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‹TUE OCT 6›
9 games, finals
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RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Tuesday 6 October · Climate Pledge Arena · Meeting No. 20
FINAL
By period
123T
Vegas2316
Seattle0022
Pre-game favouriteVGK 60.2%Won
First starT. Hertl2 G · 2 A
Game stats
28Shots27
3.6Expected goals2.3
2/3Power play1/5
16Hits17
12Blocks14
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Stone scores the winner as Vegas beat Seattle 6-2

Vegas out-shot Seattle 28-27. The pre-game price had VGK at 60.2%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 6 Oct

1st period: V. Olofsson (VGK), T. Hertl (VGK). 2nd period: M. Stone (VGK), V. Olofsson (VGK), J. Eichel (VGK). 3rd period: S. Wright (SEA), T. Hertl (VGK), J. McCann (SEA).

Tomas Hertl led Vegas with 2 goals and 2 assists. Carter Hart stopped 25 of 27 shots. On expected goals it was Vegas 3.6, Seattle 2.3. On the power play Vegas went 2 for 3 and Seattle 1 for 5.

Shots28-27Vegas first
Power play2/3Vegas
Lead changes0
DecidedRegulationWinner at 01:43

How it turned

1st period
13:02Victor Olofsson (goal 3)Assists: R. Andersson, T. HertlEV1-0
15:58Tomas Hertl (goal 2)Assists: M. Stone, J. EichelPP2-0
2nd period
01:43Mark Stone (goal 2)Assists: J. EichelSH · GWG3-0
13:07Victor Olofsson (goal 4)Assists: T. Hertl, T. ConnellyEV4-0
19:29Jack Eichel (goal 2)UnassistedEV5-0
3rd period
04:52Shane Wright (goal 2)Assists: K. Kakko, C. FleuryEV5-1
09:43Tomas Hertl (goal 3)Assists: I. Barbashev, J. EichelPP6-1
15:00Jared McCann (goal 1)Assists: J. Eberle, K. KakkoPP6-2

Where the goals came from

Vegas attacking leftSeattle attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Vegas 3.64 xGSeattle 2.26 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The market got this one

Market, pre-game60.2% VGKCalled it
Last season's table56.2% VGKCalled it
Total goals8Over 6.0
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Vegas host Toronto on Thursday 8 October. Seattle visit Detroit on Friday 9 October.

Vegas Golden KnightsSeattle Kraken
Full game data

Box score

Vegas

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
48Tomas Hertl2243+169.2%16:04
9Jack Eichel1342+238.9%18:20
95Victor Olofsson2022+1—10:48
61Mark Stone1124+2—15:51
4Rasmus Andersson01100—17:24
49Ivan Barbashev0112+1100.0%15:30
24Trevor Connelly0110+1—11:41
15Noah Hanifin0001+1—21:05
29Parker Wotherspoon00010—20:17
3Brayden McNabb0002+2—19:37
27Shea Theodore0004+2—19:05
71William Karlsson0001069.2%18:44
93Mitch Marner00020—16:32
5Jeremy Lauzon0000+1—16:00
21Brett Howden00000100.0%15:51
42Braeden Bowman00010—15:06
26Nic Dowd0000023.5%13:50
17Marc Gatcomb000300.0%9:09

Seattle

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
84Kaapo Kakko0222−1—14:57
19Jared McCann10170—15:07
51Shane Wright101400.0%14:43
8Cale Fleury0111−1—16:03
7Jordan Eberle0110−1—15:46
41Ryker Evans0000−1—24:16
29Vince Dunn0001−2—24:01
6Adam Larsson00020—22:38
62Brandon Montour0000−1—20:05
9Chandler Stephenson0000−163.2%17:31
74Bobby McMann0003−1100.0%16:51
10Matty Beniers0000−161.1%16:21
89Frederick Gaudreau0000−131.3%15:55
27Berkly Catton0003−166.7%15:35
11Mackie Samoskevich0003−1—13:51
26Ryan Winterton0001−10.0%12:33
59Ben Meyers0000−150.0%10:48
55Ryan Lindgren00000—3:57
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Seattle to winMoneyline38¢38¢39¢0¢
Vegas to winMoneyline62¢63¢62¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 6 Oct, 2:14 PM ET
The thesisVegas favoured at 60.2%
The thesis

Vegas favoured at 60.2%

Vegas finished last season 13th in the league on 95 points. Seattle finished 27th on 79, and the 2025-26 season series went SEA 3-1-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Seattle at 39.8% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 43.8%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 43.8% SEAMarket: 39.8% SEA

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.482 vs .579) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Seattle 4.0 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 20
Head-to-head

Meeting number 20

Across 19 completed games, Vegas lead the head-to-head 13-3-3.

