Theo Marsh
The markets desk: Stanley Cup and award futures, game prices, and where the market and the table disagree.
Theo Marsh covers NHL prediction markets: Stanley Cup and award futures, game prices, and the moments when a price and the standings tell different stories.
A price is a probability with a fee attached. Count the fee first, then decide whether the number is interesting.
Theo Marsh, markets desk
Prices in his pieces are snapshots with the time they were taken. Each venue's fee is counted before any price is called the best, and nothing he writes is advice: a price is the market's estimate of a probability, not a recommendation.
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What every desk works to
Every number lives on a page
A figure in a story is a figure on the site: the box score, table or team page it came from, linked where it lives so you can check it.
Final means final
A game counts once it is final. Season lines are rebuilt after every final and checked against the league's official totals.
Our maths, shown
Expected goals, expected points and fair prices are our own calculations. The page says so, and the methodology sets out the formula.
Corrections in the open
Tell us about a wrong number and we fix it in the data store, so it is fixed on every page that uses it, and we say what changed.
The full rules are in our editorial standards; the formulas are in the methodology.
