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‹FRI OCT 2›
5 games, finals
FRIOCT 2
FINAL
NYR2
DET0
FINAL
WSH5
CAR2
FINAL/OT
BOS4
WPG3
FINAL
STL4
DAL0
FINAL
ANA4
VGK3
RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Friday 2 October · Little Caesars Arena · Meeting No. 598
FINAL
By period
123T
NY Rangers1012
Detroit0000
Pre-game favouriteDET 53.7%Lost
First starD. Garand1.000 SV%
Game stats
21Shots22
2.7Expected goals1.4
1/4Power play0/2
26Hits29
13Blocks12
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Durzi scores the winner as NY Rangers beat Detroit 2-0

Detroit out-shot NY Rangers 22-21. The pre-game price had DET at 53.7%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 2 Oct

1st period: S. Durzi (NYR). 3rd period: E. Tolvanen (NYR).

Eeli Tolvanen led NY Rangers with 1 goal. Dylan Garand stopped 22 of 22 shots. On expected goals it was NY Rangers 2.7, Detroit 1.4. On the power play NY Rangers went 1 for 4 and Detroit 0 for 2.

Shots21-22NY Rangers first
Power play1/4NY Rangers
Lead changes0
DecidedRegulationWinner at 05:12

How it turned

1st period
05:12Sean Durzi (goal 1)Assists: G. Perreault, W. CuyllePP · GWG1-0
3rd period
18:44Eeli Tolvanen (goal 2)Assists: T. Kartye, A. FoxEV2-0

Where the goals came from

NY Rangers attacking leftDetroit attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

NY Rangers 2.70 xGDetroit 1.37 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.532nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game53.7% DETMissed
Last season's table62.6% DETMissed
Total goals2Under 6.0
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

NY Rangers visit Washington on Friday 9 October. Detroit host Seattle on Friday 9 October.

New York RangersDetroit Red Wings
Full game data

Box score

NY Rangers

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
5Sean Durzi10120—19:19
17Eeli Tolvanen1011+1—11:26
23Adam Fox0112+1—22:50
94Gabe Perreault01120—15:24
24Tye Kartye0111+1—15:12
50Will Cuylle0112075.0%14:43
26Marcus Pettersson0001+1—21:56
13Alexis Lafrenière00010—21:30
93Mika Zibanejad0001058.8%21:21
44Vladislav Gavrikov00000—21:07
16Pavel Dorofeyev00020—17:30
10J.T. Miller0002+133.3%17:28
4Braden Schneider00010—16:36
90Joseph Veleno0000053.9%13:34
28Oliver Bjorkstrand00000—13:22
42Noah Laba0002038.5%12:05
12Alberts Smits00000—11:26
49Jaroslav Chmelar00010—9:11

Detroit

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
53Moritz Seider0002−1—25:16
18Andrew Copp0001−152.4%22:17
72Justin Faulk00010—21:29
23Lucas Raymond0002−1—20:01
93Alex DeBrincat0001−150.0%19:43
42Anton Johansson00000—19:10
8Ben Chiarot00010—18:31
20Albert Johansson00000—17:29
37J.T. Compher0001050.0%16:28
44Axel Sandin-Pellikka00020—16:27
33Viktor Arvidsson0001−1100.0%16:17
27Michael Rasmussen0000−150.0%14:54
58Emmitt Finnie000100.0%14:24
92Marco Kasper0004064.3%10:50
55Keegan Kolesar00000—10:23
22Mason Appleton000100.0%10:18
29Nate Danielson0001050.0%9:41
28Michael Brandsegg-Nygård00030—9:39
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Detroit to winMoneyline55¢55¢55¢0¢
NY Rangers to winMoneyline46¢46¢45¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET
The thesisDetroit favoured at 53.7%
The thesis

Detroit favoured at 53.7%

NY Rangers finished last season 30th in the league on 77 points. Detroit finished 16th on 92, and the 2025-26 season series went NYR 2-1-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 9 US books price Detroit at 53.7% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 62.6%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 62.6% DETMarket: 53.7% DET

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.561 vs .470) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Detroit 8.8 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 598
Head-to-head

Meeting number 598

Across 597 completed games, Detroit lead the head-to-head 329-247-21.