All-time record13-3-3Vegas's record in the series
Meetings played19This is number 20
2025-26 seriesSEA 3-1-0
Last 53-2Seattle

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
15 Apr 2026SEA 1 – VGK 423–26SEA 0/0 · VGK 0/2VGK
9 Apr 2026VGK 3 – SEA 4 SO35–33VGK 1/1 · SEA 1/1SEA
31 Jan 2026SEA 3 – VGK 222–29SEA 1/2 · VGK 1/2SEA
11 Oct 2025VGK 1 – SEA 2 OT27–22VGK 1/3 · SEA 1/3SEA
10 Apr 2025SEA 1 – VGK 225–25SEA 0/2 · VGK 0/0VGK
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateVegasSeattle
11 Oct 20251-0-2 · 4 pts10th2-0-0 · 4 pts5th
31 Jan 202625-14-12 · 62 pts11th23-19-9 · 55 pts23rd
9 Apr 202636-26-17 · 89 pts18th33-34-11 · 77 pts28th
15 Apr 202639-26-17 · 95 pts13th34-36-11 · 79 pts27th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 11 Oct 2025, Vegas were 10th in the league and Seattle 5th. By 15 Apr 2026 it was 13th and 27th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Vegas

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2727.3%
Power play · 2025-2624.6% · 6th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/8 · 37.5%
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.4% · 7th
Faceoffs · 2026-2754.9% · 90/164
Drawn · 2026-2711 (3.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings8 (1.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Seattle

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2728.6%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 20th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/8 · 37.5%
Penalty kill · 2026-2783.3%
Penalty kill · 2025-2672.2% · 31st
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.3% · 86/178
Drawn · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings8 (1.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (2.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3
Goaltending and injuriesAdin Hill has been the difference
Goaltending

Adin Hill has been the difference

Adin Hill faced 80 shots across 3 appearances against Seattle and conceded 6, a .925 save percentage against a season figure of .900. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Vegas
Expected starter#79 Carter Hart
  • Started 2 of 3 this season

2026-27: 2 GP · .870 SV% · GSAx −2

Also possible: Hill 40%

Seattle
Expected starter#35 Joey Daccord
  • Started 2 of 3 this season
  • 45 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .966 SV% · GSAx +4

Also possible: Grubauer 39%

Adin Hill

See all: Adin Hill →

VGK · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Chance to start · 40%

SV% · 2026-27.9001 GP · 2.00 GAA · 2025-26 .871
vs Seattle.9253 app · 80 SA · 6 GA
GSAx · 2026-27−0.41 start
vs SEAVenueSAGASV%
9 Apr 2026away333.909
11 Oct 2025away222.909
10 Apr 2025home251.960

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Carter Hart .870 (2 GP)

Full game log

Joey Daccord

See all: Joey Daccord →

SEA · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 61%

SV% · 2026-27.9662 GP · 1.00 GAA · 2025-26 .897
vs Vegas.9314 app · 116 SA · 8 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+3.72 starts · most on the roster
vs VGKVenueSAGASV%
9 Apr 2026home353.914
31 Jan 2026away292.931
11 Oct 2025home271.963
10 Apr 2025away252.920

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Philipp Grubauer .917 (1 GP)

Full game log
Team news

4 on the injury lists

Vegas · injuries

Lukas CormierUndisclosedIRReturn22 Oct
Raphael LavoieUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn6 Oct

Seattle · injuries

Jacob MelansonUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jake O'BrienLower BodyIRReturn24 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
30 Sep · VGK

Signed C William Karlsson to a two-year contract.

