RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Friday 2 October · T-Mobile Arena · Meeting No. 45

FINAL

Anaheim2-0-0 · 4 ptsSennecke 19:52 · Killorn 01:33 · Malott 02:28 · Carlsson 07:03

Vegas3-1-0 · 6 ptsTheodore 04:38 · Hertl 06:07 PP · Bowman 17:10

By period

123T

Anaheim1304

Vegas0033

Pre-game favouriteVGK 64.2%Lost

First starL. Carlsson1 G · 1 A

Game stats

20Shots30

2.2Expected goals3.4

0/2Power play1/3

25Hits18

16Blocks14

Full box score ↓

Recap · data desk

Carlsson scores the winner as Anaheim beat Vegas 4-3

Vegas out-shot Anaheim 30-20. The pre-game price had VGK at 64.2%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 2 Oct

1st period: B. Sennecke (ANA). 2nd period: A. Killorn (ANA), J. Malott (ANA), L. Carlsson (ANA). 3rd period: S. Theodore (VGK), T. Hertl (VGK), B. Bowman (VGK).

Leo Carlsson led Anaheim with 1 goal and 1 assist. Lukas Dostal stopped 27 of 30 shots. On expected goals it was Anaheim 2.2, Vegas 3.4. The chances favoured the side that lost. On the power play Anaheim went 0 for 2 and Vegas 1 for 3.

Shots20-30Anaheim first

Power play0/2Anaheim

Lead changes0

DecidedRegulationWinner at 07:03

How it turned

1st period

19:52Beckett Sennecke (goal 1)Assists: L. Carlsson, T. LuneauEV1-0

2nd period

01:33Alex Killorn (goal 1)Assists: N. Warren, M. GranlundEV2-0

02:28Jeff Malott (goal 1)Assists: T. Washe, J. LaCombeEV3-0

07:03Leo Carlsson (goal 1)Assists: A. Greer, C. GauthierEV · GWG4-0

3rd period

04:38Shea Theodore (goal 1)Assists: B. Howden, J. EichelEV4-1

06:07Tomas Hertl (goal 1)Assists: M. Marner, J. EichelPP4-2

17:10Braeden Bowman (goal 1)Assists: V. Olofsson, B. McNabbEV4-3

Where the goals came from

Anaheim attacking leftVegas attacking right

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Anaheim 2.19 xGVegas 3.38 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game64.2% VGKMissed

Last season's table55.4% VGKMissed

Total goals7Over 6.5

How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Anaheim host Edmonton on Wednesday 7 October. Vegas host Toronto on Thursday 8 October.

Anaheim Ducks Vegas Golden Knights

Full game data

Box score

Anaheim

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI

91Leo Carlsson1121+146.2%17:43

45Beckett Sennecke1011+2—18:04

17Alex Killorn1012+1—15:14

39Jeff Malott1011+1—10:39

2Jackson LaCombe0112+1—29:37

67Tristan Luneau0110+3—26:58

64Mikael Granlund0110+150.0%18:39

61Cutter Gauthier0115+1—17:51

42Tim Washe0111+152.4%16:03

18A.J. Greer0114−1—13:24

47Noah Warren01100—9:33

98Pavel Mintyukov0001+1—21:10

34Travis Mitchell0000−1—20:38

25Ryan Poehling0002−111.1%14:03

28Judd Caulfield0000+1—13:17

13Nikita Nesterenko000000.0%11:49

77Frank Vatrano0000−1—10:34

55Tyson Hinds00000—9:15

Vegas

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI

9Jack Eichel0222057.1%22:07

27Shea Theodore1014+1—24:40

48Tomas Hertl1015+154.6%17:23

42Braeden Bowman1013−2—12:02

93Mitch Marner0111−1—22:22

3Brayden McNabb0110+1—17:57

21Brett Howden011300.0%14:58

95Victor Olofsson01110100.0%13:13

61Mark Stone0000+1—20:39

71William Karlsson0002−270.6%20:13

15Noah Hanifin00010—19:33

4Rasmus Andersson0002−3—19:14

5Jeremy Lauzon00030—16:48

29Parker Wotherspoon0000−3—15:39

49Ivan Barbashev00010—15:05

24Trevor Connelly00000—10:30

26Nic Dowd0001−116.7%8:24

17Marc Gatcomb0001−20.0%7:33

Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled

Vegas to winMoneyline66¢66¢66¢0¢

Anaheim to winMoneyline35¢35¢35¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET

The thesisVegas favoured at 64.2%

The thesis

Vegas favoured at 64.2%

Anaheim finished last season 18th in the league on 92 points. Vegas finished 13th on 95, and the 2025-26 season series went ANA 5-3-1.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 9 US books price Vegas at 64.2% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 55.4%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 55.4% VGKMarket: 64.2% VGK

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.579 vs .561) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Vegas 8.9 points higher than last season's table does.

