Early look The full preview opens on Monday 15 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens: game preview

Puck drop18 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueCentre Bell
All-time meetings153 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Two clubs level on last season's points

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Montréal finished 6th on 106, and the 2025-26 season series went MTL 6-2-3.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 154

Across 153 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 81-51-21.

All-time record81-51-21Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played153This is number 154
2025-26 seriesMTL 6-2-3
Last 53-2Montréal
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
3 May 2026MTL 2 – TBL 1——MTL
1 May 2026TBL 1 – MTL 0 OT——TBL
29 Apr 2026MTL 3 – TBL 2——MTL
26 Apr 2026TBL 3 – MTL 2——TBL
24 Apr 2026TBL 2 – MTL 3 OT——MTL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayMontréal
24 Apr 202650-26-6 · 106 pts5th48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
26 Apr 202650-26-6 · 106 pts5th48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
29 Apr 202650-26-6 · 106 pts5th48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
1 May 202650-26-6 · 106 pts5th48-24-10 · 106 pts6th
3 May 202650-26-6 · 106 pts5th48-24-10 · 106 pts6th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 24 Apr 2026, Tampa Bay were 5th in the league and Montréal 6th. By 3 May 2026 it was 5th and 6th.


Expected goals

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayMontréal
4.04xG for per game2.61
2.64xG against per game3.61
60.5%xG share42.0%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals+4.2
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−3.2

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 3 for Montréal. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Montréal

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2710.0%
Power play · 2025-2623.1% · 10th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2775.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2678.2% · 18th
Faceoffs · 2026-2753.9% · 96/178
Drawn · 2026-2710 (3.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2712 (4.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
14Nick Suzuki32462.00
22Chris Kreider31341.33
76Zachary Bolduc33031.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
48Lane Hutson30441.33
8Mike Matheson30110.33
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 17 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 16 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Mar

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Montréal in the last meetings.

Montréal crease

MTL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 15 Mar

Jakub Dobes.8573 GP · 1-1-1 · GSAx −3.0

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.5 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

3 May 20263 · MTL 2–1 TBL
1 May 20261 · TBL 1–0 MTL
29 Apr 20265 · MTL 3–2 TBL
26 Apr 20265 · TBL 3–2 MTL
24 Apr 20265 · TBL 2–3 MTL

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Montréal4.004.673.453.12

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.5Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings3.8Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

8 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Montréal · injuries

Bryce PickfordUndisclosedIRReturn17 Oct
Ivan DemidovLower BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Kaiden GuhleGroinIRReturn20 Oct
Lucas CondottaUndisclosedIRReturn10 Oct
Oliver KapanenLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

27 Sep · MTL

Placed D Reilly Walsh, D Maksymilian Szuber, D Ethan Samson, C Sam Poulin, RW Sasha Pastujov, C Hunter McKown, G Kaapo Kähkönen, LW Brett Berard, and RW Alex Belzile on waivers for the purpose of loaning them to Laval (AHL).

12 Sep · MTL

Signed F Chris Kreider to a one-year contract.

9 Aug 2026 · MTL

Loaned F Vinzenz Rohrer to EV Zug (Switzerland).

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#26Gleb PugachyovRound 1 · Nizhny Novgorod Jr.RW
#57Timofei RuntsoRound 2 · VictoriaD
#93Cooper CleavesRound 3 · DartmouthD
#117Brayden KlimpkeRound 4 · SaskatoonD
Full draft

Updated after every final