Early look The full preview opens on Wednesday 30 December, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks: game preview

Puck drop2 Jan · 7:00 PM ET
VenueSAP Center at San Jose
All-time meetings71 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Eight points apart last season

Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. San Jose finished 24th on 86.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 72

Across 71 completed games, San Jose lead the head-to-head 36-30-5.

All-time record36-30-5San Jose's record in the series
Meetings played71This is number 72
2025-26 series—
Last 54-1San Jose
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
2 Apr 2026TOR 1 – SJS 4——SJS
11 Dec 2025SJS 3 – TOR 2 OT——SJS
27 Mar 2025TOR 5 – SJS 6 SO——SJS
3 Mar 2025SJS 3 – TOR 2 SO——SJS
9 Jan 2024SJS 1 – TOR 7——TOR
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTorontoSan Jose
11 Dec 202514-11-5 · 33 pts19th15-14-3 · 33 pts20th
2 Apr 202632-31-13 · 77 pts25th36-31-7 · 79 pts21st

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 11 Dec 2025, Toronto were 19th in the league and San Jose 20th. By 2 Apr 2026 it was 25th and 21st.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

San Jose out-attempted Toronto 115 to 113

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Toronto Maple Leafs

113 att · 50 on goal · 3 G · 6.0%
Crease5 att · 0 G
Slot39 att · 2 G
Wing48 att · 1 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

San Jose Sharks

115 att · 57 on goal · 7 G · 12.3%
Crease8 att · 1 G
Slot47 att · 3 G
Wing42 att · 2 G
Point18 att · 1 G
Neutral zone0 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Toronto and San Jose are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

TorontoSan Jose
3.40xG for per game2.13
3.21xG against per game3.72
51.4%xG share36.4%
−2.6FinishingGoals minus expected goals+2.6
+1.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−0.8

This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for San Jose. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Toronto

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2721.4%
Power play · 2025-2621.3% · 15th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2790.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.2% · 8th
Faceoffs · 2026-2751.1% · 113/221
Drawn · 2026-2714 (3.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

San Jose

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2725.0%
Power play · 2025-2621.2% · 16th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2775.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2676.4% · 26th
Faceoffs · 2026-2744.4% · 72/162
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
34Auston Matthews42351.25
91John Tavares41230.75
2Will Smith32131.00
92Igor Chernyshov32131.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
44Morgan Rielly40330.75
43Darren Raddysh40110.25
42Luca Cagnoni31120.67
5Nolan Allan21010.50
65Jacob Trouba30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 30 Dec: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 1 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Toronto crease

TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 30 Dec

Sergei Bobrovsky.8872 GP · 0-2-0 · GSAx +0.1
Anthony Stolarz.9042 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.6

No appearances against San Jose in the last meetings.

San Jose crease

SJS · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 30 Dec

Yaroslav Askarov.8623 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx −0.8

No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.6 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

2 Apr 20265 · TOR 1–4 SJS
11 Dec 20255 · SJS 3–2 TOR
27 Mar 202511 · TOR 5–6 SJS
3 Mar 20255 · SJS 3–2 TOR
9 Jan 20248 · SJS 1–7 TOR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
San Jose3.004.003.063.56

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.6Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

11 on the injury lists

Toronto · injuries

Cade WebberElbowIRReturn31 Oct
Dakota JoshuaAbdomenIRReturn24 Oct
Elvis MerzlikinsShoulderIRReturn30 Mar
Max DomiBackIRReturn21 Nov
William VilleneuveKneeIRReturn31 Oct

San Jose · injuries

Adam GaudetteUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Alex Barre-BouletUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Cam LundUpper BodyIRReturn19 Oct
Kyle KeyserUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec
Macklin CelebriniLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Quentin MustyUpper BodyIRReturn1 Dec
5 Oct · TOR

Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.

30 Sep · TOR

Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.

29 Sep · TOR

Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.

4 Oct · SJS

Placed C Patrick Giles on waivers.

27 Sep · SJS

Placed G Ilya Samsonov on waivers.

23 Sep · SJS

Placed RW Ethan Cardwell, D Libor Hajek and LW Tye Felhaber on waivers.

Injury report
#1Gavin McKennaRound 1 · Penn StateLW
#60Alexander BileckiRound 2 · KitchenerD
#69Ethan MacKenzieRound 3 · EdmontonD
#73Zach OlsenRound 3 · SaskatoonRW
Full draft
#2Ivar StenbergRound 1 · FrolundaLW
#9Keaton VerhoeffRound 1 · North DakotaD
#21Ryan LinRound 1 · VancouverD
#127Brady KnowlingRound 4 · Usa U-18G
Full draft

Updated after every final