Early look The full preview opens on Monday 4 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks: game preview

Puck drop7 Jan · 9:00 PM ET
VenueRogers Arena
All-time meetings48 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Forty-eight points apart last season

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Vancouver finished 32nd on 58.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 49

Across 48 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 25-20-3.

All-time record25-20-3Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played48This is number 49
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
19 Mar 2026TBL 6 – VAN 2——TBL
16 Nov 2025VAN 6 – TBL 2——VAN
8 Dec 2024TBL 4 – VAN 2——TBL
15 Oct 2024VAN 1 – TBL 4——TBL
12 Dec 2023TBL 1 – VAN 4——VAN
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayVancouver
16 Nov 20259-7-2 · 20 pts22nd9-9-2 · 20 pts24th
19 Mar 202642-21-4 · 88 pts6th21-39-8 · 50 pts32nd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 16 Nov 2025, Tampa Bay were 22nd in the league and Vancouver 24th. By 19 Mar 2026 it was 6th and 32nd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Vancouver 116 to 87

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

116 att · 61 on goal · 8 G · 13.1%
Crease21 att · 1 G
Slot37 att · 3 G
Wing36 att · 4 G
Point20 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G

Vancouver Canucks

87 att · 39 on goal · 8 G · 20.5%
Crease8 att · 3 G
Slot27 att · 3 G
Wing24 att · 1 G
Point23 att · 0 G
Neutral zone5 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayVancouver
4.04xG for per game2.44
2.64xG against per game3.15
60.5%xG share43.6%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+9.2
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−5.4

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 4 for Vancouver. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Vancouver

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2723.1%
Power play · 2025-2621.8% · 14th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2768.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2671.5% · 32nd
Faceoffs · 2026-2749.3% · 112/227
Drawn · 2026-2713 (3.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2716 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
47Paul Cotter44261.50
23Marco Rossi43141.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
17Filip Hronek40551.25
5Tom Willander40330.75
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 5 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 5 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Jan

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Vancouver in the last meetings.

Vancouver crease

VAN · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 4 Jan

Kevin Lankinen.8243 GP · 1-2-0 · GSAx −6.4
Leevi Meriläinen.9432 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.6 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

19 Mar 20268 · TBL 6–2 VAN
16 Nov 20258 · VAN 6–2 TBL
8 Dec 20246 · TBL 4–2 VAN
15 Oct 20245 · VAN 1–4 TBL
12 Dec 20235 · TBL 1–4 VAN

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Vancouver4.754.502.633.85

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.6Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.4Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Vancouver · injuries

Akil ThomasUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Filip ChytilShoulderIRReturn8 Oct
Jack ThompsonUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct
Mackenzie MacEachernUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Thatcher DemkoHipIRReturn21 Dec
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

27 Sep · VAN

Placed G Nikita Tolopilo on waivers.

25 Sep · VAN

Claimed G Leevi Merilainen off waivers from Ottawa. Placed F Filip Chytil on injured reserve. Assigned F Braeden Cootes to Abbotsford (AHL).

24 Sep · VAN

Assigned Fs Ty Mueller, Riley Patterson, Ilya Safonov and Chase Wouters, Ds Kirill Kudryavtsev and Sawyer Mynio to Abbotsford (AHL). Loaned F Ben Berard and D Isaac Belliveau to Abbotsford. Waived for the purpose of assignment to Abbotsford F Trey Fix-Wolansky and Ds Cole Clayton and Jimmy Schuldt.

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#3Caleb MalhotraRound 1 · BrantfordC
#24Adam NovotnyRound 1 · PeterboroughLW
#33Brooks RogowskiRound 2 · OshawaC
#41Niklas Aaram-OlsenRound 2 · Orebro Jr.LW
Full draft

Updated after every final