dec 2025BOS 6 – WPG 324–29BOS 2/2 · WPG 1/4BOS
30 Jan 2025WPG 6 – BOS 228–28WPG 2/4 · BOS 1/3WPG
10 Dec 2024BOS 1 – WPG 824–35BOS 1/2 · WPG 3/5WPG
22 Jan 2024WPG 1 – BOS 421–21WPG 0/3 · BOS 0/3BOS
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateBostonWinnipeg
11 Dec 202519-13-0 · 38 pts10th14-15-1 · 29 pts28th
19 Mar 202638-23-8 · 84 pts9th28-29-11 · 67 pts27th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 11 Dec 2025, Boston were 10th in the league and Winnipeg 28th. By 19 Mar 2026 it was 9th and 27th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Boston

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2623.4% · 9th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/11 · 36.4%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.0% · 24th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.0% · 26/52
Drawn · 2026-271 (1.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings11 (2.20/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-271 (1.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

Winnipeg

Power play · 2026-27No games yet
Power play · 2025-2618.5% · 24th
Power play · last 5 meetings7/19 · 36.8%
Penalty kill · 2026-27No games yet
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.6% · 21st
Faceoffs · 2025-2651.3% · 2,238/4,365
Drawn · 2025-26227 (2.77/gm)
Drawn · last meetings19 (3.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26228 (2.78/gm)
PP goals · last meetings7
Goaltending and injuriesConnor Hellebuyck has started most of these meetings
Goaltending

Connor Hellebuyck has started most of these meetings

Connor Hellebuyck played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston, with a .879 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Expected starter#1 Jeremy Swayman
  • Started 1 of 1 this season
  • 54 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 1 GP · 1.000 SV% · GSAx +2

Also possible: DiPietro 5%

Expected starter#74 Stuart Skinner
  • New to the team: 50 starts last season

2025-26: 50 GP · .888 SV% · GSAx +4

Also possible: Stevenson 22%

Injured: Hellebuyck (suspension)

BOS · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 95%

SV% · 2026-271.0001 GP · 0.00 GAA · 2025-26 .908
vs Winnipeg.8753 app · 80 SA · 10 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+2.31 start · most on the roster
vs WPGVenueSAGASV%
19 Mar 2026home241.958
10 Dec 2024away358.771
22 Jan 2024home211.952
Full game log

WPG · 23-23-11 in 2025-26 OutReturn 17 Oct

SV% · 2025-26.89557 GP · 2.86 GAA
vs Boston.8794 app · 99 SA · 12 GA
GSAx · 2025-26+3.257 starts · most on the roster
vs BOSVenueSAGASV%
19 Mar 2026away276.778
30 Jan 2025away282.929
10 Dec 2024home241.958
22 Jan 2024away203.850

Also on the roster, 2025-26: Eric Comrie .890 (25 GP) · Thomas Milic .871 (3 GP)

Full game log
Team news

6 on the injury lists

Boston · injuries

Charlie McAvoySuspensionOutReturn13 Oct
Matthew PoitrasLower BodyIRReturn5 Oct

Winnipeg · injuries

Connor HellebuyckSuspensionOutReturn17 Oct
Elias SalomonssonShoulderIRReturn15 Oct
Garrett BrownLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Walker DuehrLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
27 Sep · BOS

Placed D Henri Jokiharju on waivers. Placed C Matthew Poitras on injured reserve.

26 Sep · BOS

Placed C/LWs Lukas Reichel and Alex Steeves on waivers.

25 Sep · BOS

Assigned Fs Ivan Ivan and Attilio Biasca to Providence (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Providence Fs Brendan Gaunce and Brian Halonen Ds Jordan Harris and Billy Sweezey and G Jiri Patera.

10 Aug 2026 · WPG

Signed F Tyrel Bauer to a two-year contract.

15 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Cole Perfetti to a five-year contract.

13 Jul 2026 · WPG

Signed F Viggo Björck to a three-year contract.

Injury report
#56Yuri IvanovRound 2 · Spartak Jr.G
#88Nils BartholdssonRound 3 · Rogle Jr.RW
#104Matvei KotkovRound 4 · Yaroslavl Jr.RW
#122Oscar OlssonRound 4 · Orebro Jr.LW
Full draft
#8Viggo BjorckRound 1 · DjurgardenC
#71Samuel HrenakRound 3 · FargoG
#116Zach WootenRound 4 · Green BayLW
#135Alexandre TailleferRound 5 · QuebecD
Full draft
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsWinnipeg out-attempted Boston 280 to 278
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Winnipeg out-attempted Boston 280 to 278

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Boston Bruins

278 att · 124 on goal · 19 G · 15.3%
Crease16 att · 2 G
Slot108 att · 11 G
Wing111 att · 5 G
Point36 att · 1 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G

Winnipeg Jets

280 att · 137 on goal · 19 G · 13.9%
Crease27 att · 4 G
Slot96 att · 10 G
Wing100 att · 4 G
Point50 att · 1 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

David Pastrnak has 9 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGPP/GP
93Fraser Minten1122.00
47Mark Kastelic1111.00
10JJ Peterka1111.00

Winnipeg: no games yet this season.

Skater stats

David Pastrnak vs Winnipeg · game by game

See all: David Pastrnak vs Winnipeg · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
19 Mar 2026home112314:55
11 Dec 2025away224721:21
30 Jan 2025home011220:17
10 Dec 2024away101516:01
22 Jan 2024home011221:01
Last 5 meetings9 P4 G, 5 A · 19 SOG
Next best5 PMark Scheifele, WPG
2026-27 season0 P1 GP · 0 G
Blank vs WPG0 of 5A point in every meeting
Full game log
Totals

A total set below what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 5.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 7.6 goals and went over 5.5 4 times.

line 5.5
012345678910
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg7.6Goals per game
Over 5.54 of 5
Books at the line6Posting 5.5
Lowest5 goals
Prediction markets

Two markets, one coin flip

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 9 books
Boston49¢50¢47.5%
Winnipeg54¢55¢52.6%
Canada · 2 books
Boston49¢50¢48.2%
Winnipeg54¢54¢51.8%

Snapshot 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET

Lines on the board

Puck line BOS +1.59 books
Puck line WPG -1.59 books
Total 5.56 books
Total 6.03 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET