Early look The full preview opens on Thursday 18 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Ottawa Senators at Calgary Flames: game preview

Puck drop21 Feb · 7:00 PM ET
VenueScotiabank Saddledome
All-time meetings66 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-two points apart last season

Ottawa finished last season 9th in the league on 99 points. Calgary finished 29th on 77.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 67

Across 66 completed games, Ottawa lead the head-to-head 33-27-6.

All-time record33-27-6Ottawa's record in the series
Meetings played66This is number 67
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Ottawa
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
5 Mar 2026OTT 4 – CGY 1——OTT
30 Oct 2025CGY 3 – OTT 4 SO——OTT
19 Dec 2024OTT 3 – CGY 2 OT——OTT
25 Nov 2024CGY 3 – OTT 4——OTT
9 Jan 2024OTT 3 – CGY 6——CGY
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateOttawaCalgary
30 Oct 20256-5-1 · 13 pts14th2-8-2 · 6 pts32nd
5 Mar 202624-21-7 · 55 pts25th21-25-6 · 48 pts29th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 30 Oct 2025, Ottawa were 14th in the league and Calgary 32nd. By 5 Mar 2026 it was 25th and 29th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Ottawa out-attempted Calgary 138 to 100

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Ottawa Senators

138 att · 75 on goal · 7 G · 9.3%
Crease17 att · 0 G
Slot47 att · 2 G
Wing43 att · 2 G
Point24 att · 1 G
Neutral zone7 att · 2 G

Calgary Flames

100 att · 49 on goal · 4 G · 8.2%
Crease4 att · 1 G
Slot31 att · 2 G
Wing46 att · 1 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

OttawaCalgary
2.95xG for per game2.54
3.41xG against per game3.38
46.4%xG share42.9%
+1.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.6
+2.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−5.9

This season: 3 games for Ottawa, 3 for Calgary. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Calgary

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2740.0%
Power play · 2025-2616.2% · 31st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.4% · 12th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.3% · 90/179
Drawn · 2026-275 (1.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
86Joel Farabee30220.67
22Ryan Strome31010.33
16Morgan Frost31010.33
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
19Zayne Parekh30110.33
44Joel Hanley10000.00
55Jake Middleton30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 18 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 19 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 18 Feb

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Calgary in the last meetings.

Calgary crease

CGY · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 18 Feb

Dustin Wolf.7972 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx −5.5
Devin Cooley.8801 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.1

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

5 Mar 20265 · OTT 4–1 CGY
30 Oct 20257 · CGY 3–4 OTT
19 Dec 20245 · OTT 3–2 CGY
25 Nov 20247 · CGY 3–4 OTT
9 Jan 20249 · OTT 3–6 CGY

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00
Calgary1.005.332.593.16

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

7 on the injury lists

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct

Calgary · injuries

Jonathan HuberdeauHipIRReturn10 Oct
6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

5 Oct · CGY

Placed D Brayden Pachal and C Connor Zary on waivers.

26 Sep · CGY

Waived F Alex Nylander.

25 Sep · CGY

Assigned Fs Andrew Basha, Will Dineen and Tyson Gross, Ds Hunter Brzustewicz and Axel Hurtig and G Arsenii Sergeev to Calgary (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Calgary Fs Dryden Hunt, Ben Jones, Rory Kerins, Sam Morton and William Stromgren and Ds Michael Benning, Andreas Englund and Jake Livingstone.

Injury report
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft
#6Carson CarelsRound 1 · Prince GeorgeD
#30Jack HextallRound 1 · YoungstownC
#36Chase HarringtonRound 2 · SpokaneLW
#42Tobias TrejbalRound 2 · YoungstownG
Full draft

Updated after every final