Method

Head-to-headMeeting number 45

Head-to-head

Meeting number 45

Across 44 completed games, Vegas lead the head-to-head 31-10-3.

All-time record31-10-3Vegas's record in the series

Meetings played44This is number 45

2025-26 seriesANA 5-3-1

Last 53-2Vegas

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →

DateResultShotsPower playWinner

14 May 2026VGK 5 – ANA 121–32VGK 1/2 · ANA 1/5VGK

12 May 2026ANA 2 – VGK 3 OT36–32ANA 1/0 · VGK 1/1VGK

10 May 2026VGK 3 – ANA 421–23VGK 1/3 · ANA 2/4ANA

8 May 2026VGK 6 – ANA 228–33VGK 1/3 · ANA 0/2VGK

6 May 2026ANA 3 – VGK 128–22ANA 0/4 · VGK 1/4ANA

Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateAnaheimVegas

6 May 202643-33-6 · 92 pts18th39-26-17 · 95 pts13th

8 May 202643-33-6 · 92 pts18th39-26-17 · 95 pts13th

10 May 202643-33-6 · 92 pts18th39-26-17 · 95 pts13th

12 May 202643-33-6 · 92 pts18th39-26-17 · 95 pts13th

14 May 202643-33-6 · 92 pts18th39-26-17 · 95 pts13th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 6 May 2026, Anaheim were 18th in the league and Vegas 13th. By 14 May 2026 it was 18th and 13th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series

Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Anaheim

Power play · 2026-27No games yet

Power play · 2025-2618.6% · 23rd

Power play · last 5 meetings4/15 · 26.7%

Penalty kill · 2026-27No games yet

Penalty kill · 2025-2676.4% · 27th

Faceoffs · 2025-2648.1% · 2,196/4,568

Drawn · 2025-26264 (3.22/gm)

Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)

Shorthanded · 2025-26258 (3.15/gm)

PP goals · last meetings4

Vegas

Small sample

Power play · 2026-2733.3%

Power play · 2025-2624.6% · 6th

Power play · last 5 meetings5/13 · 38.5%

Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%

Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 7th

Faceoffs · 2026-2756.9% · 33/58

Drawn · 2026-273 (3.00/gm)

Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)

Shorthanded · 2026-272 (2.00/gm)

PP goals · last meetings5

Goaltending and injuriesCarter Hart has started most of these meetings

Goaltending

Carter Hart has started most of these meetings

Carter Hart played 5 of the last 5 meetings with Anaheim, with a .927 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Anaheim

Expected starter#1 Lukas Dostal

62%Leaning

First game of the season
55 of the team's last 82 starts

2025-26: 56 GP · .888 SV% · GSAx +1

Also possible: Husso 23% · Brossoit 14%

Vegas

Expected starter#79 Carter Hart

88%Likely

Started 1 of 1 this season

2026-27: 1 GP · .923 SV% · GSAx +0

Also possible: Hill 12%

Lukas Dostal

See all: Lukas Dostal →

ANA · 30-20-4 in 2025-26 Expected starter · 62%

SV% · 2025-26.88856 GP · 3.10 GAA

vs Vegas.8565 app · 104 SA · 15 GA

GSAx · 2025-26+0.655 starts · most on the roster

vs VGKVenueSAGASV%

14 May 2026home215.762

12 May 2026away323.906

10 May 2026home213.857

8 May 2026home83.625

6 May 2026away221.955

Also on the roster, 2025-26: Ville Husso .884 (20 GP) · Petr Mrazek .858 (10 GP) · Vyacheslav Buteyets .769 (1 GP)

Full game log

Carter Hart

See all: Carter Hart →

VGK · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 88%

SV% · 2026-27.9231 GP · 2.00 GAA · 2025-26 .891

vs Anaheim.9275 app · 151 SA · 11 GA

GSAx · 2026-27+0.31 start · most on the roster

vs ANAVenueSAGASV%

14 May 2026away321.969

12 May 2026home362.944

10 May 2026away234.826

8 May 2026away332.939

6 May 2026home272.926

Full game log

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Anaheim · injuries

A.J. GreerUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn2 Oct

Drew HellesonLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct

Ian MooreLower BodyIRReturn16 Oct

Troy TerryHipIRReturn21 Nov

Vegas · injuries

Lukas CormierUndisclosedIRReturn6 Oct

Raphael LavoieUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn2 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →

1 Oct · ANA

Signed D Tristan Luneau to a six-year contract extension.

