Early look The full preview opens on Monday 11 January, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Colorado Avalanche at Buffalo Sabres: game preview

Puck drop14 Jan · 7:30 PM ET
VenueKeyBank Center
All-time meetings46 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Twelve points apart last season

Colorado finished last season 1st in the league on 121 points. Buffalo finished 4th on 109.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 47

Across 46 completed games, Colorado lead the head-to-head 31-12-3.

All-time record31-12-3Colorado's record in the series
Meetings played46This is number 47
2025-26 series—
Last 55-0Colorado
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
13 Nov 2025BUF 3 – COL 6——COL
13 Oct 2025COL 3 – BUF 1——COL
2 Jan 2025BUF 5 – COL 6 OT——COL
3 Dec 2024COL 5 – BUF 4——COL
13 Dec 2023BUF 1 – COL 5——COL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateColoradoBuffalo
13 Oct 20253-0-1 · 7 pts1st0-3-0 · 0 pts32nd
13 Nov 202512-1-5 · 29 pts1st5-8-4 · 14 pts30th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 13 Oct 2025, Colorado were 1st in the league and Buffalo 32nd. By 13 Nov 2025 it was 1st and 30th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Colorado out-attempted Buffalo 135 to 121

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Colorado Avalanche

135 att · 71 on goal · 9 G · 12.7%
Crease5 att · 0 G
Slot53 att · 8 G
Wing49 att · 1 G
Point27 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G

Buffalo Sabres

121 att · 49 on goal · 4 G · 8.2%
Crease8 att · 1 G
Slot49 att · 2 G
Wing40 att · 0 G
Point22 att · 1 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

ColoradoBuffalo
3.16xG for per game3.53
2.55xG against per game2.17
55.4%xG share62.0%
+7.7FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.6
+0.1GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−4.5

This season: 2 games for Colorado, 3 for Buffalo. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Colorado

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2744.4%
Power play · 2025-2617.1% · 27th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2684.6% · 1st
Faceoffs · 2026-2746.8% · 58/124
Drawn · 2026-279 (4.50/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-276 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Buffalo

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2619.5% · 21st
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2766.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2681.9% · 4th
Faceoffs · 2026-2750.6% · 91/180
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
88Martin Necas22242.00
72Tage Thompson32241.33
86Noah Ostlund31231.00
22Jack Quinn32020.67
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
42Josh Manson21231.50
8Cale Makar21231.50
7Devon Toews20221.00
25Owen Power31451.67
26Rasmus Dahlin31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 12 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 12 Jan: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Colorado crease

COL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 11 Jan

Mackenzie Blackwood.9122 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +0.1

No appearances against Buffalo in the last meetings.

Buffalo crease

BUF · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 11 Jan

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.7842 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx −3.7
Colten Ellis.9001 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx −0.2

No appearances against Colorado in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.5 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

13 Nov 20259 · BUF 3–6 COL
13 Oct 20254 · COL 3–1 BUF
2 Jan 202511 · BUF 5–6 COL
3 Dec 20249 · COL 5–4 BUF
13 Dec 20236 · BUF 1–5 COL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Colorado7.002.503.682.48
Buffalo3.333.673.512.94

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.5Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings7.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

10 on the injury lists

Colorado · injuries

Georgii MerkulovUndisclosedIRReturn16 Oct
Logan O'ConnorLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct
Trent MinerUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Zachary L'HeureuxLower BodyIRReturn7 Oct

Buffalo · injuries

Alex LyonUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Conor TimminsLower BodyIRReturn17 Oct
Jack RathboneUndisclosedIRReturn24 Oct
Jason ZuckerAbdomenIRReturn15 Oct
Josh DoanLower BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct
Topias LeinonenLower BodyIRReturn10 Oct
27 Sep · COL

Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.

27 Sep · COL

Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.

25 Sep · COL

Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).

2 Oct · BUF

Loaned D Dennis Gilbert to Rochester (AHL).

1 Oct · BUF

Recalled D Dennis Gilbert from Rochester (AHL). Placed G Alex Lyon and D Olen Zellweger on injured reserve. Signed D Louis Crevier to a four-year contract. Transferred F Matthew Savoie to long-term injured reserve.

14 Sep · BUF

Signed C Noah Östlund to an eight-year contract.

Injury report
#43Egor ShilovRound 2 · VictoriavilleC
#74Beckett HamiltonRound 3 · Red DeerC
#126Tobias TvrznikRound 4 · WenatcheeG
#128Axel ElofssonRound 4 · Orebro Jr.D
Full draft
#4Daxon RudolphRound 1 · Prince AlbertD
#20Ilia MorozovRound 1 · MiamiC
#124Olivers MurnieksRound 4 · Saint JohnC
#156Doman SzongothRound 5 · Kookoo Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final