RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Friday 2 October · American Airlines Center · Meeting No. 167
FINAL
By period
123T
St. Louis1124
Dallas0000
Pre-game favouriteDAL 62.4%Lost
First starJ. Hofer1.000 SV%
Game stats
24Shots25
3.0Expected goals3.3
0/4Power play0/3
18Hits21
12Blocks19
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

McTavish scores the winner as St. Louis beat Dallas 4-0

Dallas out-shot St. Louis 25-24. The pre-game price had DAL at 62.4%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 2 Oct

1st period: M. McTavish (STL). 2nd period: D. Dvorsky (STL). 3rd period: J. Snuggerud (STL), P. Suter (STL).

Pius Suter led St. Louis with 1 goal and 1 assist. Joel Hofer stopped 25 of 25 shots. On expected goals it was St. Louis 3.0, Dallas 3.3. The chances favoured the side that lost. On the power play St. Louis went 0 for 4 and Dallas 0 for 3.

Shots24-25St. Louis first
Power play0/4St. Louis
Lead changes0
DecidedRegulationWinner at 01:34

How it turned

1st period
01:34Mason McTavish (goal 1)Assists: C. Parayko, J. SnuggerudEV · GWG1-0
2nd period
13:05Dalibor Dvorsky (goal 1)Assists: P. Broberg, P. SuterEV2-0
3rd period
17:37Jimmy Snuggerud (goal 1)UnassistedEV3-0
17:52Pius Suter (goal 1)Assists: C. McMichael, J. HoferEV4-0

Where the goals came from

St. Louis attacking leftDallas attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

St. Louis 3.03 xGDallas 3.30 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game62.4% DALMissed
Last season's table69.6% DALMissed
Total goals4Under 6.0
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

St. Louis host San Jose on Thursday 8 October. Dallas visit Buffalo on Thursday 8 October.


Full game data

Box score

St. Louis

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
21Jimmy Snuggerud1124+2—18:59
22Pius Suter1124+222.2%14:25
83Mason McTavish1013+133.3%14:36
15Dalibor Dvorsky1012+140.0%13:03
6Philip Broberg0111+2—23:08
55Colton Parayko0112+2—20:27
77Connor McMichael0111+1100.0%13:03
18Robert Thomas0000+150.0%22:59
17Cam Fowler0002+1—22:38
81Dylan Holloway00010—19:21
89Pavel Buchnevich0000+2—17:11
36Adam Jiricek0002+1—16:35
25Brandon Carlo00000—15:27
4Theo Lindstein0001+2—15:13
29Jonatan Berggren00000—13:45
63Jake Neighbours0001+1—13:03
49Ross Johnston0000+1—9:59
13Alexey Toropchenko00000—5:08

Dallas

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
4Miro Heiskanen0001−2—26:45
96Mikko Rantanen0001−2100.0%22:10
53Wyatt Johnston0004−266.7%21:49
55Thomas Harley0001−2—20:59
21Jason Robertson0002−3—19:39
23Esa Lindell00010—18:43
49Justin Hryckowian0001−1100.0%17:12
24Roope Hintz0000−223.1%16:57
6Lian Bichsel0000−1—16:02
5Nils Lundkvist0002−2—15:22
91Tyler Seguin0004−271.4%14:55
57Tyler Myers00010—13:13
25Arttu Hyry0001−185.7%13:07
10Oskar Bäck000000.0%12:03
18Sam Steel0003−10.0%11:19
12Radek Faksa0001045.5%11:07
22Joel Kiviranta00020—10:18
14Jamie Benn0000−1100.0%10:03

Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Dallas to winMoneyline63¢64¢63¢0¢
St. Louis to winMoneyline38¢37¢37¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.


Before the game · as published 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET
The thesisDallas favoured at 62.4%
The thesis

Dallas favoured at 62.4%

St. Louis finished last season 22nd in the league on 86 points. Dallas finished 3rd on 112, and the 2025-26 season series went DAL 3-1-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 9 US books price Dallas at 62.4% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 69.6%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 69.6% DALMarket: 62.4% DAL

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.683 vs .524) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Dallas 7.2 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 167
Head-to-head

Meeting number 167

Across 166 completed games, St. Louis lead the head-to-head 83-63-20.

All-time record83-63-20St. Louis's record in the series
Meetings played166This is number 167
2025-26 seriesDAL 3-1-0
Last 54-1Dallas
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
4 Feb 2026STL 4 – DAL 518–28STL 1/4 · DAL 1/3DAL
27 Jan 2026DAL 4 – STL 324–26DAL 2/3 · STL 0/3DAL
23 Jan 2026STL 2 – DAL 322–19STL 1/3 · DAL 2/5DAL
18 Oct 2025DAL 1 – STL 319–22DAL 0/2 · STL 0/2STL
2 Mar 2025STL 3 – DAL 642–21STL 1/3 · DAL 4/4DAL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSt. LouisDallas
18 Oct 20253-2-0 · 6 pts13th3-2-0 · 6 pts16th
23 Jan 202619-24-8 · 46 pts31st29-14-9 · 67 pts4th
27 Jan 202619-24-9 · 47 pts31st29-14-9 · 67 pts6th
4 Feb 202619-24-9 · 47 pts31st29-14-9 · 67 pts6th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 18 Oct 2025, St. Louis were 13th in the league and Dallas 16th. By 4 Feb 2026 it was 31st and 6th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

St. Louis

Power play · 2025-2617.6% · 26th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/15 · 20.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.7% · 25th
Faceoffs · 2025-2648.0% · 1,556/3,240
Drawn · 2025-26216 (2.63/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26223 (2.72/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Dallas

