‹MON MAR 8›
3 games
Early look The full preview opens on Friday 5 March, three days before puck drop, with the expected goalies, the latest team news and game-day prices. Until then this page shows the matchup as it stands.
Early look · NHL 2026-27

Tampa Bay Lightning at Chicago Blackhawks: game preview

Puck drop8 Mar · 8:00 PM ET
VenueUnited Center
All-time meetings72 completed
BasisLast 5 meetings + 2025-26
The thesis

Thirty-four points apart last season

Tampa Bay finished last season 5th in the league on 106 points. Chicago finished 31st on 72.

Game-day prices arrive with the afternoon snapshot, about 4:30 PM ET on the day of the game.

Head-to-head

Meeting number 73

Across 72 completed games, Tampa Bay lead the head-to-head 42-23-7.

All-time record42-23-7Tampa Bay's record in the series
Meetings played72This is number 73
2025-26 series—
Last 53-2Tampa Bay
DateResultShotsPower playWinner
23 Jan 2026TBL 2 – CHI 1 SO——TBL
23 Oct 2025CHI 3 – TBL 2——CHI
28 Jan 2025CHI 4 – TBL 1——CHI
24 Jan 2025TBL 4 – CHI 3 OT——TBL
16 Nov 2023TBL 4 – CHI 2——TBL
Head-to-head finder

The table on each 2025-26 meeting night

DateTampa BayChicago
23 Oct 20251-4-2 · 4 pts30th4-2-2 · 10 pts11th
23 Jan 202632-13-4 · 68 pts2nd21-22-8 · 50 pts27th

League rank after that night's games; a longer bar is a higher place. On 23 Oct 2025, Tampa Bay were 30th in the league and Chicago 11th. By 23 Jan 2026 it was 2nd and 27th.


Where the shots come from · last 5 meetings

Tampa Bay out-attempted Chicago 145 to 88

Every attempt from the last meetings, both teams shooting right.

Tampa Bay Lightning

145 att · 62 on goal · 3 G · 4.8%
Crease10 att · 0 G
Slot64 att · 3 G
Wing39 att · 0 G
Point31 att · 0 G
Neutral zone1 att · 0 G

Chicago Blackhawks

88 att · 44 on goal · 4 G · 9.1%
Crease5 att · 0 G
Slot35 att · 2 G
Wing35 att · 2 G
Point11 att · 0 G
Neutral zone2 att · 0 G
GoalOn goalMissedBlocked

Expected goals

Tampa Bay have created the better chances, last 10 games

Shot quality both ways: expected goals weigh every unblocked attempt by its chance of scoring. Finishing above zero means more goals than the chances.

Tampa BayChicago
4.04xG for per game2.41
2.64xG against per game3.83
60.5%xG share38.7%
−4.1FinishingGoals minus expected goals−0.7
+0.9GoaltendingExpected goals against minus goals allowed−1.7

This season: 3 games for Tampa Bay, 4 for Chicago. Small sample: early-season xG moves a lot from night to night.

Every team’s xG →


Special teams

Power play and penalty kill, season and series

This season's rates first, then 2025-26 and the last meetings between the two. Power-play chances are counted from the penalty log with coincidental minors cancelled; faceoffs are each club's wins over draws taken.

All bars share one scale · 0–100%SeasonLast meetings

Tampa Bay

Small sample
Power play · 2026-270.0%
Power play · 2025-2620.7% · 17th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2785.7%
Penalty kill · 2025-2682.6% · 3rd
Faceoffs · 2026-2748.2% · 81/168
Drawn · 2026-2713 (4.33/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-277 (2.33/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Chicago

Small sample
Power play · 2026-2711.1%
Power play · 2025-2616.9% · 29th
Power play · last 5 meetings—
Penalty kill · 2026-2763.6%
Penalty kill · 2025-2683.6% · 2nd
Faceoffs · 2026-2742.1% · 99/235
Drawn · 2026-279 (2.25/gm)
Drawn · last meetings0 (0.00/gm)
Shorthanded · 2026-2711 (2.75/gm)
PP goals · last meetings0

Skaters

Skaters to watch

Each club's top three forwards and defencemen by points this season, with 2025-26 one tap away.

