Early look The full preview opens on Friday 19 February, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers: game preview

Puck drop22 Feb · 7:30 PM ET
VenueRogers Place
All-time meetings65 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Six points apart last season

Ottawa finished last season 9th in the league on 99 points. Edmonton finished 14th on 93.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 66

Across 65 completed games, Edmonton lead the head-to-head 38-19-8.

All-time record38-19-8Edmonton's record in the series
Meetings played65This is number 66
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Edmonton
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
3 Mar 2026OTT 4 – EDM 5 OT——EDM
21 Oct 2025EDM 3 – OTT 2 OT——EDM
22 Dec 2024OTT 1 – EDM 3——EDM
19 Nov 2024EDM 5 – OTT 2——EDM
24 Mar 2024EDM 3 – OTT 5——OTT
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateOttawaEdmonton
21 Oct 20252-4-1 · 5 pts28th3-3-1 · 7 pts19th
3 Mar 202624-21-7 · 55 pts25th27-19-8 · 62 pts12th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 21 Oct 2025, Ottawa were 28th in the league and Edmonton 19th. By 3 Mar 2026 it was 25th and 12th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Edmonton out-attempted Ottawa 112 to 96

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Ottawa Senators

96 att · 42 on goal · 6 G · 14.3%
Crease4 att · 0 G
Slot37 att · 4 G
Wing40 att · 1 G
Point13 att · 1 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G

Edmonton Oilers

112 att · 62 on goal · 8 G · 12.9%
Crease13 att · 2 G
Slot37 att · 3 G
Wing41 att · 3 G
Point17 att · 0 G
Neutral zone4 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Ottawa and Edmonton are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

OttawaEdmonton
2.95xG for per game3.31
3.41xG against per game2.10
46.4%xG share61.2%
+1.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+7.1
+2.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−7.7

This season: 3 games for Ottawa, 3 for Edmonton. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Edmonton

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2630.6% · 1st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2757.1%
Penalty kill · 2025-2677.8% · 20th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.7% · 91/176
Drawn · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
97Connor McDavid32793.00
29Leon Draisaitl33251.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
2Evan Bouchard34482.67
6Ryan Shea31231.00
14Mattias Ekholm30000.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 21 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 19 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 19 Feb

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Edmonton in the last meetings.

Edmonton crease

EDM · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 19 Feb

Devon Levi.8102 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx −3.6
Tristan Jarry.7391 GP · 0-0-1 · GSAx −4.1

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.8 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

3 Mar 20269 · OTT 4–5 EDM
21 Oct 20255 · EDM 3–2 OTT
22 Dec 20244 · OTT 1–3 EDM
19 Nov 20247 · EDM 5–2 OTT
24 Mar 20248 · EDM 3–5 OTT

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00
Edmonton5.674.673.443.28

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.8Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

15 on the injury lists

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct

Edmonton · injuries

Alec RegulaUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Atro LeppanenUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct
Frederik AndersenKneeIRReturn30 Dec
James StefanUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Jason DickinsonFootIRReturn7 Oct
Matt SavoieLower BodyIRReturn24 Nov
Mattias JanmarkUndisclosedIRReturn15 Oct
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsLower BodyIRReturn13 Oct
Zach HymanUndisclosedOutReturn17 Oct
6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

1 Oct · EDM

Placed F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins on injured reserve. Placed D Alec Regula on long-term injured reserve. Recalled F Josh Samanski under emergency conditions.

27 Sep · EDM

Placed G Matt Tomkins on waivers for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield (AHL).

25 Sep · EDM

Loaned D Tomas Cibulka, Fs Connor Clattenburg, Quinn Hutson, Viljami Marjala, William Nicholl and Aku Raty and G Connor Ungar to Bakersfield (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Bakersfield Ds Josh Brown and Riley Stillman and F Eduards Tralmaks.

Injury report
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft
#58Rudolfs BerzkalnsRound 2 · MuskegonC
#84Malcom GastrinRound 3 · Modo Jr.LW
#133Andrew RobinsonRound 5 · WindsorD
#180Caden HarveyRound 6 · WindsorC
Full draft

Updated after every final