Compare prices
‹TUE OCT 6›
9 games, finals
TUEOCT 6
FINAL/OT
NSH4
TOR5
FINAL
CAR6
MTL4
FINAL
OTT3
DET5
FINAL
UTA5
NJD3
FINAL/OT
MIN2
BUF3
FINAL
NYI2
NYR5
FINAL
STL2
CHI4
FINAL
VGK6
SEA2
FINAL
FLA2
LAK1
RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Tuesday 6 October · Centre Bell · Meeting No. 118
FINAL
By period
123T
Carolina2226
Montréal3014
Pre-game favouriteCAR 53.5%Won
First starT. Hall2 G · 0 A
Game stats
34Shots20
4.6Expected goals1.9
1/5Power play1/6
30Hits20
9Blocks16
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Hall scores the winner as Carolina beat Montréal 6-4

Carolina out-shot Montréal 34-20 in a game with 2 lead changes. The pre-game price had CAR at 53.5%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 6 Oct

1st period: T. Hall (CAR), Z. Bolduc (MTL), N. Suzuki (MTL), E. Robinson (CAR), Z. Bolduc (MTL). 2nd period: S. Aho (CAR), M. Jankowski (CAR). 3rd period: T. Hall (CAR), J. Slafkovský (MTL), A. Svechnikov (CAR).

Sebastian Aho led Carolina with 1 goal and 2 assists. Brandon Bussi stopped 16 of 20 shots. On expected goals it was Carolina 4.6, Montréal 1.9. On the power play Carolina went 1 for 5 and Montréal 1 for 6.

Shots34-20Carolina first
Power play1/5Carolina
Lead changes2
DecidedRegulationWinner at 12:21

How it turned

1st period
02:25Taylor Hall (goal 1)Assists: J. BlakeEV1-0
03:23Zachary Bolduc (goal 2)Assists: P. Danault, A. TexierEV1-1
04:27Nick Suzuki (goal 2)Assists: C. Kreider, L. HutsonEV1-2
09:22Eric Robinson (goal 1)Assists: J. Chatfield, M. JankowskiEV2-2
12:54Zachary Bolduc (goal 3)Assists: A. Newhook, A. TexierPP2-3
2nd period
03:56Sebastian Aho (goal 4)Assists: N. Ehlers, S. GostisbeherePP3-3
13:24Mark Jankowski (goal 1)Assists: E. RobinsonEV4-3
3rd period
12:21Taylor Hall (goal 2)Assists: J. Slavin, S. AhoEV · GWG5-3
16:57Juraj Slafkovský (goal 1)Assists: C. Kreider, N. SuzukiEV5-4
18:45Andrei Svechnikov (goal 1)Assists: S. Aho, J. SlavinEV6-4

Where the goals came from

Carolina attacking leftMontréal attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Carolina 4.62 xGMontréal 1.94 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
0123452nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The market got this one

Market, pre-game53.5% CARCalled it
Last season's table51.3% CARCalled it
Total goals10Over 6.5
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Carolina host Vancouver on Thursday 8 October. Montréal host Nashville on Thursday 8 October.

Carolina HurricanesMontréal Canadiens
Full game data

Box score

Carolina

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
20Sebastian Aho1233066.7%19:56
71Taylor Hall2024+2—13:07
77Mark Jankowski1122+233.3%12:37
50Eric Robinson1121+1—8:03
74Jaccob Slavin0221+2—21:17
37Andrei Svechnikov10130—17:09
5Jalen Chatfield0113+2—22:02
4Shayne Gostisbehere01110—17:39
27Nikolaj Ehlers01130—15:53
53Jackson Blake0112+1—15:45
19K'Andre Miller00030—22:08
26Sean Walker0001−1—20:20
22Logan Stankoven0001+150.0%17:42
48Jordan Martinook00030100.0%16:55
11Jordan Staal0001056.0%16:49
28William Carrier0001−1—12:10
6Mike Reilly0001+1—10:22
82Jesperi Kotkaniemi000000.0%6:53

Montréal

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
76Zachary Bolduc2023+1—14:07
14Nick Suzuki1122+145.0%21:49
22Chris Kreider0221+1—14:30
85Alexandre Texier0220+1—11:50
20Juraj Slafkovský1012−1—19:43
48Lane Hutson0112+1—29:21
15Alex Newhook0110054.6%16:38
24Phillip Danault0113062.5%13:50
53Noah Dobson0002−1—24:17
8Mike Matheson0002−2—22:32
13Cole Caufield00010—21:45
45Alexandre Carrier0001+2—18:11
71Jake Evans0000−337.5%14:19
17Josh Anderson0000−2—12:30
77Kirby Dach0000−10.0%9:38
72Arber Xhekaj0000−2—9:12
47Jayden Struble0000−2—9:05
63Florian Xhekaj0001−3—8:48
Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Montréal to winMoneyline46¢46¢45¢0¢
Carolina to winMoneyline55¢55¢55¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 6 Oct, 2:14 PM ET
The thesisCarolina favoured at 53.5%
The thesis

Carolina favoured at 53.5%

Carolina finished last season 2nd in the league on 113 points. Montréal finished 6th on 106, and the 2025-26 season series went CAR 4-4-0.