All-time record329-247-21Detroit's record in the series
Meetings played597This is number 598
2025-26 seriesNYR 2-1-0
Last 54-1NY Rangers

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
4 Apr 2026DET 1 – NYR 433–20DET 0/4 · NYR 1/2NYR
16 Nov 2025DET 2 – NYR 142–19DET 1/6 · NYR 1/2DET
7 Nov 2025NYR 4 – DET 126–33NYR 1/3 · DET 0/4NYR
9 Nov 2024NYR 4 – DET 024–37NYR 1/2 · DET 0/2NYR
17 Oct 2024NYR 5 – DET 234–31NYR 3/4 · DET 1/5NYR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateNY RangersDetroit
7 Nov 20257-6-2 · 16 pts18th9-6-0 · 18 pts9th
16 Nov 202510-8-2 · 22 pts17th11-7-1 · 23 pts10th
4 Apr 202632-36-9 · 73 pts29th40-28-8 · 88 pts12th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 7 Nov 2025, NY Rangers were 18th in the league and Detroit 9th. By 4 Apr 2026 it was 29th and 12th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

NY Rangers

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2733.3%
Power play · 2025-2624.7% · 5th
Power play · last 5 meetings7/13 · 53.8%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.9% · 15th
Faceoffs · 2026-2756.0% · 61/109
Drawn · 2026-273 (1.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-278 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings7

Detroit

Power play · 2026-27No games yet
Power play · 2025-2622.6% · 12th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/21 · 9.5%
Penalty kill · 2026-27No games yet
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.1% · 23rd
Faceoffs · 2025-2651.0% · 2,362/4,627
Drawn · 2025-26248 (3.02/gm)
Drawn · last meetings21 (4.20/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26210 (2.56/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2
Goaltending and injuriesWho has stopped this matchup
Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
NY Rangers
Expected starter#31 Igor Shesterkin
  • Started last night as well
  • Started 2 of 2 this season

2026-27: 2 GP · .936 SV% · GSAx +2

Also possible: Garand 46%

Injured: Korpisalo (injured reserve)

Detroit
Expected starter#36 John Gibson
  • First game of the season
  • 57 of the team's last 82 starts

2025-26: 57 GP · .901 SV% · GSAx +12

Also possible: Tarasov 27%

NY Rangers crease

NYR · 2026-27 Expected: Shesterkin · 54%

Igor Shesterkin.9362 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx +2.2

No appearances against Detroit in the last meetings.

Detroit crease

DET · 2025-26 Expected: Gibson · 73%

John Gibson.90157 GP · 29-22-4 · GSAx +12.1
Cam Talbot.88334 GP · 12-9-6 · GSAx −9.9
#vs NYRAppsSAGASV%
36John Gibson1193.842
Team news

9 on the injury lists

NY Rangers · injuries

Adam SykoraLower BodyIRReturn25 Jan
Aidan ThompsonUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Joonas KorpisaloLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct

Detroit · injuries

Andreas EnglundNot Injury RelatedIRReturn2 Oct
Carter BearUpper BodyIRReturn6 Oct
Chase StillmanUndisclosedIRReturn4 Oct
Dylan LarkinUpper BodyOutReturn6 Oct
Jacob Bernard-DockerUpper BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Simon EdvinssonContract DisputeOutReturn4 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
1 Oct · NYR

Placed G Joonas Korpisalo on injured reserve. Recalled G Dylan Garand from Hartford (AHL).

27 Sep · NYR

Placed G Dylan Garand and D Taylor Raddysh on waivers.

24 Sep · NYR

Assigned Gs Spencer Martin and Callum Tung and Fs Jacob Battaglia, Brody Lamb, and Dylan Roobroeck to Hartford (AHL).

