RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Thursday 1 October · Scotiabank Saddledome · Meeting No. 19
FINAL
By period
123T
Seattle3036
Calgary0011
Pre-game favouriteCGY 50.1%Lost
First starV. Dunn1 G · 2 A
Game stats
32Shots25
3.9Expected goals2.6
1/5Power play0/1
20Hits24
20Blocks9
Full box score ↓
Recap · data desk

Dunn scores the winner as Seattle beat Calgary 6-1

Seattle out-shot Calgary 32-25. The pre-game price had CGY at 50.1%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 1 Oct

1st period: J. Eberle (SEA), V. Dunn (SEA), F. Gaudreau (SEA). 3rd period: C. Stephenson (SEA), M. Beniers (SEA), R. Strome (CGY), K. Kakko (SEA).

Vince Dunn led Seattle with 1 goal and 2 assists. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 25 shots. On expected goals it was Seattle 3.9, Calgary 2.6. On the power play Seattle went 1 for 5 and Calgary 0 for 1.

Shots32-25Seattle first
Power play1/5Seattle
Lead changes0
DecidedRegulationWinner at 09:42

How it turned

1st period
09:10Jordan Eberle (goal 1)Assists: J. McCann, V. DunnPP1-0
09:42Vince Dunn (goal 1)Assists: R. Winterton, S. WrightEV · GWG2-0
19:30Frederick Gaudreau (goal 1)Assists: K. Kakko, R. EvansEV3-0
3rd period
03:13Chandler Stephenson (goal 1)Assists: V. Dunn, J. DaccordEV4-0
04:04Matty Beniers (goal 1)Assists: J. McCannEV5-0
16:35Ryan Strome (goal 1)Assists: Y. Sharangovich, C. ZaryEV5-1
17:01Kaapo Kakko (goal 1)Assists: J. McCann, M. BeniersEV6-1

Where the goals came from

Seattle attacking leftCalgary attacking right
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Seattle 3.87 xGCalgary 2.56 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot
00.511.522.533.542nd3rd1st

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game50.1% CGYMissed
Last season's table52.3% CGYMissed
Total goals7Over 6.0
How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Seattle visit Detroit on Friday 9 October. Calgary host Colorado on Thursday 8 October.


Full game data

Box score

Seattle

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
29Vince Dunn1232+1—20:37
19Jared McCann0334+2—17:54
10Matty Beniers1121+241.2%16:58
84Kaapo Kakko1121+3—16:49
7Jordan Eberle1014+1—17:52
9Chandler Stephenson1012+150.0%16:59
89Frederick Gaudreau1012054.6%13:58
41Ryker Evans0111+2—20:42
26Ryan Winterton0113+10.0%16:17
51Shane Wright0112066.7%15:55
62Brandon Montour0004+2—24:11
27Berkly Catton0001+150.0%19:00
6Adam Larsson00010—18:48
74Bobby McMann0003+10.0%16:05
55Ryan Lindgren0000+2—14:28
28Josh Mahura0000+1—14:28
63Jacob Melanson00010—9:31
42Curtis Douglas000000.0%5:58

Calgary

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI
22Ryan Strome1014−133.3%16:01
17Yegor Sharangovich0111−150.0%17:14
47Connor Zary0111−10.0%13:19
71Simon Nemec0004−1—21:18
7Kevin Bahl00010—21:07
55Jake Middleton0002−2—20:55
28Zach Whitecloud0000−1—19:14
37Yan Kuznetsov0001−1—18:10
19Zayne Parekh0001−3—17:47
86Joel Farabee0001−2—17:11
11Mikael Backlund0001−152.4%17:07
29Samuel Honzek0002−1—15:32
27Matt Coronato0001−266.7%13:34
16Morgan Frost0002−277.8%12:48
76Martin Pospisil0002037.5%12:40
72Maxim Tsyplakov00010—12:28
92Matvei Gridin0000−1—12:10
43Adam Klapka00000—11:29

Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled
Calgary to winMoneyline51¢52¢51¢0¢
Seattle to winMoneyline50¢49¢49¢100¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.


Before the game · as published 1 Oct, 7:41 PM ET
Head-to-headMeeting number 19
Head-to-head

Meeting number 19

Across 18 completed games, Calgary lead the head-to-head 11-5-2.

