Early look The full preview opens on Monday 12 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop15 Oct · 7:00 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings10 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-seven points apart last season

Seattle finished last season 27th in the league on 79 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 11

Across 10 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 8-0-2.

All-time record8-0-2Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played10This is number 11
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
26 Mar 2026SEA 4 – TBL 3 OT20–33SEA 0/1 · TBL 1/1SEA
17 Mar 2026TBL 6 – SEA 226–18TBL 1/3 · SEA 0/3TBL
23 Feb 2025SEA 1 – TBL 437–24SEA 0/1 · TBL 0/0TBL
14 Dec 2024TBL 5 – SEA 131–22TBL 1/3 · SEA 1/2TBL
9 Dec 2023TBL 4 – SEA 3 OT30–29TBL 0/2 · SEA 1/5TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateSeattleTampa Bay
17 Mar 202631-27-9 · 71 pts20th41-21-4 · 86 pts6th
26 Mar 202632-29-10 · 74 pts24th44-21-6 · 94 pts5th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 17 Mar 2026, Seattle were 20th in the league and Tampa Bay 6th. By 26 Mar 2026 it was 24th and 5th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Seattle 307 to 247

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Seattle Kraken

247 att · 126 on goal · 11 G · 8.7%
Crease20 att · 1 G
Slot80 att · 5 G
Wing102 att · 3 G
Point39 att · 2 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

307 att · 144 on goal · 22 G · 15.3%
Crease12 att · 4 G
Slot126 att · 16 G
Wing106 att · 2 G
Point56 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

SeattleTampa Bay
2.60xG for per game4.04
3.14xG against per game2.64
45.3%xG share60.5%
+4.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
+1.6GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 4 games for Seattle, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Seattle

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 20th
Power play · last 5 meetings2/12 · 16.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-2772.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2672.2% · 31st
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.6% · 121/244
Drawn · 2026-2712 (3.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/9 · 33.3%
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings9 (1.80/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Skaters

Nikita Kucherov has 12 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
19Jared McCann41451.25
7Jordan Eberle42241.00
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
29Vince Dunn41341.00
62Brandon Montour40220.50
41Ryker Evans40220.50
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Nikita Kucherov vs Seattle · game by game

See all: Nikita Kucherov vs Seattle · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
26 Mar 2026home011118:51
17 Mar 2026away325719:49
23 Feb 2025home101318:13
14 Dec 2024away022220:24
9 Dec 2023away213521:21
Last 5 meetings12 P6 G, 6 A · 18 SOG
Next best11 PBrandon Hagel, TBL
2026-27 season4 P3 GP · 1 G
Blank vs SEA0 of 5A point in every meeting
Full game log

Goaltending

Andrei Vasilevskiy has started most of these meetings

Andrei Vasilevskiy played 4 of the last 5 meetings with Seattle, with a .904 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 13 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 13 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

SEA · 0-1-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 12 Oct

SV% · 2026-27.9062 GP · 2.28 GAA · 2025-26 .909
vs Tampa Bay.8744 app · 111 SA · 14 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+1.11 start
vs TBLVenueSAGASV%
26 Mar 2026away333.909
17 Mar 2026home255.800
14 Dec 2024home304.867
9 Dec 2023home232.913

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Joey Daccord .911 (3 GP)

Full game log

TBL · 2-1-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 12 Oct

SV% · 2026-27.8983 GP · 2.05 GAA · 2025-26 .912
vs Seattle.9044 app · 104 SA · 10 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+1.03 starts · most on the roster
vs SEAVenueSAGASV%
26 Mar 2026home204.800
17 Mar 2026away182.889
23 Feb 2025home371.973
9 Dec 2023away293.897
Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

26 Mar 20267 · SEA 4–3 TBL
17 Mar 20268 · TBL 6–2 SEA
23 Feb 20255 · SEA 1–4 TBL
14 Dec 20246 · TBL 5–1 SEA
9 Dec 20237 · TBL 4–3 SEA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Seattle3.752.752.763.21
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Seattle · injuries

Jacob MelansonUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jake O'BrienLower BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Ryan LindgrenUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn9 Oct

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
3 Oct · SEA

Activated RW/C Mackie Samoskevich from injured reserve. Placed RW Jacob Melanson on injured reserve.

27 Sep · SEA

Placed C Jake O'Brien and RW Mackie Samoskevich on injured reserve.

21 Sep · SEA

Placed F Jon-Randall Avon, F John Hayden, F Logan Morrison and G Victor Ostman on waivers.

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#7Chase ReidRound 1 · Sault Ste. MarieD
#38Casey MutrynRound 2 · Usa U-18RW
#99Viktor FedorovRound 4 · Torpedo-gorky NnC
#131Finn KearnsRound 5 · St. Andrews CollegeD
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final