Early look The full preview opens on Monday 8 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop11 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings137 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Nineteen points apart last season

New Jersey finished last season 21st in the league on 87 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 138

Across 137 completed games, New Jersey lead the head-to-head 79-47-11.

All-time record79-47-11New Jersey's record in the series
Meetings played137This is number 138
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
11 Dec 2025TBL 8 – NJD 4——TBL
18 Nov 2025NJD 1 – TBL 5——TBL
11 Oct 2025NJD 5 – TBL 3——NJD
11 Jan 2025TBL 2 – NJD 3 OT——NJD
16 Nov 2024NJD 0 – TBL 4——TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateNew JerseyTampa Bay
11 Oct 20251-1-0 · 2 pts19th0-2-0 · 0 pts30th
18 Nov 202513-5-1 · 27 pts3rd10-7-2 · 22 pts17th
11 Dec 202517-13-1 · 35 pts16th18-11-2 · 38 pts9th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 11 Oct 2025, New Jersey were 19th in the league and Tampa Bay 30th. By 11 Dec 2025 it was 16th and 9th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

New Jersey out-attempted Tampa Bay 182 to 164

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

New Jersey Devils

182 att · 100 on goal · 10 G · 10.0%
Crease18 att · 5 G
Slot62 att · 3 G
Wing70 att · 2 G
Point26 att · 0 G
Neutral zone6 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

164 att · 81 on goal · 16 G · 19.8%
Crease16 att · 2 G
Slot74 att · 8 G
Wing44 att · 4 G
Point29 att · 2 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

New Jersey have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

New JerseyTampa Bay
3.52xG for per game4.04
3.01xG against per game2.64
53.9%xG share60.5%
−4.5FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
−4.0GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 3 games for New Jersey, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

New Jersey

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.1%
Power play · 2025-2622.0% · 13th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2762.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.3% · 17th
Faceoffs · 2026-2747.5% · 87/183
Drawn · 2026-2714 (4.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Jack Hughes31120.67
63Jesper Bratt30220.67
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
43Luke Hughes31010.33
47Declan Chisholm30110.33
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 9 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 8 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

New Jersey crease

NJD · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Mar

Jake Allen.8752 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −1.7
Nico Daws.8131 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −2.5

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Mar

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against New Jersey in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

11 Dec 202512 · TBL 8–4 NJD
18 Nov 20256 · NJD 1–5 TBL
11 Oct 20258 · NJD 5–3 TBL
11 Jan 20255 · TBL 2–3 NJD
16 Nov 20244 · NJD 0–4 TBL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
New Jersey2.004.332.803.10
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

New Jersey · injuries

Connor BrownLower BodyOutReturn12 Oct
Johnathan KovacevicKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Jonas SiegenthalerUndisclosedDay-to-dayReturn10 Oct
Nick BjugstadPectoralIRReturn19 Jan
Seamus CaseyKneeIRReturn21 Nov

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
27 Sep · NJD

Claimed LW Jeremie Poirier off waivers.

27 Sep · NJD

Claimed LW Jeremie Poirier off waivers. Placed C/RW Marc McLaughlin, LD Vladislav Kolyachonok, G David Rittich, LW Riley Tufte, LD Topias Vilen, and C/RW Colin White on waivers.

25 Sep · NJD

Assigned Ds Mikael Diotte, Ethan Edwards, Jeremy Hanzel, Etienne Morin and Anton Silaev, Fs Josh Filmon, Lenni Hameenaho, Shane Lachance, Matyas Melovsky, Xavier Parent, Cam Squires and Ben Steeves and G Jakub Malek to Utica (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Utica Ds DJ King, Charles Leddy and Eamon Powell, Fs Tristan Ashbrook, Zachary Gallant, Gabe Klassen, Jack Malone, Justin Pearson, Ryan Schmelzer, Cristophe Tellier and Jermey Wilmer and Gs Jeremy Brodeur and Seth Eisele.

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#12Alexander CommandRound 1 · Orebro Jr.C
#37Matias VanhanenRound 2 · EverettLW
#44Nikita ShcherbakovRound 2 · Ufa Jr.D
#119Lavr GashilovRound 4 · Yekaterinburg Jr.C
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final