Avalanche at Jets · 7:30 PM ETVenueCanada Life CentreMeetingNo. 58Win probCOL 62.1%Total6.5Preview →

Wednesday 7 October · win probability from market prices

The slate

Stats through 6 Oct · Prices 10:42 AM ET


Before puck drop

Tonight, measured

Where the market disagrees with the table

See all: Where the market disagrees with the table →

Home win probability two ways: from last season’s points, adjusted for home ice, and from tonight’s market price.

Last season’s tableMarket
COLatWPG8.2 pts apart
WPG table 30% · market 37.9%Winnipeg finished 39 points behind Colorado in 2025-26
PITatWSH7.6 pts apart
WSH table 52% · market 59.2%Washington finished 3 points behind Pittsburgh in 2025-26
EDMatANA6.7 pts apart
ANA table 53% · market 46.2%Anaheim finished 1 point behind Edmonton in 2025-26
Every game: table vs market

Each team’s goalie with the most starts, ranked by save percentage over his last five starts. Who we expect in goal tonight is on the starting goalies page.

#GoalieTeamTonightLast 5L5Season
1Mackenzie BlackwoodCOL@WPG.932.912
2Lukas DostalANAvsEDM.897.918
3Stuart SkinnerWPGvsCOL.896.909
4Arturs SilovsPIT@WSH.876.886
5Charlie LindgrenWSHvsPIT.868.931
6Devon LeviEDM@ANA.810.810
.930+.910–.929.890–.909under .890
Expected starters tonight

Featured preview · 7:30 PM ET · Canada Life CentreMeeting No. 58
ColoradoAvalanche2-0-0 this season · 121 pts in 2025-26
at
WinnipegJets2-0-1 this season · 82 pts in 2025-26

The market makes Winnipeg 37.9%; last season's table says 29.7%

Colorado finished on 121 points last season, Winnipeg on 82, and the season series went COL 2-2-0. This season: COL 2-0-0, WPG 2-0-1.

Fair win probability · 8 US books, margin removed
COL 62.1%WPG 37.9%
Implied ¢COLWPG
US · best · 8 books64¢38¢
Canada · best · 1 book66¢41¢

Around the league

The featured fixture, in shots and injuries

Tonight's fixture in shots

See all: Tonight's fixture in shots →

Last 5 meetings · attacking right

Crease35 att · 2 G
Slot137 att · 6 G
Wing92 att · 3 G
Point58 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G

COL: 329 attempts · 140 on goal · 11 goals · 7.9% shooting

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Full preview: shot maps and zones

Tonight's featured teams, with the listed return date. Updated 10:07 AM ET.

Georgii MerkulovCOL · UndisclosedIRReturn16 Oct
Logan O'ConnorCOL · Lower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Trent MinerCOL · UndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · Lower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Connor HellebuyckWPG · SuspensionIRReturn17 Oct
Elias SalomonssonWPG · ShoulderIRReturn15 Oct
Garrett BrownWPG · Lower BodyIRReturn9 Oct
Walker DuehrWPG · Lower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Full injury report

League · 2026-27

Standings and leaders

Teams average 3.3 games · small sample

Prediction markets · futures

What the markets expect

Colorado is the market favourite at 13%. The top five are separated by 5.0 points of implied chance.

#TeamImplied · venue avg30 daysModelGapKalshiOpen →PolymarketOpen →ProphetXOpen →
6Minnesota WildProjected 99 pts6.0%+1.03.7%+2.37¢Best6¢Not listed
7Dallas StarsProjected 97 pts5.5%+1.03.3%+2.26¢Best6¢Not listed
10Washington CapitalsProjected 93 pts5.0%−0.51.6%+3.4Best5¢6¢Not listed
12Utah MammothProjected 100 pts3.8%+0.55.2%−1.4Best4¢5¢Not listed
14Anaheim DucksProjected 96 pts3.0%+1.01.9%+1.14¢Best3¢Not listed
15Buffalo SabresProjected 97 pts2.5%−1.03.7%−1.23¢Best3¢Not listed
17Boston BruinsProjected 90 pts2.0%+1.00.7%+1.3Best2¢3¢Not listed
18New York RangersProjected 95 pts2.0%+1.01.8%+0.23¢Best2¢Not listed
19Ottawa SenatorsProjected 100 pts2.0%0.06.5%−4.5Best2¢3¢Not listed
21Toronto Maple LeafsProjected 88 pts2.0%−1.00.4%+1.7Best2¢3¢Not listed
23Calgary FlamesProjected 83 pts1.5%0.00.1%+1.4Best1¢2¢Not listed
25Seattle KrakenProjected 88 pts1.5%0.00.3%+1.2Best1¢2¢Not listed
28Detroit Red WingsProjected 92 pts0.5%0.01.7%−1.21¢Best1¢Not listed
32Winnipeg JetsProjected 93 pts0.5%0.01.0%−0.51¢Best1¢Not listed

Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure


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