Tampa Bay are 2-1-0 after 3 games of 2026-27, 3rd in the Atlantic. Last season they finished 5th in the league with 106 points.

2026-27 · The season

3rd in the Atlantic after 3 games

League rank after every game of 2026-27, drawn against last season's month-end ranks. With fewer than ten games played, the order still moves a lot from night to night.

League rank through the season

See all: League rank through the season →
1st8th16th24th32ndGP 1GP 21GP 42GP 63GP 84
2026-272025-26 month ends

2026-27 · 12th in the league · 2-1-0 · 4 pts

Standings
Record2-1-03 games · 2025-26 50-26-6
Last ten2-1-0Current streak W2
Goals for / game2.672025-26: 3.54
Goals against / game2.336th fewest in the NHL
vs MinnesotaTBL 1-1-02025-26 season series
Peak11thAfter 5 Oct

Calculations · 2026-27

Points in line with the goal difference

Three views derived from the 2026-27 results. Small sample: every split here rests on fewer than ten games.

Actual4
Goal difference worth3.7
Difference+0.3
Actual4
GD worth3.7

Points the goal difference is worth = GF^1.8 ÷ (GF^1.8 + GA^1.8) × 2 × GP × 1.115, the league's points a game, from 8 goals for and 7 against in 3 games. Last season: 106 points against 109.9. Expected points from shot quality (xG) are in the Shots section.

Method

Close games

One-goal games—
Overtime—
Shootout—
Scored first2-0-01.000
Trailed after two0-1-0.000
Led after two2-0-01.000

Splits

Home2-0-01.000
Road0-1-0.000
Back-to-backs—
Two or more days rest2-1-0.667
vs 2025-26 playoff teams1-0-01.000
vs non-playoff teams1-1-0.500

Schedule and results

Three home, three away next

DateOpponentOpp 2025-26Opp 25-26Difficulty
8 OctvsMinnesota Wild104 pts · 7th10 Oct@New York Islanders91 pts · 19th13 Oct@New York Rangers77 pts · 30th15 OctvsSeattle Kraken79 pts · 27th17 OctvsVancouver Canucks58 pts · 32nd20 Oct@Vegas Golden Knights95 pts · 13th

Difficulty is how often the opponent would beat an average team, from shot quality (our season model, which leans on last season early on). Red is the top quarter of the league, green the bottom quarter. Hover a bar for the numbers.

Next six: these opponents would beat an average team 49.1% of the time. 2 of the six made the 2025-26 playoffs.

Full schedule

Roster and skaters

Nikita Kucherov leads with 4 points in 3 games

2026-27 scoring, with last season's line for every player on the roster. Status tags come from the league-wide injury report.

