Game preview · NHL 2026-27

Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers: game preview

Puck drop10 Oct · 6:00 PM ET
VenueAmerant Bank Arena
All-time meetings38 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty points apart last season

Minnesota finished last season 7th in the league on 104 points. Florida finished 25th on 84, and the 2025-26 season series went MIN 1-0-1.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 39

Across 38 completed games, Minnesota lead the head-to-head 22-11-5.

All-time record22-11-5Minnesota's record in the series
Meetings played38This is number 39
2025-26 seriesMIN 1-0-1
Last 53-2Minnesota
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
26 Mar 2026MIN 3 – FLA 250–20MIN 0/1 · FLA 0/1MIN
24 Jan 2026FLA 4 – MIN 3 OT34–21FLA 2/6 · MIN 2/6FLA
18 Dec 2024FLA 6 – MIN 133–27FLA 1/2 · MIN 1/2FLA
22 Oct 2024MIN 5 – FLA 122–25MIN 1/2 · FLA 0/0MIN
19 Jan 2024MIN 6 – FLA 426–35MIN 5/6 · FLA 0/4MIN
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateMinnesotaFlorida
24 Jan 202629-14-10 · 68 pts5th27-20-3 · 57 pts15th
26 Mar 202641-20-12 · 94 pts6th35-33-3 · 73 pts25th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 24 Jan 2026, Minnesota were 5th in the league and Florida 15th. By 26 Mar 2026 it was 6th and 25th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Florida out-attempted Minnesota 320 to 266

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Minnesota Wild

266 att · 146 on goal · 18 G · 12.3%
Crease19 att · 1 G
Slot95 att · 8 G
Wing86 att · 6 G
Point53 att · 2 G
Neutral zone13 att · 1 G

Florida Panthers

320 att · 147 on goal · 17 G · 11.6%
Crease17 att · 3 G
Slot128 att · 8 G
Wing131 att · 4 G
Point39 att · 2 G
Neutral zone5 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Minnesota and Florida are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

MinnesotaFlorida
3.01xG for per game3.01
2.83xG against per game2.34
51.5%xG share56.3%
−0.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.0
+3.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+1.4

This season: 3 games for Minnesota, 4 for Florida. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Minnesota

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2736.4%
Power play · 2025-2625.2% · 3rd
Power play · last 5 meetings9/17 · 52.9%
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.8% · 16th
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.0% · 84/175
Drawn · 2026-2711 (3.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings17 (3.40/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings9

Florida

Small sample
Power play · 2026-274.3%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 19th
Power play · last 5 meetings3/13 · 23.1%
Penalty kill · 2026-2778.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.0% · 9th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.2% · 115/229
Drawn · 2026-2723 (5.75/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Skaters

Aaron Ekblad has 9 points in the last 5 meetings

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
97Kirill Kaprizov33031.00
20Blake Coleman31120.67
19Matthew Tkachuk42130.75
20Lars Eller40330.75
9Sam Bennett40330.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
43Quinn Hughes31341.33
46Jared Spurgeon31231.00
3Olli Maatta30110.33
3Seth Jones41010.25
42Gustav Forsling31010.33
Defencemen stats

Aaron Ekblad vs Minnesota · game by game

See all: Aaron Ekblad vs Minnesota · game by game →
DateVenueGAPSOGTOI
26 Mar 2026home101522:39
24 Jan 2026away011120:57
18 Dec 2024away123322:09
22 Oct 2024home000021:48
19 Jan 2024home134220:28
Last 5 meetings9 P3 G, 6 A · 11 SOG
Next best8 PMatthew Tkachuk, FLA
2026-27 season1 P2 GP · 0 G
Blank vs MIN1 of 5
Full game log

Goaltending

Filip Gustavsson has started most of these meetings

Filip Gustavsson played 3 of the last 5 meetings with Florida, with a .904 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 8 Oct: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter#25 Jacob Markstrom
  • Started 3 of 4 this season
  • .927 save percentage over his last three starts

2026-27: 3 GP · .927 SV% · GSAx +3

Also possible: Schmid 31%

MIN · 28-15-6 in 2025-26 IRReturn 1 Nov

SV% · 2025-26.90450 GP · 2.69 GAA
vs Florida.9043 app · 83 SA · 8 GA
GSAx · 2025-26+0.949 starts
vs FLAVenueSAGASV%
24 Jan 2026home344.882
22 Oct 2024away251.960
19 Jan 2024away243.875

Also on the roster, 2026-27: Jesper Wallstedt .933 (3 GP)

Full game log

Florida crease

FLA · 2026-27 Expected: Markstrom · 69%

Jacob Markstrom.9273 GP · 2-0-1 · GSAx +3.2
Akira Schmid.8751 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −1.0

No appearances against Minnesota in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.0 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

26 Mar 20265 · MIN 3–2 FLA
24 Jan 20267 · FLA 4–3 MIN
18 Dec 20247 · FLA 6–1 MIN
22 Oct 20246 · MIN 5–1 FLA
19 Jan 202410 · MIN 6–4 FLA

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Minnesota3.001.673.322.93
Florida2.002.003.063.37

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.0Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Minnesota · injuries

Brock FaberSkullIRReturn15 Oct
Filip GustavssonHipIRReturn1 Nov
Nick FolignoUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct

Florida · injuries

Aaron EkbladPersonalOutReturn10 Oct
Aleksander BarkovLower BodyIRReturn27 Nov
Brad MarchandLegDay-to-dayReturn10 Oct
Jonah GadjovichUpper BodyIRReturn17 Oct
MacKenzie EntwistleUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
24 Sep · MIN

Waived for the purpose of assignment to Iowa (AHL) Ds Matt Kiersted, Carson Lambos, and Roman Schmidt and Fs Caedan Bankier, Dylan Gambrell, Justin Kirkland, Tyler Pitlick, and Mason Shaw. Assigned Ds Ben Dexheimer and Viking Gustafsson Nyberg and Fs Jagger Joshua, Hunter Haight, Riley Heidt, Rasmus Kumpulainen, and Rieger Lorenz to Iowa.

14 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed G Filip Ruzicka to a three-year, entry-level contract.

13 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed D Filip Ruzicka to a three-year contract.

3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve. Called up D Alexander Petrovic from Charlotte (AHL).

3 Oct · FLA

Placed C Aleksander Barkov on long-term injured reserve.

27 Sep · FLA

Placed RW/C Cole Schwindt, RD Alexander Petrovic, LD Donovan Sebrango, LW Kai Schwindt, LW Cole Reinhardt, RW Sam Lafferty and C/LW John Beecher on waivers. Agreed to terms with RW Nathan Bastian on a 1-year, two-way contract.

Injury report
#83Adam AnderssonRound 3 · Leksand Jr.C
#112Kayden LemireRound 4 · Prince GeorgeRW
#137Filip RuzickaRound 5 · BrandonG
Full draft
#40Simas IgnataviciusRound 2 · GeneveRW
#48Ryder CaliRound 2 · North BayC
#98Jonas KempsRound 4 · ChicagoD
#168Vilho VanhataloRound 6 · Tappara Jr.RW
Full draft

Updated after every final