Early look The full preview opens on Monday 22 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Dallas Stars at Carolina Hurricanes: game preview

Puck drop25 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueLenovo Center
All-time meetings54 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

One points apart last season

Dallas finished last season 3rd in the league on 112 points. Carolina finished 2nd on 113.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 55

Across 54 completed games, Dallas lead the head-to-head 30-19-5.

All-time record30-19-5Dallas's record in the series
Meetings played54This is number 55
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Carolina
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
6 Jan 2026DAL 3 – CAR 6——CAR
25 Oct 2025CAR 2 – DAL 3——DAL
21 Jan 2025CAR 2 – DAL 1——CAR
25 Nov 2024DAL 4 – CAR 6——CAR
24 Feb 2024DAL 2 – CAR 1——DAL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateDallasCarolina
25 Oct 20254-3-1 · 9 pts17th6-2-0 · 12 pts8th
6 Jan 202625-10-8 · 58 pts2nd26-14-3 · 55 pts5th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 25 Oct 2025, Dallas were 17th in the league and Carolina 8th. By 6 Jan 2026 it was 2nd and 5th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Carolina out-attempted Dallas 148 to 102

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Dallas Stars

102 att · 58 on goal · 6 G · 10.3%
Crease8 att · 2 G
Slot48 att · 2 G
Wing28 att · 2 G
Point16 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G

Carolina Hurricanes

148 att · 61 on goal · 8 G · 13.1%
Crease9 att · 0 G
Slot63 att · 6 G
Wing48 att · 1 G
Point23 att · 1 G
Neutral zone5 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Dallas and Carolina are level on chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

DallasCarolina
3.08xG for per game3.74
2.44xG against per game2.21
55.8%xG share62.9%
−3.2FinishingGoals minus expected goals−4.0
+1.3GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−3.2

This season: 3 games for Dallas, 4 for Carolina. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Dallas

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2628.6% · 2nd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2777.8%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.3% · 13th
Faceoffs · 2026-2755.1% · 86/156
Drawn · 2026-278 (2.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Carolina

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2719.0%
Power play · 2025-2624.9% · 4th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2789.5%
Penalty kill · 2025-2680.5% · 11th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.1% · 125/240
Drawn · 2026-2721 (5.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2719 (4.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
14Jamie Benn31120.67
96Mikko Rantanen31120.67
21Jason Robertson31120.67
20Sebastian Aho44371.75
53Jackson Blake40330.75
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
57Tyler Myers30000.00
23Esa Lindell30000.00
74Jaccob Slavin40220.50
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 23 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 23 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Dallas crease

DAL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 22 Mar

Jake Oettinger.9432 GP · 1-1-0 · GSAx +2.0
Casey DeSmith.9231 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx +0.4

No appearances against Carolina in the last meetings.

Carolina crease

CAR · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 22 Mar

Brandon Bussi.8513 GP · 1-1-1 · GSAx −3.7
Pyotr Kochetkov.8891 GP · 1-0-0 · GSAx +0.5

No appearances against Dallas in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

6 Jan 20269 · DAL 3–6 CAR
25 Oct 20255 · CAR 2–3 DAL
21 Jan 20253 · CAR 2–1 DAL
25 Nov 202410 · DAL 4–6 CAR
24 Feb 20243 · DAL 2–1 CAR

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Dallas2.002.003.402.76
Carolina2.753.003.612.93

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings6.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Dallas · injuries

Cameron HughesUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Harrison ScottUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Luke KrysUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Matt DucheneLower BodyIRReturn25 Oct

Carolina · injuries

Alexander NikishinContract DisputeOutReturn10 Oct
Seth JarvisShoulderIRReturn24 Oct
5 Oct · DAL

Assigned D Cameron Bertucci to Texas (AHL).

1 Oct · DAL

Placed F Matt Duchene on long-term injured reserve retroactive to Sept. 29. Recalled Fs Arttu Hyry and Colin Blackwell from Texas (AHL).

30 Sep · DAL

Signed G Casey DeSmith to a two-year contract.

30 Sep · CAR

Placed G Cayden Primeau on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed LD Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

27 Sep · CAR

Placed C Seth Jarvis on the injured non-roster list. Placed D Juuso Valimaki on waivers.

Injury report
#59Jakub VanecekRound 2 · Tri-cityD
#155Ryan BrownRound 5 · LondonLW
#187Anton Emil Wilde LarsenRound 6 · FrederikshavnG
#197Jasper KuhtaRound 7 · OttawaC
Full draft
#51William HakanssonRound 2 · LuleaD
#61Wiggo SorenssonRound 2 · Boro/vetlandaC
#68Zachary LansardRound 3 · ReginaRW
#105Michael BerchildRound 4 · Usa U-18LW
Full draft

Updated after every final