#PlayerPosGPGAPSOGSH%TOI
86Nikita KucherovR3134520.0%22:57
59Jake GuentzelC31231010.0%21:13
38Brandon HagelL3123175.9%21:59
95Ilya MikheyevR3123333.3%13:52
21Brayden PointC3112714.3%20:26
29Pontus HolmbergR3112616.7%14:30
74John CarlsonD302250.0%20:42
51Charle-Edouard D'AstousD3101425.0%14:37
94Conor GeekieC3101425.0%11:10
28Zemgus GirgensonsC301110.0%12:10
10Jansen HarkinsC100010.0%10:55
24Max CrozierD100020.0%15:24
78Emil LillebergD100010.0%10:30
27Ryan McDonaghD300010.0%15:40
77Victor HedmanD300040.0%15:47
81Erik CernakD300060.0%19:36
71Anthony CirelliC300050.0%18:03
25Jeffrey VielL300030.0%8:24
93Gage GoncalvesC300020.0%14:43
90J.J. MoserD300030.0%17:07
Full roster
OUT6 OctPlaced C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
OUT27 SepPlaced D Michael Callahan on waivers.
OUT27 SepPlaced D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
OUT25 SepAssigned Fs Tristan Allard, Cooper Flinton, Ethan Gauthier, Connor Kurth, Gabriel Szturc and Milo Roelens, Ds Dyllan Gill and Tomas Kralovic and Gs Jonas Johansson and Harrison Meneghin to Syracuse (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Syracuse Ds Simon Lundmark and Steven Santini and G Olivier Rodrigue.
OUT23 SepPlaced G Jonas Johansson on waivers.
IN11 SepSigned F Kole Lind to a professional tryout agreement.
IN3 JulSigned D Tomas Kralovic to a three-year, entry-level contract. Signed F Jansen Harkins to a one-year, two-way contract. Re-signed F vinni Lettieri to a one-year contract.
IN2 JulSigned D John Carlson to a two-year contract.
All moves
#PlayerPosAgeCap hitExpires2025-26 (team)Status
86Nikita KucherovRW33$9.5M2027 UFA76 GP · 130 P
59Jake GuentzelC32$9M2031 UFA81 GP · 88 P
38Brandon HagelLW28$6.5M2032 UFA71 GP · 74 P
95Ilya MikheyevRW31$3.85M2030 UFA77 GP · 36 P · CHI
21Brayden PointC30$9.5M2030 UFA63 GP · 50 P
29Pontus HolmbergRW27$1.55M2027 UFA70 GP · 22 P
28Zemgus GirgensonsC32$925K2027 UFA74 GP · 20 P
94Conor GeekieC22$887K2027 RFA14 GP · 3 P
71Anthony CirelliC29$6.25M2031 UFA71 GP · 52 P
93Gage GoncalvesC25$1.2M2027 RFA74 GP · 33 P
37Yanni GourdeC34$2.33M2031 UFA82 GP · 28 PIR
17Dominic JamesC24$910K2027 RFA43 GP · 15 PIR
25Jeffrey VielLW29$2.5M2031 UFA45 GP · 10 P · ANA/BOS
10Jansen HarkinsC29$850K2027 UFA44 GP · 8 P · ANA
49Scott SabourinRW34$850K2027 UFA26 GP · 5 P
Full roster

Salary cap · 2026-27

$1.9M of cap space under a $104M ceiling

Projected cap hit$102.1M98.2% of the ceiling
Cap space$1.9MUnder the $104M ceiling
Biggest cap hit$9.5MNikita Kucherov
Contracts on file25 of 25Roster players with a contract record

Cap hit against the ceiling

Ceiling $104M
Forwards $56.6MDefence $35.1MGoalies $10.3MOther $33K

Share of the $104M ceiling

86Nikita Kucherov$9.5M9.1%
21Brayden Point$9.5M9.1%
59Jake Guentzel$9M8.7%
74John Carlson$8.5M8.2%
Cap space, every team

Out of contract in summer 2027

See all: Out of contract in summer 2027 →

10 players · $18.4M of cap hit coming off the books

86Nikita Kucherov$9.5MUFA
29Pontus Holmberg$1.55MUFA
93Gage Goncalves$1.2MRFA
17Dominic James$910KRFA
94Conor Geekie$887KRFA
49Scott Sabourin$850KUFA
10Jansen Harkins$850KUFA
78Emil Lilleberg$850KRFA
2027 free agents

As of 2 Oct 2026. Cap hit is the average annual charge against the cap, not a yearly salary. The team figure is a projection that can include players off the roster; space below zero is before long-term injured reserve and other relief, which this data does not include.


Lineup · last game

Who dressed against Philadelphia on 5 Oct

Every player who dressed, ordered by ice time. The league publishes who played, not the line combinations, so this is depth by minutes rather than lines.

Changes from 3 Oct: in Max Crozier; out Emil Lilleberg.

Forwards · by ice time

86Nikita KucherovR0G 2A21:59
38Brandon HagelL1G 0A20:11
21Brayden PointC1G 0A18:09
95Ilya MikheyevR1G 1A16:43
28Zemgus GirgensonsC0G 1A14:23
29Pontus HolmbergR1G 1A13:05
94Conor GeekieC11:47

Defence · by ice time

Goalies · by ice time

88Andrei VasilevskiyGStarted · Win · 14/1560:00
35Dennis HildebyGBackup, did not play—

Did not dress

On the roster but not in the lineup: injured players carry the report’s status, the rest were scratched or are away from the team.


Special teams · 2026-27

A 28th power play and a 12th penalty kill

Small sample after 3 games. Last season: power play 20.7%, penalty kill 82.6%.

2026-27

Power play0.0% · 28th
Penalty kill85.7% · 12th

Dashed line: league average. Scale 0–100%.