All-time record11-5-2Calgary's record in the series
Meetings played18This is number 19
2025-26 seriesSEA 2-1-0
Last 53-2Seattle

Last 5 meetings

DateResultShotsPower playWinner
11 Apr 2026CGY 1 – SEA 427–21CGY 0/1 · SEA 0/3SEA
5 Jan 2026SEA 5 – CGY 128–42SEA 0/1 · CGY 0/1SEA
18 Dec 2025SEA 2 – CGY 423–46SEA 1/1 · CGY 1/5CGY
25 Mar 2025SEA 3 – CGY 4 OT29–37SEA 1/4 · CGY 1/2CGY
8 Feb 2025SEA 3 – CGY 2 OT28–29SEA 1/4 · CGY 0/2SEA
Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series
Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled.

Seattle

Power play · 2025-2619.5%
Power play · last 5 meetings23.1%
Penalty kill · 2025-2672.2%
Drawn · 2025-26220 (2.68/gm)
Drawn · last meetings13 (2.60/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26216 (2.63/gm)
PP goals · last meetings3

Calgary

Power play · 2025-2616.2%
Power play · last 5 meetings18.2%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.4%
Drawn · 2025-26229 (2.79/gm)
Drawn · last meetings11 (2.20/gm)
Shorthanded · 2025-26245 (2.99/gm)
PP goals · last meetings2
Goaltending and injuriesWho has stopped this matchup
Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Seattle crease

vs CGYAppsSAGASV%
N. Kokko1271.963
Joey Daccord31119.919

Calgary crease

vs SEAAppsSAGASV%
Devin Cooley1203.850
Dustin Wolf410712.888
Team news

4 on the injury lists

Seattle · injuries

Jake O'BrienLower BodyIRReturn6 Oct
Mackie SamoskevichUpper BodyIRReturn3 Oct

Calgary · injuries

Henry MewsKneeOutReturn2 Oct
Jonathan HuberdeauHipIRReturn10 Oct

Latest moves

27 Sep · SEA

Placed C Jake O'Brien and RW Mackie Samoskevich on injured reserve.

21 Sep · SEA

Placed F Jon-Randall Avon, F John Hayden, F Logan Morrison and G Victor Ostman on waivers.

4 Sep · SEA

Signed F Jacob Melanson to a three-year contract.

26 Sep · CGY

Waived F Alex Nylander.

25 Sep · CGY

Assigned Fs Andrew Basha, Will Dineen and Tyson Gross, Ds Hunter Brzustewicz and Axel Hurtig and G Arsenii Sergeev to Calgary (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Calgary Fs Dryden Hunt, Ben Jones, Rory Kerins, Sam Morton and William Stromgren and Ds Michael Benning, Andreas Englund and Jake Livingstone.

18 Sep · CGY

Signed F Brennan Othmann to a one-year contract.

Shots, skaters, totals and marketsCalgary out-attempted Seattle 351 to 266
Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Calgary out-attempted Seattle 351 to 266

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Seattle Kraken

266 att · 129 on goal · 17 G · 13.2%
Crease28 att · 4 G
Slot96 att · 9 G
Wing97 att · 2 G
Point37 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 2 G

Calgary Flames

351 att · 181 on goal · 12 G · 6.6%
Crease23 att · 3 G
Slot113 att · 3 G
Wing137 att · 5 G
Point62 att · 1 G
Neutral zone16 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked
Skaters

Nazem Kadri has 5 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

Season leaders

PlayerGPGPP/GP
Jordan Eberle8026550.69
Matty Beniers8220500.61
Vince Dunn8111440.54
Jared McCann5220400.77
Matt Coronato8018450.56
Morgan Frost8222430.52
Mikael Backlund8217430.52
Nazem Kadri6112410.67
Joel Farabee8220380.46
Totals

A total in line with recent meetings

The board sits at 6.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 5.8 goals and went over 6.0 1 time.

line 6.0
0123456789
Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game
Last 5 avg5.8Goals per game
Over 6.01 of 5
Books at the line6Posting 6.0
Lowest5 goals
Prediction markets

Two markets, one coin flip

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair
United States · 9 books
Seattle52¢52¢49.9%
Calgary51¢52¢50.1%
Canada · 2 books
Seattle53¢53¢50.1%
Calgary52¢53¢49.9%

Snapshot 1 Oct, 4:54 PM ET

Lines on the board

Puck line CGY -1.57 books
Puck line SEA +1.57 books
Total 6.06 books
Total 5.53 books
Puck line CGY +1.52 books
Puck line SEA -1.52 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Updated after every final · Closing 1 Oct, 4:54 PM ET