With the bookmaker margin removed, 8 US books price Montréal at 46.5% at home. Last season's table, adjusted for home ice, would put them at 48.7%.

Where the market disagrees with the table

Table: 48.7% MTLMarket: 46.5% MTL

Table probability uses 2025-26 points percentage (.646 vs .689) with home-ice advantage. The market rates Montréal 2.2 points lower than last season's table does.

Method
Head-to-headMeeting number 118
Head-to-head

Meeting number 118

Across 117 completed games, Carolina lead the head-to-head 63-40-14.

All-time record63-40-14Carolina's record in the series
Meetings played117This is number 118
2025-26 seriesCAR 4-4-0
Last 54-1Carolina

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
29 May 2026MTL 1 – CAR 624–30MTL 1/5 · CAR 1/5CAR
27 May 2026CAR 4 – MTL 044–18CAR 1/6 · MTL 0/2CAR
25 May 2026CAR 3 – MTL 2 OT39–13CAR 0/3 · MTL 1/2CAR
23 May 2026MTL 2 – CAR 3 OT12–26MTL 0/2 · CAR 0/3CAR
21 May 2026MTL 6 – CAR 222–28MTL 0/2 · CAR 0/2MTL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateCarolinaMontréal
21 May 202653-22-7 · 113 pts2nd48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
23 May 202653-22-7 · 113 pts2nd48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
25 May 202653-22-7 · 113 pts2nd48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
27 May 202653-22-7 · 113 pts2nd48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
29 May 202653-22-7 · 113 pts2nd48-24-10 · 106 pts6th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 21 May 2026, Carolina were 2nd in the league and Montréal 6th. By 29 May 2026 it was 2nd and 6th.

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Carolina

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2718.8%
Power play · 2025-2624.9% · 4th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/19 · 10.5%
Penalty kill · 2026-2792.3%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.5% · 11th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.4% · 94/183
Drawn · 2026-2716 (5.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings19 (3.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2

Montréal

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2623.1% · 10th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/13 · 15.4%
Penalty kill · 2026-2771.4%
Penalty kill · 2025-2678.2% · 18th
Faceoffs · 2026-2757.9% · 70/121
Drawn · 2026-274 (2.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (3.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2
Goaltending and injuriesJakub Dobes has been the difference
Goaltending

Jakub Dobes has been the difference

Jakub Dobes faced 165 shots across 5 appearances against Carolina and conceded 16, a .903 save percentage against a season figure of .862. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →
Carolina
Expected starter#32 Brandon Bussi
  • Started 2 of 3 this season
  • 40 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .872 SV% · GSAx −2

Also possible: Kochetkov 27%

Montréal
Expected starter#75 Jakub Dobes
  • Started 2 of 2 this season
  • 43 of the team's last 82 starts

2026-27: 2 GP · .862 SV% · GSAx −1

Also possible: Montembeault 15%

Carolina crease

CAR · 2026-27 Expected: Bussi · 73%

Brandon Bussi.8722 GP · 0-1-1 · GSAx −1.7
Pyotr Kochetkov.8891 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +0.5

No appearances against Montréal in the last meetings.

Jakub Dobes

See all: Jakub Dobes →

MTL · 1-0-1 in 2026-27 Expected starter · 85%

SV% · 2026-27.8622 GP · 4.04 GAA · 2025-26 .901
vs Carolina.9035 app · 165 SA · 16 GA
GSAx · 2026-27−1.22 starts · most on the roster
vs CARVenueSAGASV%
29 May 2026away295.828
27 May 2026home433.930
25 May 2026home393.923
23 May 2026away263.885
21 May 2026away282.929
Full game log
Team news

8 on the injury lists

Carolina · injuries

Alexander NikishinContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
Seth JarvisShoulderIRReturn24 Oct

Montréal · injuries

Alexandre CarrierUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn6 Oct
Bryce PickfordUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct
Ivan DemidovLower BodyOutReturn20 Oct
Kaiden GuhleGroinIRReturn20 Oct
Lucas CondottaUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Oliver KapanenLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn6 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →
30 Sep · CAR

Placed G Cayden Primeau on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed LD Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed D Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · MTL

Placed D Reilly Walsh, D Maksymilian Szuber, D Ethan Samson, C Sam Poulin, RW Sasha Pastujov, C Hunter McKown, G Kaapo Kähkönen, LW Brett Berard, and RW Alex Belzile on waivers for the purpose of loaning them to Laval (AHL).

