Early look · NHL 2026-27

Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers: game preview

TorontoMaple Leafs2026-27: 2-2-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 32-36-14 · 78 pts · 28that

EdmontonOilers2026-27: 2-0-1 · 5 pts · 2025-26: 41-30-11 · 93 pts · 14th

Puck drop24 Oct · 7:00 PM ET

VenueRogers Place

All-time meetings125 completed

BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26

The thesis

Fifteen points apart last season

Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Edmonton finished 14th on 93.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 126

Across 125 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 72-49-4.

All-time record72-49-4Toronto's record in the series

Meetings played125This is number 126

2025-26 series—

Last 54-1Toronto

Last 5 meetings

See all: Last 5 meetings →

DateResultShotsPower playWinner

3 Feb 2026TOR 5 – EDM 2——TOR

13 Dec 2025EDM 6 – TOR 3——EDM

1 Feb 2025TOR 4 – EDM 3——TOR

16 Nov 2024EDM 3 – TOR 4 OT——TOR

23 Mar 2024EDM 3 – TOR 6——TOR

Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTorontoEdmonton

13 Dec 202514-12-5 · 33 pts21st15-11-6 · 36 pts17th

3 Feb 202624-19-9 · 57 pts18th27-19-8 · 62 pts12th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 13 Dec 2025, Toronto were 21st in the league and Edmonton 17th. By 3 Feb 2026 it was 18th and 12th.

Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Edmonton out-attempted Toronto 137 to 104

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Toronto Maple Leafs

104 att · 55 on goal · 8 G · 14.5%

Crease11 att · 2 G

Slot42 att · 3 G

Wing31 att · 2 G

Point13 att · 0 G

Neutral zone7 att · 1 G

Edmonton Oilers

137 att · 74 on goal · 8 G · 10.8%

Crease18 att · 4 G

Slot45 att · 3 G

Wing53 att · 0 G

Point17 att · 1 G

Neutral zone4 att · 0 G

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Edmonton have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

TorontoEdmonton

3.40xG for per game3.31

3.21xG against per game2.10

51.4%xG share61.2%

−2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+7.1

+1.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−7.7

This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for Edmonton. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →

Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Toronto

Small sample

Power play · 2026-2721.4%

Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th

Power play · last 5 meetings—

Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%

Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th

Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221

Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)

Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)

Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)

PP goals · last meetings0

Edmonton

Small sample

Power play · 2026-2725.0%

Power play · 2025-2630.6% · 1st

Power play · last 5 meetings—

Penalty kill · 2026-2757.1%

Penalty kill · 2025-2677.8% · 20th

Faceoffs · 2026-2751.7% · 91/176

Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)

Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)

Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)

PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

Forwards to watch

See all: Forwards to watch →

PlayerGPGAPP/GP

88William Nylander43361.50

34Auston Matthews42351.25

91John Tavares41230.75

97Connor McDavid32793.00

29Leon Draisaitl33251.67

92Vasily Podkolzin33251.67

Points leaders

Defencemen to watch

See all: Defencemen to watch →

PlayerGPGAPP/GP

44Morgan Rielly40330.75

43Darren Raddysh40110.25

95Oliver Ekman-Larsson40000.00

2Evan Bouchard34482.67

6Ryan Shea31231.00

14Mattias Ekholm30000.00

Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Toronto

Expected starter after their game on 22 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Edmonton

Expected starter after their game on 22 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 21 Oct

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1

Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against Edmonton in the last meetings.

Edmonton crease

EDM · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 21 Oct

Devon Levi.8102 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −3.6

Tristan Jarry.7391 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −4.1

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.

Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.9 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

3 Feb 20267 · TOR 5–2 EDM

13 Dec 20259 · EDM 6–3 TOR

1 Feb 20257 · TOR 4–3 EDM

16 Nov 20247 · EDM 3–4 TOR

23 Mar 20249 · EDM 3–6 TOR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA

Toronto2.752.753.093.65

Edmonton5.674.673.443.28

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.9Goals in this game

Last 5 meetings7.8Goals per game

Line—No total posted yet

Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

14 on the injury lists

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct

Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct

Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar

Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov

William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct

Edmonton · injuries

Alec RegulaUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct

Atro LeppanenUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct

Frederik AndersenKneeIRReturn30 Dec

James StefanUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct

Jason DickinsonFootIRReturn7 Oct

Matt SavoieLower BodyIRReturn24 Nov

Mattias JanmarkUndisclosedIRReturn15 Oct

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsLower BodyIRReturn13 Oct

Zach HymanUndisclosedOutReturn17 Oct

Latest moves

See all: Latest moves →

5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

1 Oct · EDM

Placed F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on injured reserve. Placed D Alec Regula on long-term injured reserve. Recalled F Josh Samanski under emergency conditions.

27 Sep · EDM

Placed G Matt Tomkins on waivers for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield (AHL).

25 Sep · EDM

Loaned D Tomas Cibulka, Fs Connor Clattenburg, Quinn Hutson, Viljami Marjala, William Nicholl and Aku Raty and G Connor Ungar to Bakersfield (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield Ds Josh Brown and Riley Stillman and F Eduards Tralmaks.

Injury report

Toronto · 2026 draft

See all: Toronto · 2026 draft →

#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW

#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD

#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD

#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW

Full draft

Edmonton · 2026 draft

See all: Edmonton · 2026 draft →

#58Rudolfs BerzkalnsRound 2 · MuskegonC

#84Malcom GastrinRound 3 · Modo Jr.LW

#133Andrew RobinsonRound 5 · WindsorD

#180Caden HarveyRound 6 · WindsorC

Full draft

Saturday 24 October · the full slate

See all: Saturday 24 October · the full slate →

EDMThis game 9:00 PM ET

Updated after every final