Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning: game preview
CalgaryFlames2026-27: 0-3-0 · 0 pts · 2025-26: 34-39-9 · 77 pts · 29that
Tampa BayLightning2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 50-26-6 · 106 pts · 5thTwenty-nine points apart last season
Calgary finished last season 29th in the league on 77 points. Tampa Bay finished 5th on 106.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 58
Across 57 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 31-21-5.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 26 Nov 2025, Calgary were 31st in the league and Tampa Bay 4th. By 22 Mar 2026 it was 29th and 6th.
Tampa Bay out-attempted Calgary 124 to 113
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Calgary Flames
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Calgary, 3 for Tampa Bay. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Calgary, 10 for Tampa Bay.
2025-26: 82 games for Calgary, 82 for Tampa Bay.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Calgary
Small sampleTampa Bay
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Calgary crease
CGY · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 14 Dec
No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.
Tampa Bay crease
TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 14 Dec
No appearances against Calgary in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.0 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Calgary1.005.332.593.16
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
4 on the injury lists
Calgary · injuries
Tampa Bay · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed D Brayden Pachal and C Connor Zary on waivers.
Waived F Alex Nylander.
Assigned Fs Andrew Basha, Will Dineen and Tyson Gross, Ds Hunter Brzustewicz and Axel Hurtig and G Arsenii Sergeev to Calgary (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Calgary Fs Dryden Hunt, Ben Jones, Rory Kerins, Sam Morton and William Stromgren and Ds Michael Benning, Andreas Englund and Jake Livingstone.
Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
Calgary · 2026 draft
See all: Calgary · 2026 draft →Tampa Bay · 2026 draft
See all: Tampa Bay · 2026 draft →
Updated after every final