PlayerGPGAPP/GP
86Nikita Kucherov31341.33
59Jake Guentzel31231.00
38Brandon Hagel31231.00
16Anton Frondell41341.00
59Tyler Bertuzzi41120.50
91Frank Nazar41120.50
Points leaders
PlayerGPGAPP/GP
74John Carlson30220.67
27Ryan McDonagh30000.00
72Alex Vlasic40220.50
6Sam Rinzel31010.33
44Wyatt Kaiser40110.25
Defencemen stats

Goaltending

Who has stopped this matchup

Save percentage in the last meetings by goalie. Starters are confirmed on game day.

Expected startersAn estimate until the teams confirmEvery game tonight →

Expected starter after their game on 6 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Expected starter after their game on 6 Mar: a back-to-back depends on who plays that night.

Tampa Bay crease

TBL · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Mar

Andrei Vasilevskiy.8983 GP · 2-1-0 · GSAx +1.0

No appearances against Chicago in the last meetings.

Chicago crease

CHI · 2026-27 Starter estimate from 5 Mar

Spencer Knight.8913 GP · 1-2-0 · GSAx +0.5
Arvid Soderblom.8131 GP · 0-1-0 · GSAx −2.0

No appearances against Tampa Bay in the last meetings.


Totals

Scoring rates point to about 6.1 goals

No total is posted yet: it arrives with the game-day prices. Until then, the scoring rates and the recent meetings set the range.

Goals in the last 5 meetings

23 Jan 20263 · TBL 2–1 CHI
23 Oct 20255 · CHI 3–2 TBL
28 Jan 20255 · CHI 4–1 TBL
24 Jan 20257 · TBL 4–3 CHI
16 Nov 20236 · TBL 4–2 CHI

Bar length is total goals, coloured by the winner.

Scoring rates

Team26-27 GF26-27 GA25-26 GF25-26 GA
Tampa Bay2.672.333.542.82
Chicago2.254.252.603.35

Goals for and against per game. The estimate averages each team’s scoring with the other’s goals allowed, and leans on 2025-26 until a team has played 20 games.

Scoring rates suggest6.1Goals in this game
Last 5 meetings5.2Goals per game
Line—No total posted yet
Books at the line—With the game-day prices

Team news

6 on the injury lists

Tampa Bay · injuries

Dominic JamesHandIRReturn8 Oct
Emil LillebergUndisclosedOutReturn13 Oct
Yanni GourdeHipIRReturn2 Dec

Chicago · injuries

Andrew MangiapaneLower BodyOutReturn25 Oct
Connor BedardShoulderIRReturn7 Nov
Teuvo TeravainenUndisclosedOutReturn10 Oct
6 Oct · TBL

Placed C Jansen Harkins on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan on waivers.

27 Sep · TBL

Placed D Michael Callahan, G Mads Sogaard Nielsenon, LD Maxim Groshev, LW Jakob Pelletier and C Nicholas Abruzzese on waivers.

3 Oct · CHI

Assigned D Charles Alexis Legault to Chicago (AHL).

24 Sep · CHI

Agreed to terms with F Oliver Moore on a five-year contract extension. Loaned Fs Jiri felcman, Martin Misiak and Marek Vanacker and D Dylan Anhorn to Rockford (AHL). Assigned F Brett Seney to Rockford.

21 Sep · CHI

Placed D Derrick Pouliot on waivers.

Injury report
#52Oleg KulebiakinRound 2 · HalifaxRW
#90Tomas KralovicRound 3 · BratislavaD
#134Morgan AnderbergRound 5 · VaxjoC
#154Cooper SollerRound 5 · Sioux FallsC
Full draft
#34Xavier VilleneuveRound 2 · Blainville-boisbriandD
#35Ryan RoobroeckRound 2 · NiagaraLW
#66Samu AlalauriRound 3 · Pelicans Jr.D
#194Alexander IvanovRound 7 · Bars KazanD
Full draft

Updated after every final