PP opportunities134.33 per game
PP goals00% of all goals
Times shorthanded72.33 per game
Net special teams−10 PPG for, 1 against

Shot profile · 2026-27

Tampa Bay attempt more from the slot than anywhere else

Every Tampa Bay attempt in 2026-27, attacking right (3 games). Crease: within 8 ft of the goal. Slot: inside the faceoff dots below the circles. Point: the top 20 ft of the zone.

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
xG for / game4.041st
xG against / game2.6410th
xG share60.5%5th
Finishing (GF − xGF)−4.130th
Goaltending (xGA − GA)+0.915th

2026-27 · 3 games with located shots. Ranks are league-wide (1st = best). Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring from that spot, shot type and strength (our model, trained on 2025-26). Above zero on finishing or goaltending means better than the chances.

Team xG table

By zone

196 att · 91 on goal · 8 G

Crease21 att · 1 G
Slot79 att · 4 G
Wing62 att · 2 G
Point31 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 1 G

By shot type

Other58
Snap49
Wrist34
Slap22
Tip in17
Backhand11
Deflected2
Wrap around2
Poke1

2026-27 · Speed and territory

Tampa Bay Lightning rank 21st for 22+ mph bursts and 1st for shot-attempt differential

How fast Tampa Bay Lightning skated, how hard they shot and where the puck spent its time, ranked against the other 31 teams.

Top speed, mph23.036th in the NHL
22+ mph bursts221st in the NHL · average 4
Hardest shot, mph94.948th in the NHL
90+ mph attempts34th in the NHL · average 2
Distance / 60, mi8.8632nd in the NHL
Offensive-zone time (EV)44.1%3rd in the NHL

Fastest skaters

  1. 23.03Nikita Kucherov@NYR1 Oct · 1st 13:18
  2. 22.58Conor GeekievsWSH3 Oct · 1st 01:07
  3. 21.98Emil LillebergvsWSH3 Oct · 1st 07:57
  4. 21.92Brayden PointvsWSH3 Oct · 1st 14:37
  5. 21.89Zemgus GirgensonsvsWSH3 Oct · 1st 05:33
  6. 21.85Ilya MikheyevvsPHI5 Oct · 2nd 03:04
  7. 21.68Anthony CirellivsWSH3 Oct · 3rd 09:08
  8. 21.59Jake Guentzel@NYR1 Oct · 1st 19:36

Each Tampa Bay Lightning skater's fastest burst, the top eight, in mph.

Hardest shots

  1. 94.94John Carlson@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 03:42
  2. 92.90Victor Hedman@NYR1 Oct · 3rd 16:28
  3. 88.92Erik CernakvsWSH3 Oct · 3rd 08:01
  4. 88.06Charle-Edouard D'AstousvsWSH3 Oct · 1st 12:41
  5. 85.86Conor GeekievsWSH3 Oct · 1st 16:30
  6. 81.47Nikita KucherovvsWSH3 Oct · 1st 08:55
  7. 80.81Brandon Hagel@NYR1 Oct · 2nd 02:40
  8. 79.94J.J. MoservsPHI5 Oct · 1st 11:44

Each Tampa Bay Lightning skater's hardest shot, the top eight, in mph.

Territory

45.1%All situations37.0%
44.1%Even strength37.1%
56.7%Power play29.4%
33.5%Shorthanded50.1%
OffensiveNeutralDefensive
Shot-attempt differential / game+10.001st
Shots-on-goal differential / game+4.334th

Ranks are league-wide, 1st = best.


Goaltending

Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 3 of 3

Starts, save percentage and goals against for every goalie who has played for the club this season, with last season for context.

2026-27

#GoalieGPGSW-L-OTLGAASV%SO
88Andrei Vasilevskiy332-1-02.05.8980

2025-26

#GoalieGPGSW-L-OTLGAASV%SO
88Andrei Vasilevskiy585839-15-42.31.9122
Jonas Johansson252311-10-23.29.8840
Brandon Halverson210-1-04.22.8100

Team news

Three on the injury list

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Updated 7 Oct, 7:46 AM ET

Injuries
6 Oct

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

25 Sep

Assigned Fs Tristan Allard, Cooper Flinton, Ethan Gauthier, Connor Kurth, Gabriel Szturc and Milo Roelens, Ds Dyllan Gill and Tomas Kralovic and Gs Jonas Johansson and Harrison Meneghin to Syracuse (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Syracuse Ds Simon Lundmark and Steven Santini and G Olivier Rodrigue.