25 Sep · DET

Assigned Fs Ondrej Becher, Cameron Butler, Sheldon Dries, Noah Dower Nilsson, Dylan James, Jesse Kiiskinen, John Leonard, Sutter Muzzatti, Theo Rochette, Dominik Shine and Wilmer Skoog, Ds Ronnie Attard, Jacob Bryson, Shai Buium and William Lagesson and Gs Trey Augustine and Michal Postava to Grand Rapids (AHL).

20 Aug 2026 · DET

Acquired F Sutter Muzzatti from Nashville Predators for future considerations.

29 Jul 2026 · DET

Signed G Carter Gylander to a one-year contract.

Injury report

NY Rangers · 2026 draft

See all: NY Rangers · 2026 draft →
#5Alberts SmitsRound 1 · MunchenD
#64Benjamin MacBeathRound 2 · CalgaryD
#67Danai ShaiikovRound 3 · GatineauG
#77Charlie MorrisonRound 3 · QuebecD
Full draft

Detroit · 2026 draft

See all: Detroit · 2026 draft →
#23Jeffrey (JP) HurlbertRound 1 · KamloopsLW
#47Victor PlanteRound 2 · Usa U-18LW
#79Michal OrsulakRound 3 · Prince AlbertG
#108Adam LevacRound 4 · PeterboroughC
Full draft

Friday 2 October · the full slate

See all: Friday 2 October · the full slate →
6:30 PM ETNYR at DETThis7:00 PM ETWSH at CAR8:00 PM ETBOS at WPG9:00 PM ETSTL at DAL10:00 PM ETANA at VGK
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsDetroit out-attempted NY Rangers 357 to 281
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Detroit out-attempted NY Rangers 357 to 281

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

New York Rangers

281 att · 123 on goal · 18 G · 14.6%
Crease23 att · 4 G
Slot123 att · 7 G
Wing82 att · 5 G
Point43 att · 1 G
Neutral zone10 att · 1 G

Detroit Red Wings

357 att · 176 on goal · 6 G · 3.4%
Crease26 att · 2 G
Slot132 att · 4 G
Wing139 att · 0 G
Point57 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Artemi Panarin has 10 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
10Artemi Panarin4551011
23Adam Fox50777
93Mika Zibanejad51457
13Alexis Lafrenière51346
16Vincent Trocheck41346
94Gabe Perreault13036
37J.T. Compher521311
23Lucas Raymond512319
53Moritz Seider511211
50Will Cuylle51128
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
93Mika Zibanejad2121.00
16Pavel Dorofeyev2121.00
23Adam Fox2021.00
17Eeli Tolvanen2110.50
94Gabe Perreault2110.50

Detroit: no games yet this season.

Skater stats

Artemi Panarin vs Detroit · game by game

See all: Artemi Panarin vs Detroit · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
16 Nov 2025home011120:36
7 Nov 2025away123218:31
9 Nov 2024away112415:28
17 Oct 2024away314416:34
Last 5 meetings10 P5 G, 5 A · 11 SOG
Next best7 PAdam Fox, NYR
2025-26 season57 P52 GP · 19 G
Blank vs DET0 of 4A point in every meeting
Full game log
Totals

A total set above what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 6.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 4.8 goals and went over 6.0 1 time.

line 6.0
0123456789
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg4.8Goals per game
Over 6.01 of 5
Books at the line6Posting 6.0
Lowest3 goals
Prediction markets

Detroit favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 9 books
NY Rangers47¢48¢46.3%
Detroit55¢56¢53.7%
Canada · 2 books
NY Rangers48¢49¢46.4%
Detroit56¢56¢53.6%

Snapshot 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET

Lines on the board

Puck line DET -1.59 books
Puck line NYR +1.59 books
Total 6.06 books
Total 5.53 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 2 Oct, 6:05 PM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 2 Oct, 4:03 PM ET