Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators: game preview
Tampa BayLightning2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 50-26-6 · 106 pts · 5that
OttawaSenators2026-27: 2-1-0 · 4 pts · 2025-26: 44-27-11 · 99 pts · 9thSeven points apart last season
Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Ottawa finished 9th on 99, and the 2025-26 season series went OTT 2-1-0.
Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.
Meeting number 133
Across 132 completed games, Ottawa lead the head-to-head 76-46-10.
Last 5 meetings
See all: Last 5 meetings →The table on each 2025-26 meeting night
League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 9 Oct 2025, Tampa Bay were 21st in the league and Ottawa 12th. By 7 Apr 2026 it was 4th and 10th.
Tampa Bay out-attempted Ottawa 184 to 183
Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games
Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.
This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for Ottawa. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.
Last 10 games: 10 games for Tampa Bay, 10 for Ottawa.
2025-26: 82 games for Tampa Bay, 82 for Ottawa.
Power play and penalty kill, season and series
This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.
All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings
Tampa Bay
Small sampleOttawa
Small sampleSkaters to watch
Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.
Who has stopped this matchup
Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.
Tampa Bay crease
TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 17 Mar
No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.
Ottawa crease
OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 17 Mar
No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.
Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals
No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.
Goals in the last 5 meetings
Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.
Scoring rates
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.
9 on the injury lists
Tampa Bay · injuries
Ottawa · injuries
Latest moves
See all: Latest moves →Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.
Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.
Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.
Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.
Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).
Tampa Bay · 2026 draft
See all: Tampa Bay · 2026 draft →Ottawa · 2026 draft
See all: Ottawa · 2026 draft →Saturday 20 March · the full slate
See all: Saturday 20 March · the full slate →
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