29 Sep · VGK

Placed C Jakub Cormier, RW Matyas Hemmerling and C Jakub Uchacz on the injured non-roster list.

23 Sep · VGK

Placed D Jaycob Megna, D Adam Ginning, D Joe Fleming, C Jakub Demek and D Jeremy Davies on waivers.

3 Oct · SEA

Activated RW/C Mackie Samoskevich from injured reserve. Placed RW Jacob Melanson on injured reserve.

27 Sep · SEA

Placed C Jake O'Brien and RW Mackie Samoskevich on injured reserve.

21 Sep · SEA

Placed F Jon-Randall Avon, F John Hayden, F Logan Morrison and G Victor Ostman on waivers.

Injury report

Vegas · 2026 draft

See all: Vegas · 2026 draft →
#29Juho PiiparinenRound 1 · TapparaD
#63ForfeitedRound 2 ·
#92Benjamin WilmottRound 3 · BarrieC
#95Sean BurickRound 3 · PentictonD
Full draft

Seattle · 2026 draft

See all: Seattle · 2026 draft →
#7Chase ReidRound 1 · Sault Ste. MarieD
#38Casey MutrynRound 2 · Usa U-18RW
#99Viktor FedorovRound 4 · Torpedo-gorky NnC
#131Finn KearnsRound 5 · St. Andrews CollegeD
Full draft

Tuesday 6 October · the full slate

See all: Tuesday 6 October · the full slate →
7:00 PM ETNSHatTOR7:00 PM ETCARatMTL7:00 PM ETOTTatDET7:00 PM ETUTAatNJD7:00 PM ETMINatBUF7:30 PM ETNYIatNYR8:00 PM ETSTLatCHI9:40 PM ETVGKatSEAThis game10:00 PM ETFLAatLAK
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsVegas out-attempted Seattle 324 to 279
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Vegas out-attempted Seattle 324 to 279

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Vegas Golden Knights

324 att · 142 on goal · 12 G · 8.5%
Crease26 att · 4 G
Slot113 att · 6 G
Wing129 att · 2 G
Point49 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G

Seattle Kraken

279 att · 125 on goal · 10 G · 8.0%
Crease23 att · 2 G
Slot89 att · 5 G
Wing121 att · 3 G
Point40 att · 0 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Jack Eichel has 6 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
9Jack Eichel406615
29Vince Dunn50559
19Jared McCann44048
Reilly Smith42248
93Mitch Marner421310
61Mark Stone52137
7Jordan Eberle503312
6Adam Larsson50338
48Tomas Hertl50335
9Chandler Stephenson50332
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
9Jack Eichel3162.00
3Brayden McNabb3041.33
95Victor Olofsson3231.00
27Shea Theodore3131.00
61Mark Stone3120.67
9Chandler Stephenson3141.33
29Vince Dunn3141.33
19Jared McCann3041.33
7Jordan Eberle3231.00
10Matty Beniers3131.00
Skater stats

Jack Eichel vs Seattle · game by game

See all: Jack Eichel vs Seattle · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
15 Apr 2026home022419:45
9 Apr 2026away011321:19
31 Jan 2026home022521:59
11 Oct 2025away011321:28
Last 5 meetings6 P0 G, 6 A · 15 SOG
Next best5 PVince Dunn, SEA
2026-27 season6 P3 GP · 1 G
Blank vs SEA0 of 4A point in every meeting
Full game log
Totals

A total set above what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 6.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 4.6 goals and went over 6.0 1 time.

line 6.0
0123456789
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg4.6Goals per game
Over 6.01 of 5
Books at the line5Posting 6.0
Lowest3 goals
Prediction markets

Vegas favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 8 books
Vegas62¢63¢60.2%
Seattle41¢41¢39.8%
Canada · 1 book
Vegas65¢65¢60.3%
Seattle43¢43¢39.7%

Snapshot 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 6.05 books
Puck line SEA +1.55 books
Puck line VGK -1.55 books
Total 5.52 books
Total 6.51 book

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 6 Oct, 12:57 PM ET Delayed · 1 hr. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET