Early look The full preview opens on Wednesday 21 October, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth: game preview

Puck drop24 Oct · 9:00 PM ET
VenueDelta Center
All-time meetings4 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Fourteen points apart last season

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Utah finished 15th on 92.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 5

Across 4 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 3-1-0.

All-time record3-1-0Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played4This is number 5
2025-26 series—
Last 43-1Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
26 Jan 2026UTA 0 – TBL 2——TBL
2 Nov 2025TBL 4 – UTA 2——TBL
27 Mar 2025UTA 0 – TBL 8——TBL
22 Mar 2025TBL 4 – UTA 6——UTA
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayUtah
2 Nov 20256-4-2 · 14 pts15th8-4-0 · 16 pts7th
26 Jan 202633-14-4 · 70 pts2nd27-21-4 · 58 pts16th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 2 Nov 2025, Tampa Bay were 15th in the league and Utah 7th. By 26 Jan 2026 it was 2nd and 16th.


Where the shots come from · last 4 meetings

Utah out-attempted Tampa Bay 118 to 105

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

105 att · 55 on goal · 6 G · 10.9%
Crease11 att · 0 G
Slot32 att · 3 G
Wing37 att · 3 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone7 att · 0 G

Utah Mammoth

118 att · 55 on goal · 2 G · 3.6%
Crease8 att · 0 G
Slot47 att · 2 G
Wing46 att · 0 G
Point14 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Utah have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayUtah
4.04xG for per game3.62
2.64xG against per game2.71
60.5%xG share57.2%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+2.5
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.8

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 4 for Utah. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 4 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Utah

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2761.5%
Power play · 2025-2620.0% · 18th
Power play · last 4 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2792.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2678.1% · 19th
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.0% · 124/234
Drawn · 2026-2713 (3.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
8Nick Schmaltz45271.75
11Dylan Guenther43361.50
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
20Andrew Peeke41120.50
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 23 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 22 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 21 Oct

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Utah in the last meetings.

Utah crease

UTA · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 21 Oct

Karel Vejmelka.9133 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.7
Sebastian Cossa.9471 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +1.4

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 4 meetings

26 Jan 20262 · UTA 0–2 TBL
2 Nov 20256 · TBL 4–2 UTA
27 Mar 20258 · UTA 0–8 TBL
22 Mar 202510 · TBL 4–6 UTA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Utah4.252.003.272.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 4 meetings6.5Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

5 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Utah · injuries

Maveric LamoureuxShoulderIRReturn12 Feb
Mikhail SergachevUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

27 Sep · UTA

Placed LW Ben McCartney on waivers.

25 Sep · UTA

Assigned Fs Yegor Borikov, Caleb Desnoyers, Tij Iginla, Gabe Smith and G Michael Hrabal to Tucson (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Fs Brandon Tanev and Joshua Roy and D Zac Jones.

23 Jul 2026 · UTA

Signed D Max Psenicka to a three-year contract.

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#17Ethan BelchetzRound 1 · WindsorLW
#96Adam ValentiniRound 3 · MichiganC
#115Carl AxelssonRound 4 · MuskegonG
#130Theodor KnightsRound 5 · Modo Jr.D
Full draft

Updated after every final