Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Meeting number 137

Across 136 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 73-54-8.

Tampa Bay out-attempted Philadelphia 276 to 219

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Every team’s xG →

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Nikita Kucherov has 13 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

Forwards to watch

See all: Forwards to watch →

2026-272025-26

PlayerGPGAPP/GP

14Sean Couturier40220.50

11Travis Konecny40220.50

74Owen Tippett41010.25

86Nikita Kucherov31341.33

59Jake Guentzel31231.00

38Brandon Hagel31231.00

Points leaders →

Defencemen to watch

See all: Defencemen to watch →

2026-272025-26

PlayerGPGAPP/GP

6Travis Sanheim41120.50

55Rasmus Ristolainen31010.33

24Nick Seeler40110.25

74John Carlson30220.67

51Charle-Edouard D'Astous31010.33

27Ryan McDonagh30000.00

Defencemen stats →

In the last meetings

See all: In the last meetings →

PlayerGPGAPSOG

86Nikita Kucherov5491312

38Brandon Hagel552719

21Brayden Point42469

71Anthony Cirelli51454

59Jake Guentzel522414

29Pontus Holmberg32137

43Darren Raddysh40337

28Zemgus Girgensons50333

93Gage Goncalves52025

22Christian Dvorak41126

Head-to-head finder →

Andrei Vasilevskiy has been the difference

Andrei Vasilevskiy faced 76 shots across 4 appearances against Philadelphia and conceded 3, a .961 save percentage against a season figure of .898. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Philadelphia

Expected starter after their game on 23 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay

Expected starter after their game on 23 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Scoring rates point to about 6.0 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

5 Oct5 · PHI 1–4 TBL

12 Jan 20266 · TBL 5–1 PHI

10 Jan 20269 · TBL 7–2 PHI

24 Nov 20253 · PHI 0–3 TBL

17 Mar 20252 · PHI 0–2 TBL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA

Philadelphia1.254.253.052.96

Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.0Goals in this game

Last 5 meetings5.0Goals per game

Line—No total posted yet

Books at the line—With the game-day prices

6 on the injury lists

Thursday 25 March · the full slate

See all: Thursday 25 March · the full slate →

6:30 PM ETPHIatTBLThis game7:00 PM ETOTTatBOS7:00 PM ETTORatBUF7:00 PM ETNYRatFLA7:00 PM ETNJDatPIT7:00 PM ETDALatCAR7:00 PM ETCHIatCBJ8:00 PM ETNYIatSTL8:00 PM ETCOLatWPG9:00 PM ETEDMatMIN9:00 PM ETLAKatCGY9:40 PM ETANAatSEA10:00 PM ETVGKatVAN

Scores →