Early look The full preview opens on Sunday 3 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Ottawa Senators at Colorado Avalanche: game preview

Puck drop6 Jan · 9:30 PM ET
VenueBall Arena
All-time meetings46 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twenty-two points apart last season

Ottawa finished last season 9th in the league on 99 points. Colorado finished 1st on 121.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 47

Across 46 completed games, Colorado lead the head-to-head 27-16-3.

All-time record27-16-3Colorado's record in the series
Meetings played46This is number 47
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1Colorado
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
28 Jan 2026COL 2 – OTT 5——OTT
8 Jan 2026OTT 2 – COL 8——COL
20 Mar 2025COL 5 – OTT 1——COL
27 Oct 2024OTT 4 – COL 5——COL
16 Jan 2024COL 7 – OTT 4——COL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateOttawaColorado
8 Jan 202620-18-5 · 45 pts23rd32-4-7 · 71 pts1st
28 Jan 202624-21-7 · 55 pts25th35-6-9 · 79 pts1st

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 8 Jan 2026, Ottawa were 23rd in the league and Colorado 1st. By 28 Jan 2026 it was 25th and 1st.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Colorado out-attempted Ottawa 111 to 111

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Ottawa Senators

111 att · 54 on goal · 7 G · 13.0%
Crease13 att · 0 G
Slot38 att · 4 G
Wing41 att · 2 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 1 G

Colorado Avalanche

111 att · 52 on goal · 10 G · 19.2%
Crease7 att · 0 G
Slot39 att · 2 G
Wing37 att · 5 G
Point26 att · 3 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

OttawaColorado
2.95xG for per game3.16
3.41xG against per game2.55
46.4%xG share55.4%
+1.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+7.7
+2.2GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+0.1

This season: 3 games for Ottawa, 2 for Colorado. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Colorado

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2744.4%
Power play · 2025-2617.1% · 27th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2684.6% · 1st
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.8% · 58/124
Drawn · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
88Martin Necas22242.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
42Josh Manson21231.50
8Cale Makar21231.50
7Devon Toews20221.00
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 5 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 4 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Jan

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Colorado in the last meetings.

Colorado crease

COL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 3 Jan

Mackenzie Blackwood.9122 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.1

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.4 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

28 Jan 20267 · COL 2–5 OTT
8 Jan 202610 · OTT 2–8 COL
20 Mar 20256 · COL 5–1 OTT
27 Oct 20249 · OTT 4–5 COL
16 Jan 202411 · COL 7–4 OTT

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00
Colorado7.002.503.682.48

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.4Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings8.6Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

10 on the injury lists

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct

Colorado · injuries

Georgii MerkulovUndisclosedIRReturn16 Oct
Logan O'ConnorLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Trent MinerUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Zachary L'HeureuxLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

27 Sep · COL

Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.

27 Sep · COL

Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.

25 Sep · COL

Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).

Injury report
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft
#43Egor ShilovRound 2 · VictoriavilleC
#74Beckett HamiltonRound 3 · Red DeerC
#126Tobias TvrznikRound 4 · WenatcheeG
#128Axel ElofssonRound 4 · Orebro Jr.D
Full draft

Updated after every final