30 Sep · ANA

Reassigned C Roger McQueen and C Cruz Lucius to San Diego (AHL). Recalled D Noah Warren, D Ian Mitchell and D Tristan Luneau from San Diego. Placed D Drew Helleson on injured reserve. Moved RW Troy Terry from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

27 Sep · ANA

Placed G Laurent Brossoit and D Travis Mitchell on waivers.

30 Sep · VGK

Signed C William Karlsson to a two-year contract.

29 Sep · VGK

Placed C Jakub Cormier, RW Matyas Hemmerling and C Jakub Uchacz on the injured non-roster list.

23 Sep · VGK

Placed D Jaycob Megna, D Adam Ginning, D Joe Fleming, C Jakub Demek and D Jeremy Davies on waivers.

Injury report

Anaheim · 2026 draft

See all: Anaheim · 2026 draft →

#15Nikita KlepovRound 1 · SaginawRW

#28Marcus NordmarkRound 1 · Djurgarden Jr.LW

#45Jayden KurtzRound 2 · RogersD

#50Mathis PrestonRound 2 · VancouverRW

Full draft

Vegas · 2026 draft

See all: Vegas · 2026 draft →

#29Juho PiiparinenRound 1 · TapparaD

#63ForfeitedRound 2 ·

#92Benjamin WilmottRound 3 · BarrieC

#95Sean BurickRound 3 · PentictonD

Full draft

Friday 2 October · the full slate

See all: Friday 2 October · the full slate →

6:30 PM ETNYR at DET 7:00 PM ETWSH at CAR 8:00 PM ETBOS at WPG 9:00 PM ETSTL at DAL 10:00 PM ETANA at VGKThis

Scores

Shots, skaters, totals and marketsAnaheim out-attempted Vegas 337 to 251

Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Anaheim out-attempted Vegas 337 to 251

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Anaheim Ducks

337 att · 152 on goal · 12 G · 7.9%

Crease21 att · 2 G

Slot111 att · 6 G

Wing148 att · 2 G

Point47 att · 1 G

Neutral zone10 att · 1 G

Vegas Golden Knights

251 att · 124 on goal · 18 G · 14.5%

Crease27 att · 3 G

Slot95 att · 11 G

Wing93 att · 2 G

Point28 att · 1 G

Neutral zone8 att · 1 G

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Skaters

Mitch Marner has 9 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →

PlayerGPGAPSOG

93Mitch Marner545911

16Pavel Dorofeyev551613

9Jack Eichel506616

45Beckett Sennecke541515

27Shea Theodore523510

61Cutter Gauthier505516

21Brett Howden53147

48Tomas Hertl52244

64Mikael Granlund521310

17Alex Killorn512311

Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →

PlayerGPGPP/GP

9Jack Eichel1133.00

3Brayden McNabb1022.00

27Shea Theodore1022.00

49Ivan Barbashev1022.00

61Mark Stone1111.00

Anaheim: no games yet this season.

Skater stats

Mitch Marner vs Anaheim · game by game

See all: Mitch Marner vs Anaheim · game by game →

DateVenueGAPSOGTOI

14 May 2026away112118:11

12 May 2026home000120:52

10 May 2026away033224:08

8 May 2026away314523:07

6 May 2026home000216:31

Last 5 meetings9 P4 G, 5 A · 11 SOG

Next best6 PPavel Dorofeyev, VGK

2026-27 season0 P1 GP · 0 G

Blank vs ANA2 of 5

Full game log

Totals

A total in line with recent meetings

The board sits at 6.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 6.0 goals and went over 6.5 2 times.

line 6.5

0123456789

Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game

Last 5 avg6.0Goals per game

Over 6.52 of 5

Books at the line9Posting 6.5

Lowest4 goals

Prediction markets

Vegas favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair

United States · 9 books

Anaheim37¢37¢35.8%

Vegas66¢67¢64.2%

Canada · 2 books

Anaheim37¢37¢35.6%

Vegas67¢67¢64.4%

Snapshot 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 6.59 books

Puck line ANA +1.59 books

Puck line VGK -1.59 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET