RecapThis page was the preview until puck drop. Preview as published ↓Thursday 1 October · Madison Square Garden · Meeting No. 136

FINAL

Tampa Bay2-1-0 · 4 ptsKucherov 07:59

NY Rangers4-1-0 · 8 ptsZibanejad 05:34 PP · Dorofeyev 10:51 · Tolvanen 01:40 · Perreault 16:01 · Shesterkin 17:26

By period

123T

Tampa Bay0101

NY Rangers2215

Pre-game favouriteTBL 57.3%Lost

First starI. Shesterkin.960 SV%

Game stats

25Shots25

2.7Expected goals3.7

0/7Power play1/2

31Hits22

16Blocks23

Full box score ↓

Recap · data desk

Dorofeyev scores the winner as NY Rangers beat Tampa Bay 5-1

NY Rangers out-shot Tampa Bay 25-25. The pre-game price had TBL at 57.3%.

Pucks & Stats Data Desk 1 Oct

1st period: M. Zibanejad (NYR), P. Dorofeyev (NYR). 2nd period: E. Tolvanen (NYR), N. Kucherov (TBL), G. Perreault (NYR). 3rd period: I. Shesterkin (NYR).

Mika Zibanejad led NY Rangers with 1 goal and 1 assist. Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 24 shots. On expected goals it was NY Rangers 3.7, Tampa Bay 2.7. On the power play NY Rangers went 1 for 2 and Tampa Bay 0 for 7.

Shots25-25NY Rangers first

Power play1/2NY Rangers

Lead changes0

DecidedRegulationWinner at 10:51

How it turned

1st period

05:34Mika Zibanejad (goal 1)Assists: P. Dorofeyev, A. FoxPP0-1

10:51Pavel Dorofeyev (goal 1)Assists: O. BjorkstrandEV · GWG0-2

2nd period

01:40Eeli Tolvanen (goal 1)Assists: N. LabaEV0-3

07:59Nikita Kucherov (goal 1)Assists: I. Mikheyev, B. PointEV1-3

16:01Gabe Perreault (goal 1)Assists: A. Fox, M. ZibanejadEV1-4

3rd period

17:26Igor Shesterkin (goal 1)UnassistedEV1-5

Where the goals came from

Tampa Bay attacking leftNY Rangers attacking right

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

How the chances built

Tampa Bay 2.73 xGNY Rangers 3.66 xGDots are goals · hover for the shot

Running total of expected goals for each team, regulation and overtime. A steep climb is a spell of good chances; a goal dot above the other line came against the run of play.

The upset

Market, pre-game57.3% TBLMissed

Last season's table63.9% TBLMissed

Total goals6Over 5.5

How each market settled ↓

What’s next

Tampa Bay host Minnesota on Thursday 8 October. NY Rangers visit Washington on Friday 9 October.

Tampa Bay Lightning New York Rangers

All-time69-54-12NY Rangers lead

Meetings136Including this game

Head-to-head finder

Futures after the final

Partner prices · implied, venue average

TeamCupPlayoffs

Tampa Bay5.5%66.5%

NY Rangers2%48.3%

Snapshot 7 Oct, 10:42 AM ET. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable. How markets work · Affiliate disclosure

Stanley Cup odds

Full game data

Box score

NY Rangers

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI

93Mika Zibanejad1123+166.7%18:53

16Pavel Dorofeyev11250—13:44

23Adam Fox02200—19:04

17Eeli Tolvanen1011+2—14:18

94Gabe Perreault1011+1—10:46

42Noah Laba0110+130.0%16:14

28Oliver Bjorkstrand0111+1—12:25

44Vladislav Gavrikov00000—23:20

26Marcus Pettersson0001+1—21:38

5Sean Durzi00000—20:54

4Braden Schneider0003+2—18:48

10J.T. Miller0001+178.6%15:33

13Alexis Lafrenière0003+1100.0%15:15

24Tye Kartye00000100.0%14:47

90Joseph Veleno0001066.7%14:45

50Will Cuylle0003+150.0%14:12

12Alberts Smits0000+3—14:09

49Jaroslav Chmelar00010—6:18

Tampa Bay

#SkaterGAPSOG+/-FO%TOI

86Nikita Kucherov1011−1—24:07

21Brayden Point0111−130.0%22:38

95Ilya Mikheyev0110−1—10:56

59Jake Guentzel0003−163.6%24:02

74John Carlson0004−2—23:41

38Brandon Hagel0003−1—23:40

71Anthony Cirelli0003045.0%19:56

51Charle-Edouard D'Astous00000—19:07

77Victor Hedman00020—17:45

81Erik Cernak0001−1—16:00

27Ryan McDonagh0001−1—15:46

29Pontus Holmberg0003−1—14:59

90J.J. Moser0000−1—14:54

94Conor Geekie0000066.7%12:32

93Gage Goncalves0000−10.0%12:09

10Jansen Harkins0001−10.0%10:55

25Jeffrey Viel0001−2—8:49

28Zemgus Girgensons0000−114.3%7:39

Markets

How each market settled

Market · closing priceMarketKalshiKalshiPolymarketPolyProphetXProphetXSettled

NY Rangers to winMoneyline42¢42¢42¢100¢

Tampa Bay to winMoneyline59¢59¢58¢0¢

Closing price = each venue’s midpoint at the last snapshot before puck drop. Settlement follows each venue’s rules; shown for information only. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots taken every 15 minutes (season futures hourly), not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Before the game · as published 1 Oct, 6:42 PM ET

Head-to-headMeeting number 136

Head-to-head

Meeting number 136

Across 135 completed games, NY Rangers lead the head-to-head 69-54-12.

All-time record69-54-12NY Rangers's record in the series

Meetings played135This is number 136

2025-26 seriesNYR 2-1-0

Last 53-2NY Rangers

Last 5 meetings

DateResultShotsPower playWinner

15 Apr 2026NYR 4 – TBL 221–31NYR 1/3 · TBL 0/3NYR

29 Nov 2025TBL 4 – NYR 135–13TBL 0/2 · NYR 0/2TBL

12 Nov 2025NYR 7 – TBL 321–36NYR 1/3 · TBL 0/3NYR

17 Apr 2025TBL 0 – NYR 427–22TBL 0/3 · NYR 0/1NYR

7 Apr 2025TBL 5 – NYR 123–39TBL 3/4 · NYR 1/3TBL

Special teamsPower play and penalty kill, season and series

Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled.

Tampa Bay

Power play · 2025-2620.7%

Power play · last 5 meetings20.0%

Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6%

Drawn · 2025-26246 (3.00/gm)

Drawn · last meetings15 (3.00/gm)

Shorthanded · 2025-26258 (3.15/gm)

PP goals · last meetings3

NY Rangers

Small sample

Power play · 2026-270.0%

Power play · 2025-2624.7%

Power play · last 5 meetings25.0%

Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%

Penalty kill · 2025-2679.9%

Drawn · 2026-271 (1.00/gm)

Drawn · last meetings12 (2.40/gm)

Shorthanded · 2026-271 (1.00/gm)

PP goals · last meetings3

Goaltending and injuriesWho has stopped this matchup

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Tampa Bay crease

vs NYRAppsSAGASV%

B. Halverson1214.810

J. Johansson3426.857

Andrei Vasilevskiy2526.885

NY Rangers crease

vs TBLAppsSAGASV%

D. Garand1312.935

Igor Shesterkin411910.916

2026-27: Igor Shesterkin .909 (1 GP)

Team news

5 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn13 Oct

Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

NY Rangers · injuries

Adam SykoraLower BodyIRReturn25 Jan

Aidan ThompsonUndisclosedIRReturn11 Oct

Joonas KorpisaloLower BodyIRReturn9 Oct

Latest moves

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

25 Sep · TBL

Assigned Fs Tristan Allard, Cooper Flinton, Ethan Gauthier, Connor Kurth, Gabriel Szturc and Milo Roelens, Ds Dyllan Gill and Tomas Kralovic and Gs Jonas Johansson and Harrison Meneghin to Syracuse (AHL). Waived for the purpose of assignment to Syracuse Ds Simon Lundmark and Steven Santini and G Olivier Rodrigue.

27 Sep · NYR

Placed G Dylan Garand and D Taylor Raddysh on waivers.

24 Sep · NYR

Assigned Gs Spencer Martin and Callum Tung and Fs Jacob Battaglia, Brody Lamb, and Dylan Roobroeck to Hartford (AHL).

22 Sep · NYR

Placed F Justin Dowling and D Urho Vaakanainen on waivers.

Thursday 1 October · the full slate

Scores →

7:00 PM ETPHI at NJD 7:00 PM ETTBL at NYRThis 7:00 PM ETBUF at CBJ 8:00 PM ETMIN at NSH 9:00 PM ETSEA at CGY 9:30 PM ETCHI at UTA 10:00 PM ETEDM at VAN 10:00 PM ETFLA at SJS

Shots, skaters, totals and marketsTampa Bay out-attempted NY Rangers 311 to 267

Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted NY Rangers 311 to 267

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

311 att · 152 on goal · 14 G · 9.2%

Crease35 att · 5 G

Slot113 att · 5 G

Wing94 att · 3 G

Point63 att · 1 G

Neutral zone6 att · 0 G

New York Rangers

267 att · 116 on goal · 17 G · 14.7%

Crease27 att · 3 G

Slot96 att · 8 G

Wing100 att · 4 G

Point35 att · 2 G

Neutral zone9 att · 0 G

GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Skaters

Mika Zibanejad has 8 points in the last 5 meetings

Left, production across the last meetings. Right, each club's scoring leaders this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

Totals

A total in line with recent meetings

The board sits at 6.0. The last 5 meetings averaged 6.2 goals and went over 6.0 1 time.

line 6.0

01234567891011

Dot colour: the winner of that meeting · goals per game

Last 5 avg6.2Goals per game

Over 6.01 of 5

Books at the line4Posting 6.0

Lowest4 goals

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay favoured on both sides of the border

US and Canadian books are kept apart because they are separate markets with different books and prices.

Moneyline by market

SelectionBestAvgFair

United States · 7 books

Tampa Bay59¢59¢56.3%

NY Rangers45¢46¢43.7%

Canada · 1 books

Tampa Bay62¢62¢57.6%

NY Rangers46¢46¢42.4%

Snapshot 30 Sep, 4:22 PM ET

Lines on the board

Puck line NYR +1.55 books

Puck line TBL -1.55 books

Total 6.04 books

Total 5.53 books

Sportsbook prices are shown as implied cents (100 ÷ decimal odds) so they compare directly with prediction-market prices. Fair = margin removed. "Best" is the cheapest price to buy Yes after venue fees. Prices are snapshots, not live. Prediction markets carry risk of loss and are not available in every jurisdiction. 18+/21+ where applicable.

Updated after every final · Closing 1 Oct, 4:54 PM ET

Meeting number 136

Last 5 meetings

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

Tampa Bay

NY Rangers

Who has stopped this matchup

Tampa Bay crease

NY Rangers crease

5 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

NY Rangers · injuries

Latest moves

Thursday 1 October · the full slate

Tampa Bay out-attempted NY Rangers 311 to 267

Tampa Bay Lightning

New York Rangers

Mika Zibanejad has 8 points in the last 5 meetings

In the last meetings

Season leaders

A total in line with recent meetings

Tampa Bay favoured on both sides of the border

Moneyline by market

Lines on the board