23 Sep

Placed G Jonas Johansson on waivers.

11 Sep

Signed F Kole Lind to a professional tryout agreement.

3 Jul

Signed D Tomas Kralovic to a three-year, entry-level contract. Signed F Jansen Harkins to a one-year, two-way contract. Re-signed F vinni Lettieri to a one-year contract.

Injuries and transactions
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
#186Stepan ShuryginRound 6 · SaginawG
#218Max VilenRound 7 · MonctonD
Full draft

Prediction markets · 2026-27 futures

Priced at 67% to make the playoffs

Every season-long market the venues list for the Tampa Bay Lightning, as the venue-average implied chance with each venue's price to buy Yes.

Make the playoffs: market vs last season

From 2025-26 pace: 91%Market: 67%

A 109-point pace (last season's points % over 84 games) maps to about 91%; the market sits 25 points lower.

Season points: the market's ladder

75+98%
80+98%
85+92%
95+74%
100+62%
105+62%
110+30%
115+17%

4 points from 3 games so far. A points pace is shown from game 10.

Stanley Cup2026-27 champion5.5%6¢Best6¢Not listed
Atlantic DivisionWinner24%Best21¢28¢Not listed
Eastern ConferenceChampion, reaches the Final12%13¢Best11¢Not listed
Make the playoffsTop 8 in the East67%93¢Best67¢Not listed
Presidents' TrophyBest regular-season record5.3%7¢Best7¢Not listed
100+ pointsRegular-season total · the rung nearest 50%62%67¢Not listedNot listed

Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure


Key rivals · all-time regular season

Florida is the most-played rivalry: 191 meetings

Tampa Bay against every Atlantic rival, from each pairing's first meeting in the index, including 2026-27.


Franchise history

17 playoff trips and 3 Stanley Cups in 30 seasons

Playoff depth season by season since 1996-97, the franchise scoring leaders since 1990-91 and its earliest draft picks since 1980. Hover a square for the season.

The last 30 seasons

1996-972010-112025-26
MissedFirst roundSecond roundConference finalFinalWon the Cup

Points leaders since 1990-91

#PlayerSeasonsGPP
1Steven Stamkos2008–2410821137
2Nikita Kucherov2013–278821128
3Martin St. Louis2000–14972953
4Vincent Lecavalier1998–131037874
5Victor Hedman2009–271167811
6Brayden Point2016–27723687
7Brad Richards2000–08552489
8Alex Killorn2012–23805466
9Ondrej Palat2012–22628423
10Vinny Prospal2001–09468371
11Tyler Johnson2012–21589361
12Anthony Cirelli2017–27585344
13Brandon Hagel2021–27341313
14Brian Bradley1992–98328300
15Freddy Modin1999–06445286
16Chris Gratton1993–09482259
17Mikhail Sergachev2017–24471257
18Dan Boyle2001–08394253
19Pavel Kubina1997–12662243
20Yanni Gourde2015–26413229
21Teddy Purcell2009–14310203
22Ryan Malone2008–14342201
23Rob Zamuner1992–99475200
24Roman Hamrlik1992–98377185
25Jake Guentzel2024–27164171

Regular season, with this franchise only.

Retired numbers

4Vincent Lecavalier
26Martin St. Louis
99Wayne Gretzky (retired league-wide, 2000)

Numbers retired by the franchise, as of October 2026. Maintained by hand, outside the stats feed.

Top picks since 1980

2008Steven StamkosC · Sarnia (OHL)#1
1998Vincent LecavalierC · Rimouski Oceanic (QMJHL)#1
1992Roman HamrlikD · Zlin ZPS AC (Czech)#1
2009Victor HedmanD · Modo (SWEDEN)#2
2013Jonathan DrouinLW · Halifax (QMJHL)#3
2001Alexander SvitovC · Omsk (RUS)#3

The 6 highest first-round picks of 25 since 1980.


Updated after every final · through 6 Oct