Early look The full preview opens on Saturday 14 November, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview

Puck drop17 Nov · 7:30 PM ET
VenueBenchmark International Arena
All-time meetings171 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eleven points apart last season

Washington finished last season 12th in the league on 95 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106, and the 2025-26 season series went TBL 2-0-1.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 172

Across 171 completed games, Washington lead the head-to-head 99-51-20.

All-time record99-51-20Washington's record in the series
Meetings played171This is number 172
2025-26 seriesTBL 2-0-1
Last 54-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
3 OctWSH 1 – TBL 321–30WSH 0/2 · TBL 0/3TBL
22 Nov 2025TBL 5 – WSH 316–32TBL 1/3 · WSH 0/6TBL
8 Nov 2025WSH 2 – TBL 330–20WSH 0/1 · TBL 1/2TBL
14 Oct 2025TBL 2 – WSH 3 OT19–28TBL 1/2 · WSH 1/3WSH
1 Mar 2025TBL 3 – WSH 119–21TBL 1/3 · WSH 0/3TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each meeting night

DateWashingtonTampa Bay
14 Oct 20253-1-0 · 6 pts7th1-2-1 · 3 pts23rd
8 Nov 20257-7-1 · 15 pts25th8-5-2 · 18 pts14th
22 Nov 202511-9-2 · 24 pts23rd12-7-2 · 26 pts9th
3 Oct1-1-0 · 2 pts18th1-1-0 · 2 pts23rd

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 14 Oct 2025, Washington were 7th in the league and Tampa Bay 23rd. By 3 Oct it was 18th and 23rd.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Washington out-attempted Tampa Bay 319 to 214

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Washington Capitals

319 att · 133 on goal · 10 G · 7.5%
Crease20 att · 1 G
Slot118 att · 6 G
Wing116 att · 2 G
Point56 att · 1 G
Neutral zone9 att · 0 G

Tampa Bay Lightning

214 att · 104 on goal · 16 G · 15.4%
Crease13 att · 2 G
Slot86 att · 8 G
Wing76 att · 5 G
Point33 att · 0 G
Neutral zone6 att · 1 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Washington and Tampa Bay are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

WashingtonTampa Bay
2.48xG for per game4.04
4.09xG against per game2.64
37.7%xG share60.5%
+1.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.1
+3.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.9

This season: 2 games for Washington, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Washington

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2617.8% · 25th
Power play · last 5 meetings1/15 · 6.7%
Penalty kill · 2026-2788.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.1% · 14th
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.4% · 51/110
Drawn · 2026-274 (2.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings1

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings4/13 · 30.8%
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings4

Skaters

Brandon Hagel has 9 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
89Alex Tuch22021.00
17Dylan Strome20221.00
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Cole Hutson21010.50
3Matt Roy20000.00
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
Defencemen stats

Brandon Hagel vs Washington · game by game

See all: Brandon Hagel vs Washington · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
3 Octhome022622:07
22 Nov 2025away224519:44
8 Nov 2025home112420:18
14 Oct 2025away000418:17
1 Mar 2025away101422:25
Last 5 meetings9 P4 G, 5 A · 23 SOG
Next best7 PJake Guentzel, TBL
2026-27 season3 P3 GP · 1 G
Blank vs WSH1 of 5
Full game log

Goaltending

Andrei Vasilevskiy has been the difference

Andrei Vasilevskiy faced 100 shots across 4 appearances against Washington and conceded 7, a .930 save percentage against a season figure of .898. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 14 Nov: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 14 Nov: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

WSH · 1-0-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 14 Nov

SV% · 2026-27.9391 GP · 2.00 GAA · 2025-26 .912
vs Tampa Bay.8254 app · 63 SA · 11 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+2.01 start
vs TBLVenueSAGASV%
22 Nov 2025home64.333
8 Nov 2025away203.850
14 Oct 2025home192.895
1 Mar 2025home182.889

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Charlie Lindgren .931 (1 GP)

Full game log

TBL · 2-1-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 14 Nov

SV% · 2026-27.8983 GP · 2.05 GAA · 2025-26 .912
vs Washington.9304 app · 100 SA · 7 GA
GSAx · 2026-27+1.03 starts · most on the roster
vs WSHVenueSAGASV%
3 Octhome211.952
8 Nov 2025home302.933
14 Oct 2025away283.893
1 Mar 2025away211.952
Full game log

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

3 Oct4 · WSH 1–3 TBL
22 Nov 20258 · TBL 5–3 WSH
8 Nov 20255 · WSH 2–3 TBL
14 Oct 20255 · TBL 2–3 WSH
1 Mar 20254 · TBL 3–1 WSH

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Washington3.002.503.212.98
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Washington · injuries

Matt RoyLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn7 Oct
Patrick ThomasUpper BodyIRReturn24 Oct
Rasmus SandinKneeIRReturn26 Dec

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec
27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen and D Jonathan McDonald from their professional tryout agreements. Assigned LW Maxim Schäfer to Cape Breton (QMJHL).

27 Sep · WSH

Placed G Clay Stevenson, D Louie Belpedio, C Mike Brodzinski and RW Spencer Smallman on waivers. Released G Cal Petersen from his professional tryout agreement.

26 Sep · WSH

Placed D Justin Holl on waivers for the purpose of being loaned to Hershey (AHL).

6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

Injury report
#18Oliver SuvantoRound 1 · TapparaC
#101Tyus SparksRound 4 · SpokaneC
#144Brian McFaddenRound 5 · Thayer AcademyD
#208Logan StuartRound 7 · Usa U-18C
Full draft
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft

Updated after every final