Early look The full preview opens on Monday 8 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators: game preview

Puck drop11 Mar · 7:00 PM ET
VenueCanadian Tire Centre
All-time meetings36 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Five points apart last season

Minnesota finished last season 7th in the league on 104 points. Ottawa finished 9th on 99.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 37

Across 36 completed games, Minnesota lead the head-to-head 19-12-5.

All-time record19-12-5Minnesota's record in the series
Meetings played36This is number 37
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Minnesota
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
4 Apr 2026MIN 4 – OTT 1——MIN
13 Dec 2025OTT 2 – MIN 3——MIN
1 Feb 2025MIN 0 – OTT 6——OTT
29 Dec 2024OTT 3 – MIN 1——OTT
2 Apr 2024OTT 2 – MIN 3——MIN
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateMinnesotaOttawa
13 Dec 202518-9-5 · 41 pts5th14-13-4 · 32 pts23rd
4 Apr 202643-21-12 · 98 pts7th39-27-10 · 88 pts11th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 13 Dec 2025, Minnesota were 5th in the league and Ottawa 23rd. By 4 Apr 2026 it was 7th and 11th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Ottawa out-attempted Minnesota 136 to 90

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Minnesota Wild

90 att · 48 on goal · 7 G · 14.6%
Crease10 att · 0 G
Slot31 att · 5 G
Wing34 att · 2 G
Point12 att · 0 G
Neutral zone3 att · 0 G

Ottawa Senators

136 att · 70 on goal · 3 G · 4.3%
Crease14 att · 1 G
Slot51 att · 2 G
Wing45 att · 0 G
Point18 att · 0 G
Neutral zone8 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Ottawa have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

MinnesotaOttawa
3.01xG for per game2.95
2.83xG against per game3.41
51.5%xG share46.4%
−0.0FinishingGoals minus expected goals+1.1
+3.5GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed+2.2

This season: 3 games for Minnesota, 3 for Ottawa. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Minnesota

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2736.4%
Power play · 2025-2625.2% · 3rd
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-27100.0%
Penalty kill · 2025-2679.8% · 16th
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.0% · 84/175
Drawn · 2026-2711 (3.67/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-279 (3.00/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Ottawa

Small sample
Power play · 2026-277.7%
Power play · 2025-2624.0% · 8th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2776.9%
Penalty kill · 2025-2675.7% · 29th
Faceoffs · 2026-2752.7% · 99/188
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
97Kirill Kaprizov33031.00
20Blake Coleman31120.67
18Tim Stützle33362.00
22Michael Amadio32131.00
19Drake Batherson32131.00
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
43Quinn Hughes31341.33
46Jared Spurgeon31231.00
3Olli Maatta30110.33
72Thomas Chabot31120.67
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 9 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 9 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Minnesota crease

MIN · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Mar

Jesper Wallstedt.9333 GP · 2-0-1 · GSAx +3.5

No appearances against Ottawa in the last meetings.

Ottawa crease

OTT · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 8 Mar

Linus Ullmark.9492 GP · 2-0-0 · GSAx +3.4
Samuel Ersson.8862 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −0.9

No appearances against Minnesota in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.2 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

4 Apr 20265 · MIN 4–1 OTT
13 Dec 20255 · OTT 2–3 MIN
1 Feb 20256 · MIN 0–6 OTT
29 Dec 20244 · OTT 3–1 MIN
2 Apr 20245 · OTT 2–3 MIN

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Minnesota3.001.673.322.93
Ottawa3.332.673.393.00

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.2Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.0Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

9 on the injury lists

Minnesota · injuries

Brock FaberSkullIRReturn15 Oct
Filip GustavssonHipIRReturn1 Nov
Nick FolignoUpper BodyDay-to-dayReturn8 Oct

Ottawa · injuries

Andre BurakovskyUpper BodyIRReturn10 Oct
Artem ZubKneeIRReturn10 Oct
Blake MontgomeryUndisclosedIRReturn8 Oct
Jake SandersonLower BodyOutReturn8 Oct
Kurtis MacDermidUpper BodyIRReturn31 Oct
Linus UllmarkUndisclosedOutReturn8 Oct
24 Sep · MIN

Waived for the purpose of assignment to Iowa (AHL) Ds Matt Kiersted, Carson Lambos, and Roman Schmidt and Fs Caedan Bankier, Dylan Gambrell, Justin Kirkland, Tyler Pitlick, and Mason Shaw. Assigned Ds Ben Dexheimer and Viking Gustafsson Nyberg and Fs Jagger Joshua, Hunter Haight, Riley Heidt, Rasmus Kumpulainen, and Rieger Lorenz to Iowa.

14 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed G Filip Ruzicka to a three-year, entry-level contract.

13 Jul 2026 · MIN

Signed D Filip Ruzicka to a three-year contract.

6 Oct · OTT

Recalled G Marcus Johansson from Belleville (AHL). Assigned D Donovan Sebrango to Belleville.

5 Oct · OTT

Recalled D Donovan Sebrango from Belleville (AHL). Placed LW Andre Burakovsky on injured reserve.

2 Oct · OTT

Loaned D Hoyt Stanley to Belleville (AHL).

Injury report
#83Adam AnderssonRound 3 · Leksand Jr.C
#112Kayden LemireRound 4 · Prince GeorgeRW
#137Filip RuzickaRound 5 · BrandonG
Full draft
#25Jonas Lagerberg HoenRound 1 · Leksand Jr.RW
#32Jaxon CoverRound 1 · LondonRW
#72Adam NemecRound 3 · SudburyLW
#87Oscar HolmertzRound 3 · Linkoping Jr.C
Full draft

Updated after every final