Power play · 2025-2628.6% · 2nd
Power play · last 5 meetings9/17 · 52.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.3% · 13th
Faceoffs · 2025-2651.6% · 2,248/4,357
Drawn · 2025-26248 (3.02/gm)
Drawn · last meetings17 (3.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26249 (3.04/gm)
PP goals · last meetings9
Goaltending and injuriesJake Oettinger has started most of these meetings
Goaltending

Jake Oettinger has started most of these meetings

Jake Oettinger played 5 of the last 5 meetings with St. Louis, with a .891 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Expected starter#30 Joel Hofer
  • First game of the season
  • 43 of the team's last 82 starts

2025-26: 46 GP · .910 SV% · GSAx +10

Also possible: Binnington 47%

Expected starter#29 Jake Oettinger
  • First game of the season
  • 54 of the team's last 82 starts

2025-26: 54 GP · .899 SV% · GSAx +6

Also possible: DeSmith 27%

STL · 13-20-7 in 2025-26 Chance to start · 47%

SV% · 2025-26.87341 GP · 3.33 GAA
vs Dallas.8435 app · 102 SA · 16 GA
GSAx · 2025-26−28.239 starts
vs DALVenueSAGASV%
4 Feb 2026away285.821
27 Jan 2026home244.833
23 Jan 2026away193.842
18 Oct 2025home191.947
2 Mar 2025away123.750

Also on the roster, 2025-26: Joel Hofer .910 (46 GP)

Full game log

DAL · 35-12-6 in 2025-26 Expected starter · 73%

SV% · 2025-26.89954 GP · 2.59 GAA
vs St. Louis.8915 app · 129 SA · 14 GA
GSAx · 2025-26+5.654 starts · most on the roster
vs STLVenueSAGASV%
4 Feb 2026home184.778
27 Jan 2026away263.885
23 Jan 2026home222.909
18 Oct 2025away212.905
2 Mar 2025home423.929

Also on the roster, 2025-26: Casey DeSmith .907 (30 GP)

Full game log
Team news

9 on the injury lists

St. Louis · injuries

Felix TrudeauUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Logan MaillouxHandIRReturn25 Nov
Tyler TuckerKneeIRReturn12 Nov

Dallas · injuries

Cameron HughesUpper BodyIRReturn5 Oct
Harrison ScottUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jaxon FuderUndisclosedIRReturn5 Oct
Luke KrysUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Matt DucheneLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct
Tristan BertucciUndisclosedIRReturn5 Oct
27 Sep · STL

Placed G Georgii Romanov and D Calle Rosen on waivers. Claimed RD Justin Barron off waivers.

19 Sep · STL

Placed D Marc Andre Gaudet was placed on waivers.

16 Jul 2026 · STL

Signed F Connor McMichael to a six-year contract.

1 Oct · DAL

Placed F Matt Duchene on long-term injured reserve retroactive to Sept. 29. Recalled Fs Arttu Hyry and Colin Blackwell from Texas (AHL).

30 Sep · DAL

Signed G Casey DeSmith to a two-year contract.

27 Sep · DAL

Placed RW Colin Blackwell on waivers.

Injury report
#11Tynan LawrenceRound 1 · Boston UniversityC
#16Maddox DagenaisRound 1 · QuebecC
#75Luke SchairerRound 3 · Usa U-18D
#107Landon NyczRound 4 · UmassD
Full draft
#59Jakub VanecekRound 2 · Tri-cityD
#155Ryan BrownRound 5 · LondonLW
#187Anton Emil Wilde LarsenRound 6 · FrederikshavnG
#197Jasper KuhtaRound 7 · OttawaC
Full draft
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsSt. Louis out-attempted Dallas 265 to 227
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

St. Louis out-attempted Dallas 265 to 227

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

St. Louis Blues

265 att · 130 on goal · 15 G · 11.5%
Crease10 att · 2 G
Slot104 att · 7 G
Wing105 att · 5 G
Point38 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 1 G

Dallas Stars

227 att · 111 on goal · 19 G · 17.1%
Crease27 att · 3 G
Slot73 att · 9 G
Wing84 att · 6 G
Point35 att · 1 G
Neutral zone8 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Roope Hintz has 8 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGPP/GP
18Robert Thomas6425641.00
81Dylan Holloway5922510.86
21Jimmy Snuggerud7021510.73
89Pavel Buchnevich8120480.59
25Jordan Kyrou7218460.64
21Jason Robertson8245961.17
53Wyatt Johnston8245861.05
96Mikko Rantanen6422771.20
4Miro Heiskanen779630.82
95Matt Duchene5716450.79
Skater stats

Roope Hintz vs St. Louis · game by game

See all: Roope Hintz vs St. Louis · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
4 Feb 2026home011515:08
27 Jan 2026away101316:07
23 Jan 2026home022120:12
18 Oct 2025away000118:00
2 Mar 2025home134316:45
Last 5 meetings8 P2 G, 6 A · 13 SOG
Next best7 PMatt Duchene, DAL
2025-26 season44 P53 GP · 15 G
Blank vs STL1 of 5
Full game log
Totals

A total set below what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 6.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 6.8 goals and went over 6.0 3 times.

line 6.0
012345678910
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg6.8Goals per game
Over 6.03 of 5
Books at the line6Posting 6.0
Lowest4 goals
Prediction markets

Dallas favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 9 books
St. Louis38¢39¢37.6%
Dallas64¢65¢62.4%
Canada · 2 books
St. Louis39¢39¢37.4%
Dallas65¢65¢62.6%

Snapshot 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET

Lines on the board

Puck line DAL -1.59 books
Puck line STL +1.59 books
Total 6.06 books
Total 5.53 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET