Toronto Maple Leafs at Pittsburgh Penguins: game preview
TorontoMaple Leafs2026-27: 2-2-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 32-36-14 · 78 pts · 28that
PittsburghPenguins2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 41-25-16 · 98 pts · 10thTwenty points apart last season
Toronto finished last season 28th in the league on 78 points. Pittsburgh finished 10th on 98.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 220
Across 219 completed games, Toronto lead the head-to-head 110-99-10.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 3 Nov 2025, Toronto were 12th in the league and Pittsburgh 6th. By 23 Dec 2025 it was 23rd and 20th.
Pittsburgh out-attempted Toronto 222 to 136
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 4 games for Toronto, 3 for Pittsburgh. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Toronto, 10 for Pittsburgh.
2025-26: 82 games for Toronto, 82 for Pittsburgh.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Toronto
Small samplePittsburgh
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Expected starter after their game on 23 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.
Expected starter after their game on 23 Feb: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.
Toronto crease
TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 22 Feb
No appearances against Pittsburgh in the last meetings.
Pittsburgh crease
PIT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 22 Feb
No appearances against Toronto in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.7 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Toronto2.752.753.093.65
Pittsburgh5.002.673.573.27Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
8 on the injury lists
Toronto · injuries
Pittsburgh · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.
Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.
Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.
Activated C/RW Benjamin Kindel from injured reserve. Placed C/LW David Gustafsson on waivers.
Assigned F Rutger McGroarty to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (AHL).
Reinstated C Blake Lizotte from injured reserve.
Toronto · 2026 draft
See all: Toronto · 2026 draft →Pittsburgh · 2026 draft
See all: Pittsburgh · 2026 draft →
Updated after every final