Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs: game preview
ColoradoAvalanche2026-27: 2-0-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 55-16-11 · 121 pts · 1stat
TorontoMaple Leafs2026-27: 2-2-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 32-36-14 · 78 pts · 28thForty-three points apart last season
Colorado finished last season 1st in the league on 121 points. Toronto finished 28th on 78, and the 2025-26 season series went COL 1-0-1.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 50
Across 49 completed games, Colorado lead the head-to-head 27-20-2.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 12 Jan 2026, Colorado were 1st in the league and Toronto 10th. By 25 Jan 2026 it was 1st and 18th.
Colorado out-attempted Toronto 362 to 265
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Colorado Avalanche
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 2 games for Colorado, 4 for Toronto. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Colorado, 10 for Toronto.
2025-26: 82 games for Colorado, 82 for Toronto.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Colorado
Small sampleToronto
Small sampleNathan MacKinnon has 10 points in the last 5 meetings
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away, then who has produced in the last meetings.
Nathan MacKinnon vs Toronto · game by game
See all: Nathan MacKinnon vs Toronto · game by game →Mackenzie Blackwood has started most of these meetings
Mackenzie Blackwood played 3 of the last 5 meetings with Toronto, with a .913 save percentage. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Mackenzie Blackwood
See all: Mackenzie Blackwood →COL · 2-0-0 in 2026-27 Starter estimate from 7 Nov
Toronto crease
TOR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 7 Nov
Scoring rates point to about 6.5 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Colorado7.002.503.682.48
Toronto2.752.753.093.65Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
9 on the injury lists
Colorado · injuries
Toronto · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed LD Keaton Middleton, LD Wyatt Aamodt, RW/LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and LW Tristen Nielsen on waivers.
Placed D Keaton Middleton, D Wyatt Aamodt, LW Fabian Lysell, C Vinnie Hinostroza, LW Adam Beckman and G Mads Sogaard Nielsen on waivers.
Reassigned Ds Domenick Fensore, Saige Weinstein and Christian Wolanin to Colorado (AHL).
Placed RW Nikita Grebenkin on injured reserve.
Moved C Max Domi from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve.
Placed D Cade Webber on the injured non-roster list.
Colorado · 2026 draft
See all: Colorado · 2026 draft →Toronto · 2026 draft
See all: Toronto · 2026 draft →
Updated after every final