12 Sep · MTL

Signed F Chris Kreider to a one-year contract.

9 Aug 2026 · MTL

Loaned F Vinzenz Rohrer to EV Zug (Switzerland).

Injury report

Carolina · 2026 draft

See all: Carolina · 2026 draft →
#51William HakanssonRound 2 · LuleaD
#61Wiggo SorenssonRound 2 · Boro/vetlandaC
#68Zachary LansardRound 3 · ReginaRW
#105Michael BerchildRound 4 · Usa U-18LW
Full draft

Montréal · 2026 draft

See all: Montréal · 2026 draft →
#26Gleb PugachyovRound 1 · Nizhny Novgorod Jr.RW
#57Timofei RuntsoRound 2 · VictoriaD
#93Cooper CleavesRound 3 · DartmouthD
#117Brayden KlimpkeRound 4 · SaskatoonD
Full draft

Tuesday 6 October · the full slate

See all: Tuesday 6 October · the full slate →
7:00 PM ETNSHatTOR7:00 PM ETCARatMTLThis game7:00 PM ETOTTatDET7:00 PM ETUTAatNJD7:00 PM ETMINatBUF7:30 PM ETNYIatNYR8:00 PM ETSTLatCHI9:40 PM ETVGKatSEA10:00 PM ETFLAatLAK
Scores
Shots, skaters, totals and marketsCarolina out-attempted Montréal 384 to 222
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Carolina out-attempted Montréal 384 to 222

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Carolina Hurricanes

384 att · 167 on goal · 18 G · 10.8%
Crease31 att · 4 G
Slot153 att · 9 G
Wing142 att · 5 G
Point46 att · 0 G
Neutral zone12 att · 0 G

Montréal Canadiens

222 att · 89 on goal · 11 G · 12.4%
Crease16 att · 4 G
Slot91 att · 6 G
Wing77 att · 1 G
Point33 att · 0 G
Neutral zone5 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Nikolaj Ehlers has 5 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →
PlayerGPGAPSOG
27Nikolaj Ehlers523511
50Eric Robinson53147
37Andrei Svechnikov522417
22Logan Stankoven522415
24Seth Jarvis522415
71Taylor Hall522414
13Cole Caufield52249
4Shayne Gostisbehere52245
53Jackson Blake513413
24Phillip Danault51345
Head-to-head finder

Season leaders

See all: Season leaders →
PlayerGPGPP/GP
20Sebastian Aho3341.33
37Andrei Svechnikov3031.00
28William Carrier3020.67
53Jackson Blake3020.67
4Shayne Gostisbehere3110.33
14Nick Suzuki2142.00
48Lane Hutson2031.50
13Cole Caufield2221.00
22Chris Kreider2121.00
17Josh Anderson2121.00
Skater stats

Nikolaj Ehlers vs Montréal · game by game

See all: Nikolaj Ehlers vs Montréal · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
29 May 2026home011216:20
27 May 2026away022117:05
25 May 2026away000222:48
23 May 2026home202518:39
21 May 2026home000117:46
Last 5 meetings5 P2 G, 3 A · 11 SOG
Next best4 PEric Robinson, CAR
2026-27 season1 P3 GP · 0 G
Blank vs MTL2 of 5
Full game log
Totals

A total set above what this fixture delivers

The board sits at 6.5. The last 5 meetings averaged 5.8 goals and went over 6.5 2 times.

line 6.5
0123456789
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg5.8Goals per game
Over 6.52 of 5
Books at the line7Posting 6.5
Lowest4 goals
Prediction markets

Carolina favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 8 books
Carolina54¢56¢53.5%
Montréal47¢48¢46.5%
Canada · 1 book
Carolina58¢58¢54.4%
Montréal49¢49¢45.6%

Snapshot 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET

Lines on the board

Total 6.57 books
Puck line CAR -1.55 books
Puck line MTL +1.55 books
Total 6.01 book

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. Snapshot 6 Oct, 12:57 PM ET Delayed · 1 hr. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Updated after every final · Closing 5 Oct, 4:01 PM ET